Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NUGT: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Apr. 29, 2011

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $78180.0000 (3%) ($75680.0000 - $78879.8000) on Fri. Apr. 29, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.35% (three month average)
RSI   41
Latest Price   $78180.0000(3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT declines -1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(73%)    EEM(26%)    LQD(25%)    PCY(25%)    REMX(25%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -1.675% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(10%)    XLY(11%)    SHY(11%)    XLK(13%)    TLT(13%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.675% (StdDev 3.35%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2%

5 Day Moving Average   $75908(2.99%)
10 Day Moving Average   $76533.36(2.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $76911.04(1.65%)
To recent high   -5.5%
To recent low   30.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 3.34% (three month std-dev: 3.35%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110529

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_29_2011	70940.01	76911.04	76533.36	75908			78180(3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-7	-10000	-2	-21	0	67%	0.01	38.3	3.35%	0	0.5	41	0
2	Apr_28_2011	70931.97	76685.92	76385.36	76148			75900(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-8	-10000	-3	-24	0	67%	-0.01	40.2	3.37%	0	-0.3	45	0
3	Apr_27_2011	70941.05	76534.4	76324.4	76588			76700(4.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-7	-10000	-0	-28	0	62%	0.08	40.5	3.37%	0	0.1	44	0
4	Apr_26_2011	70881.06	76219.92	76218.86	76632			73300(-2.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-11	-10000	-2	-36	0	64%	0.04	37.4	3.44%	0	-0.9	39	0
5	Apr_25_2011	70855.59	76085.03	76724.53	76952			75460(-4.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6	-10000	-1	-21	0	64%	0.07	38.9	3.61%	0	-0.2	58	0

6	Apr_21_2011	70806.61	75941.23	77407.96	77152			79380(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	4	-10000	4	3	0	67%	0.13	49.6	3.54%	0	1	64	0
7	Apr_20_2011	70714.42	75633.22	77370.28	76664			78100(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	5	-10000	4	9	0	67%	0.11	60.8	3.55%	0	0.7	61	0
8	Apr_19_2011	70634.15	75413.02	77536.03	76064			76920(2.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	6	-10000	2	16	0	67%	0.1	68.8	3.57%	0	0.4	61	0
9	Apr_18_2011	70565.07	75048.66	77809.6	75804			74900(-2.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	4	-10000	-5	31	0	68%	0.07	69	3.57%	0	-0	63	0
10	Apr_15_2011	70516.9	74769.46	77665.28	76464			76460(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	4	-10000	-9	44	0	68%	0.09	67.1	3.58%	0	0.4	67	0

11	Apr_14_2011	70450.13	74251.19	77351.78	77720			76940(2.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-10000	-4	65	0	66%	0.1	65	3.6%	0	0.6	60	0
12	Apr_13_2011	70376.38	73607.77	77046.45	78219.2			75100(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	13	-10000	-7	72	0	62%	0.08	60	3.64%	0	0.3	55	0
13	Apr_12_2011	70322.09	73011.18	76836.99	79219.2			75620(-3.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	16	-10000	-6	82	0	62%	0.09	55.9	3.74%	0	0.5	55	0
14	Apr_11_2011	70260.48	72504.65	76328.85	80051.2			78200(-5.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	32	-10000	8	103	0	63%	0.13	54.6	3.71%	0	1	67	0
15	Apr_8_2011	70167.08	71992.4	75505.94	78923.2			82740(4.16%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	35	-10000	14	97	0	66%	0.21	45.4	3.64%	0	2	77	0

16	Apr_7_2011	70017.4	71230.24	74384.09	76911.2			79436(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	-10000	9	86	0	65%	0.16	32.6	3.64%	0	1.7	78	0
17	Apr_6_2011	69903.92	70540.74	73722.77	75716			80100(0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	33	-10000	12	95	0	62%	0.18	20.5	3.64%	0	2.1	82	0
18	Apr_5_2011	69779.58	70027	73013.36	74160			79780(9.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	37	-10000	15	103	0	61%	0.18	6.8	3.7%	0	2.4	83	0
19	Apr_4_2011	69656.12	69585.19	71907.91	72148			72560(-0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-10000	5	88	0	55%	0.05	-12.6	3.51%	0	0.9	67	0
20	Apr_1_2011	69619.82	69602.13	71541.58	71552			72680(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10000	1	80	0	54%	0.06	-16.4	3.56%	0	0.9	58	0

21	Mar_31_2011	69581.08	69656.86	70854.07	71440			73460(1.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	-10000	0	73	0	54%	0.07	-13.2	3.59%	0	1	59	0
22	Mar_30_2011	69531.35	69624.41	69877.27	71424			72320(3.73%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	16	-10000	-2	68	0	54%	0.05	-6.8	3.59%	0	0.7	62	0
23	Mar_29_2011	69495.14	69754.16	68908.65	71724			69720(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.5	15	-10000	1	56	0	52%	0	-1.2	3.56%	0	-0	48	0
24	Mar_28_2011	69492.18	70025.58	68463.35	71616			69580(-3.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	10	-10000	1	38	0	54%	0	4.2	3.56%	0	-0.1	45	0
25	Mar_25_2011	69491.01	70201.65	68313.55	71432			72120(-1.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	-10000	11	28	0	54%		5.1	3.57%	0	0.5	46	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.