Trading Signals: NTES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 8, 2017

Trading Signals: NTES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Oct. 5, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(NetEase Inc)
NTES latest price $53.1000 (2.89%) ($51.6500 - $53.2300) on Wed. Feb. 8, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.41% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $53.1000(2.89%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NTES advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NTES advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NTES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(72%)    MCHI(68%)    FXI(64%)    EEM(58%)    VWO(53%)
Factors Impacting NTES price   NTES will decline at least -1.205% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-10%)    UUP(-8%)    IPO(-4%)    TLT(-2%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.205% (StdDev 2.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $51.73(2.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.17(3.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.93(6.35%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   24.6%
Market Cap   $7.275b

NetEase, Inc. engages in the provision of online internet technology services. It operates through the following business segments: Online Games, E-commerce, Advertisign Services, and E-Mail and Others. The Online Games segment offers multi-player online role-playing games and mobile games. The E-commerce segment provides online selling and payment platform, e-reading applications, matchmaking services, online music, social network, personalized photo-based products, and online game-related accessories. The Advertising segment involves banner advertising, channel sponsorships, direct e-mail, interactive media-rich sites, sponsored special events, games and contests. The E-Mail Services segment comprise free and fee-based premium e-mail services. The company was founded by Lei Ding in June 1997 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. NTES price fluctuates within 3.34% (three month std-dev: 2.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 46 Average positive next day return: 1.97%(35%) Average negative next day return: -1.4%(65%) Sample size 46 Average positive next three day return: 2.34%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -2.09%(57%) Sample size 46 Average positive next weekly return: 3.5%(52%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.62%(48%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170308

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_8_2017	48.14	49.93	51.17	51.73	51.69	52.09	53.1(2.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	34	50	23	66	6.19	49%	0.1	87.4	2.41%	0	1.9	83	0
2	Feb_7_2017	48.09	49.67	50.88	51.26	51.26	51.59	51.61(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	25	50	12	65	3.36	49%	0.02	100.3	2.39%	0	1.3	82	0
3	Feb_6_2017	48.08	49.44	50.79	51.09	51.06	51.29	51.73(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	30	16	73	5.46	49%	0.1	108.2	2.42%	0	1.5	67	0
4	Feb_3_2017	48.03	49.13	50.59	50.77	50.76	50.93	51(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	20	7	72	2.83	49%	0.06	98.3	2.42%	0	1.1	70	0
5	Feb_2_2017	48	48.88	50.35	50.68	50.49	50.82	51.2(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	27	30	9	79	3.41	48%	0.1	96.9	2.42%	0	1.3	73	0

6	Feb_1_2017	47.95	48.52	50.03	50.52	50.39	50.59	50.76(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	20	12	77	3.35	45%	0.08	82.4	2.43%	0	1.1	65	0
7	Jan_31_2017	47.91	48.17	49.69	50.43	50.2	50.17	50.78(1.36%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	15	-20	-2	66	2.27	43%	0.1	72.8	2.47%	0	1.2	64	0
8	Jan_30_2017	47.86	47.8	49.47	50.46	50.3	50.19	50.1(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	18	-20	-1	76	2	43%	0.17	74.3	2.49%	0	1.1	66	0
9	Jan_27_2017	47.78	47.52	49.22	50.38	50.46	50.22	50.58(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	-30	6	88	1.78	43%	0.13	67.9	2.49%	0	1.3	74	0
10	Jan_26_2017	47.72	47.23	48.88	49.96	50.17	50.41	50.39(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	50	8	85	4.09	43%	0.15	67.1	2.49%	0	1.4	70	0

11	Jan_25_2017	47.65	46.94	48.61	49.44	49.7	50.7	50.32(-1.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	52	160	35	103	3.42	43%	0.13	66	2.49%	0	1.5	76	0
12	Jan_24_2017	47.59	46.65	48.36	48.81	48.92	49.92	50.89(2.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	58	150	41	110	6.54	43%	0.08	65.9	2.49%	0	2	79	0
13	Jan_23_2017	47.55	46.27	47.95	48.35	48.18	48.7	49.72(2.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	48	70	26	112	5.48	43%	0.15	68.9	2.48%	0	1.8	78	0
14	Jan_20_2017	47.48	46	47.53	47.92	47.93	47.92	48.47(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	35	-0	13	102	4.81	41%	0.11	70.8	2.46%	0	1.4	66	0
15	Jan_19_2017	47.43	45.75	47.27	47.64	47.71	47.67	47.8(1.36%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	21	-0	-4	95	3.19	41%	0.13	65.2	2.45%	0	1.2	63	0

16	Jan_18_2017	47.37	45.52	46.89	47.65	47.63	47.93	47.16(-3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	25	40	1	95	6.04	41%	0.11	67	2.45%	0	1	61	0
17	Jan_17_2017	47.32	45.3	46.56	47.82	47.62	47.75	48.62(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	37	10	15	104	5.86	43%	0.21	63.5	2.43%	0	1.9	68	0
18	Jan_13_2017	47.22	45	46.02	47.49	47.57	47.33	47.54(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	30	-30	8	94	3.43	43%	0.13	54.4	2.39%	0	1.5	71	0
19	Jan_12_2017	47.16	44.79	45.71	47.06	47.31	47.49	47.09(-1.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	22	40	3	80	4.77	45%	0.11	45.4	2.39%	0	1.4	61	0
20	Jan_11_2017	47.11	44.63	45.47	46.81	46.89	47.82	47.85(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	52	140	38	94	3.33	44%	0.11	42.1	2.41%	0	2	69	0

21	Jan_10_2017	47.06	44.41	45.15	45.99	46.21	47.13	48(2.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	61	150	53	83	6.17	46%	0.13	26.4	2.43%	0	2.6	69	0
22	Jan_9_2017	47	44.22	44.79	45.12	45.19	45.96	46.98(3.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	42	120	36	60	5.67	46%	0.11	13.8	2.45%	0	2.5	70	0
23	Jan_6_2017	46.95	44.1	44.42	44.33	44.52	45.29	45.39(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	30	130	27	38	3.91	46%	0.09	0	2.41%	0	1.5	65	0
24	Jan_5_2017	46.91	44.05	44.33	44.18	44.07	44.41	45.84(4.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	22	50	18	35	10.84	46%	0.06	-6.2	2.45%	0	2.1	61	0
25	Jan_4_2017	46.88	43.97	44.07	43.96	44	43.76	43.74(0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-40	-8	16	5.6	42%		-24	2.37%	0	-0.3	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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