Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 1, 2011

Trading Signals: NUGT Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Dec. 8, 2010 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X ETF)
NUGT latest price $75760.0000 (3.24%) ($74586.0000 - $76460.0000) on Tue. Mar. 1, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.36% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $75760.0000(3.24%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NUGT advances 1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NUGT advances 5.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NUGT advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(73%)    EEM(26%)    PCY(25%)    REMX(25%)    VWO(25%)
Factors Impacting NUGT price   NUGT will decline at least -1.68% in a week (0% probabilities).
PEJ(10%)    SHY(11%)    XLY(12%)    XLK(13%)    TLT(13%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.68% (StdDev 3.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $72327.6(4.75%)
10 Day Moving Average   $71099.75(6.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $68117.61(11.22%)
To recent high   -4.5%
To recent low   30.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Average daily price decay: -0.01%

$. NUGT is a 3x leveraged ETF. You'll lose 0.01% a day on average for holding it.$. NUGT price fluctuates within 5.36% (three month std-dev: 3.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110401

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_1_2011	69380.46	68117.61	71099.75	72327.6			75760(3.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	31	-10000	9	95	0	52%	0.16	85.1	3.36%	0	2.1	63	0
2	Feb_28_2011	69266.54	67323.82	70072.09	71223.6			73380(3.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	-10000	3	80	0	52%	0.11	79.8	3.36%	0	1.7	66	0
3	Feb_25_2011	69191.75	66694.38	69119.28	70847.6			71218(4.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-10000	2	73	0	52%	0.05	79.5	3.37%	0	1.3	63	0
4	Feb_24_2011	69154.23	66117.8	68457.7	70596			68340(-6.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	16	-10000	-1	67	0	50%	-0.02	72.7	3.35%	0	0.6	56	0
5	Feb_23_2011	69169.59	65887.78	68215.5	70664			72940(3.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	-10000	9	85	0	54%	0.1	75.4	3.27%	0	1.9	72	0

6	Feb_22_2011	69097.08	65148.85	67644.64	69644			70240(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	-10000	8	82	0	52%	0.03	60.4	3.25%	0	1.4	65	0
7	Feb_18_2011	69074.67	64587.36	67092.99	68700			71500(2.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	32	-10000	14	84	0	52%	0.07	48.5	3.28%	0	1.9	74	0
8	Feb_17_2011	69026.17	64003.05	66407.92	67127.96			69960(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	25	-10000	10	69	0	52%	0.03	33.5	3.29%	0	1.8	69	0
9	Feb_16_2011	69007.11	63555.71	65960.49	66019.96			68680(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	-10000	6	68	0	52%	-0.01	14	3.32%	0	1.7	70	0
10	Feb_15_2011	69013.93	63252.98	65321.37	65415.96			67840(3.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	13	-10000	0	53	0	52%	-0.04	-2.1	3.34%	0	1.7	57	0

11	Feb_14_2011	69038.9	63047.81	64866.82	65407.96			65520(2.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	18	-10000	1	69	0	50%	-0.11	-7.1	3.33%	0	1	64	0
12	Feb_11_2011	69115.4	62877.52	64350.82	65259.96			63639.8(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	15	-10000	-3	70	0	50%	-0.18	-16.8	3.33%	0	0.3	60	0
13	Feb_10_2011	69237.08	62929.94	64114.44	65531.96			64420(-1.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	17	-10000	-3	77	0	50%	-0.16	-16.8	3.37%	0	0.6	58	0
14	Feb_9_2011	69346.56	63147.22	63661.96	65823.96			65660(-3.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	25	-10000	6	82	0	50%	-0.12	-13.3	3.4%	0	0.9	57	0
15	Feb_8_2011	69432.29	63309.85	63447.14	65143.96			67800(4.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	25	-10000	8	75	0	50%	-0.06	-21	3.41%	0	1.4	57	0

16	Feb_7_2011	69471.16	63229.21	62485.56	64267.96			64780(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-10000	9	47	0	47%	-0.16	-41.8	3.37%	0	0.5	50	0
17	Feb_4_2011	69585.58	63301.49	61911.71	63303.96			64999.8(-1.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	12	-10000	8	22	0	47%	-0.16	-64.1	3.41%	0	0.5	55	0
18	Feb_3_2011	69700.22	63363.49	61408.66	62476			65880(5.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	9	-10000	12	-1	0	47%	-0.14	-82.4	3.45%	0	0.8	51	0
19	Feb_2_2011	69798.17	63539.37	60911.74	61200			62260(-1.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-15	-10000	-3	-50	0	43%	-0.28	-93.9	3.34%	0	-0.4	39	0
20	Feb_1_2011	69996.55	64002.08	60967.69	61508			63420(5.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-7	-10000	10	-57	0	43%	-0.25	-88.5	3.38%	0	-0.1	39	0

21	Jan_31_2011	70174.29	64596.22	61003.87	60468			59960(-1.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-20	-10000	2	-86	0	38%	-0.4	-77.8	3.26%	0	-1	39	0
22	Jan_28_2011	70458.02	65475.68	61243.43	60276			60860(2.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-25	-10000	1	-101	0	38%	-0.39	-67.3	3.3%	0	-0.8	41	0
23	Jan_27_2011	70732.25	66247.98	61628.07	60144			59500(-6.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-31	-10000	-4	-110	0	38%	-0.46	-61.9	3.31%	0	-1.1	39	0
24	Jan_26_2011	71062.61	67155.16	62592.39	60540			63800(9.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-27	-10000	1	-109	0	42%	-0.31	-56.5	3.19%	0	-0.5	38	0
25	Jan_25_2011	71282.69	67811.14	63120.5	60424			58220(-1.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-48	-10000	-15	-145	0	31%		-53.6	2.69%	0	-1.5	22	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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