Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. May. 4, 2011

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $68557.0000 (0.41%) ($65599.8000 - $69860.0000) on Wed. May. 4, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.46% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $68557.0000(0.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT declines -2.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT declines -2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(73%)    EEM(26%)    LQD(25%)    PCY(25%)    REMX(25%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -1.73% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(10%)    XLY(11%)    SHY(11%)    XLK(13%)    TLT(13%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.73% (StdDev 3.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0%

Resistance Level   $76008.53
5 Day Moving Average   $72775.4(-5.8%)
10 Day Moving Average   $74503.41(-7.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $76008.53(-9.8%)
To recent high   -17.1%
To recent low   10.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 4.51% (three month std-dev: 3.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110604

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_4_2011	70663.49	76008.53	74503.41	72775.4			68557(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-22	-10000	-13	-47	0	54%	-0.16	-15.3	3.46%	0	-2.2	42	0
2	May_3_2011	70774.86	76594.8	75391.6	74404			68280(-6.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-12	-10000	-8	-22	0	57%	-0.16	12.4	3.47%	0	-2.7	40	0
3	May_2_2011	70887.85	76879.63	76147.21	75408			72960(-6.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-7	-10000	-4	-15	0	60%	-0.07	31.4	3.44%	0	-1.5	42	0
4	Apr_29_2011	70940.01	76911.04	76533.36	75908			78180(3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-7	-10000	-2	-21	0	67%	0.01	38.3	3.35%	0	0.5	41	0
5	Apr_28_2011	70931.97	76685.92	76385.36	76148			75900(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-10000	-3	-24	0	67%	-0.01	40.2	3.37%	0	-0.3	45	0

6	Apr_27_2011	70941.05	76534.4	76324.4	76588			76700(4.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-7	-10000	-0	-28	0	62%	0.08	40.5	3.37%	0	0.1	44	0
7	Apr_26_2011	70881.06	76219.92	76218.86	76632			73300(-2.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-11	-10000	-2	-36	0	64%	0.04	37.4	3.44%	0	-0.9	39	0
8	Apr_25_2011	70855.59	76085.03	76724.53	76952			75460(-4.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6	-10000	-1	-21	0	64%	0.07	38.9	3.61%	0	-0.2	58	0
9	Apr_21_2011	70806.61	75941.23	77407.96	77152			79380(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	4	-10000	4	3	0	67%	0.13	49.6	3.54%	0	1	64	0
10	Apr_20_2011	70714.42	75633.22	77370.28	76664			78100(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	5	-10000	4	9	0	67%	0.11	60.8	3.55%	0	0.7	61	0

11	Apr_19_2011	70634.15	75413.02	77536.03	76064			76920(2.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	6	-10000	2	16	0	67%	0.1	68.8	3.57%	0	0.4	61	0
12	Apr_18_2011	70565.07	75048.66	77809.6	75804			74900(-2.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	4	-10000	-5	31	0	68%	0.07	69	3.57%	0	-0	63	0
13	Apr_15_2011	70516.9	74769.46	77665.28	76464			76460(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	4	-10000	-9	44	0	68%	0.09	67.1	3.58%	0	0.4	67	0
14	Apr_14_2011	70450.13	74251.19	77351.78	77720			76940(2.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-10000	-4	65	0	66%	0.1	65	3.6%	0	0.6	60	0
15	Apr_13_2011	70376.38	73607.77	77046.45	78219.2			75100(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	13	-10000	-7	72	0	62%	0.08	60	3.64%	0	0.3	55	0

16	Apr_12_2011	70322.09	73011.18	76836.99	79219.2			75620(-3.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	16	-10000	-6	82	0	62%	0.09	55.9	3.74%	0	0.5	55	0
17	Apr_11_2011	70260.48	72504.65	76328.85	80051.2			78200(-5.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	32	-10000	8	103	0	63%	0.13	54.6	3.71%	0	1	67	0
18	Apr_8_2011	70167.08	71992.4	75505.94	78923.2			82740(4.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	35	-10000	14	97	0	66%	0.21	45.4	3.64%	0	2	77	0
19	Apr_7_2011	70017.4	71230.24	74384.09	76911.2			79436(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	9	86	0	65%	0.16	32.6	3.64%	0	1.7	78	0
20	Apr_6_2011	69903.92	70540.74	73722.77	75716			80100(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	33	-10000	12	95	0	62%	0.18	20.5	3.64%	0	2.1	82	0

21	Apr_5_2011	69779.58	70027	73013.36	74160			79780(9.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	37	-10000	15	103	0	61%	0.18	6.8	3.7%	0	2.4	83	0
22	Apr_4_2011	69656.12	69585.19	71907.91	72148			72560(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-10000	5	88	0	55%	0.05	-12.6	3.51%	0	0.9	67	0
23	Apr_1_2011	69619.82	69602.13	71541.58	71552			72680(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10000	1	80	0	54%	0.06	-16.4	3.56%	0	0.9	58	0
24	Mar_31_2011	69581.08	69656.86	70854.07	71440			73460(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	-10000	0	73	0	54%	0.07	-13.2	3.59%	0	1	59	0
25	Mar_30_2011	69531.35	69624.41	69877.27	71424			72320(3.73%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	16	-10000	-2	68	0	54%		-6.8	3.59%	0	0.7	62	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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