Trading Signals: NTES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 12, 2017

Trading Signals: NTES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Oct. 5, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(NetEase Inc)
NTES latest price $47.0900 (-1.59%) ($46.4300 - $47.8300) on Thu. Jan. 12, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.39% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $47.0900(-1.59%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NTES advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NTES advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NTES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(72%)    MCHI(68%)    FXI(64%)    EEM(58%)    VWO(53%)
Factors Impacting NTES price   NTES will decline at least -1.195% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-10%)    UUP(-8%)    IPO(-4%)    TLT(-2%)    SHY(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.195% (StdDev 2.39%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.06(0.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.71(3.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.79(5.14%)
To recent high   -12.7%
To recent low   10.5%
Market Cap   $6.451b

NetEase, Inc. engages in the provision of online internet technology services. It operates through the following business segments: Online Games, E-commerce, Advertisign Services, and E-Mail and Others. The Online Games segment offers multi-player online role-playing games and mobile games. The E-commerce segment provides online selling and payment platform, e-reading applications, matchmaking services, online music, social network, personalized photo-based products, and online game-related accessories. The Advertising segment involves banner advertising, channel sponsorships, direct e-mail, interactive media-rich sites, sponsored special events, games and contests. The E-Mail Services segment comprise free and fee-based premium e-mail services. The company was founded by Lei Ding in June 1997 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. NTES price fluctuates within 3.68% (three month std-dev: 2.39%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 2.32%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.81%(33%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 2.42%(83%) Average negative next three day return: -4.28%(17%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 3.23%(83%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.29%(17%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170212

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_12_2017	47.16	44.79	45.71	47.06	47.31	47.49	47.09(-1.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	22	40	3	80	4.77	45%	0.11	45.4	2.39%	0	1.4	61	INF
2	Jan_11_2017	47.11	44.63	45.47	46.81	46.89	47.82	47.85(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	52	140	38	94	3.33	44%	0.11	42.1	2.41%	0	2	69	INF
3	Jan_10_2017	47.06	44.41	45.15	45.99	46.21	47.13	48(2.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	61	150	53	83	6.17	46%	0.13	26.4	2.43%	0	2.6	69	INF
4	Jan_9_2017	47	44.22	44.79	45.12	45.19	45.96	46.98(3.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	42	120	36	60	5.67	46%	0.11	13.8	2.45%	0	2.5	70	INF
5	Jan_6_2017	46.95	44.1	44.42	44.33	44.52	45.29	45.39(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	30	130	27	38	3.91	46%	0.09	0	2.41%	0	1.5	65	INF

6	Jan_5_2017	46.91	44.05	44.33	44.18	44.07	44.41	45.84(4.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	22	50	18	35	10.84	46%	0.06	-6.2	2.45%	0	2.1	61	INF
7	Jan_4_2017	46.88	43.97	44.07	43.96	44	43.76	43.74(0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	-40	-8	16	5.6	42%	0.04	-24	2.37%	0	-0.3	48	INF
8	Jan_3_2017	46.86	44.04	44.04	44.18	44.32	43.73	43.63(1.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-10	-80	-19	17	3.99	42%	0.15	-23.1	2.38%	0	-0.5	50	INF
9	Dec_30_2016	46.79	44.07	43.96	44.4	44.66	44.24	43.07(-3.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-8	-50	-16	15	3.39	42%	0.06	-22	2.38%	0	-1.3	42	INF
10	Dec_29_2016	46.76	44.1	43.94	44.4	44.72	44.9	44.6(-0.4%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	2	50	-1	11	2.21	44%	0.11	-36.6	2.34%	0	0.7	46	INF

11	Dec_28_2016	46.71	44.11	43.83	44.47	44.5	45.07	44.78(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	90	20	14	2.74	44%	0.11	-45.1	2.34%	0	0.9	50	INF
12	Dec_27_2016	46.66	44.15	43.74	44.19	44.27	44.54	44.8(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	19	50	24	4	2.81	44%	0.24	-53.8	2.34%	0	0.8	51	INF
13	Dec_23_2016	46.55	44.22	43.62	43.9	43.86	43.93	44.73(3.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	10	10	-19	4.29	43%	0.11	-55.4	2.35%	0	0.5	46	INF
14	Dec_22_2016	46.5	44.24	43.6	43.48	43.6	44.01	43.42(-2.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	1	70	11	-30	3.89	40%	0.09	-74.8	2.33%	0	-0.8	47	INF
15	Dec_21_2016	46.46	44.38	43.75	43.33	43.36	43.8	44.62(2.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	11	70	22	-24	6.42	42%	0.09	-72.8	2.31%	0	0.2	57	INF

16	Dec_20_2016	46.42	44.46	43.73	43.1	43.06	43.19	43.38(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-9	20	2	-41	2.27	39%	0.06	-71.4	2.3%	0	-0.9	42	INF
17	Dec_19_2016	46.39	44.63	43.84	43.24	43.16	43.19	43.35(1.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-40	-5	-47	5.13	43%	0.06	-52.9	2.31%	0	-1	36	INF
18	Dec_16_2016	46.36	44.77	44.02	43.32	43.45	42.93	42.61(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-29	-70	-20	-56	5.71	43%	0.02	-54.5	2.37%	0	-1.8	30	INF
19	Dec_15_2016	46.35	45	44.19	43.74	43.58	43.4	42.67(-1.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-34	-40	-27	-54	4.3	43%	0.02	-39.9	2.37%	0	-1.9	37	INF
20	Dec_14_2016	46.34	45.18	44.3	44.21	44.07	43.96	43.5(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-13	-30	-3	-44	4.98	43%	0.06	-49.6	2.37%	0	-1.5	36	INF

21	Dec_13_2016	46.31	45.18	44.44	44.44	44.31	43.76	44.09(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-21	-100	-12	-49	4.96	43%	0.09	-65.7	2.37%	0	-1.2	38	INF
22	Dec_12_2016	46.27	45.29	44.62	44.53	44.41	44.18	43.72(-2.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-32	-40	-24	-56	8.49	50%	0.11	-88.7	2.37%	0	-1.5	34	INF
23	Dec_9_2016	46.22	45.45	44.88	44.83	44.73	44.86	44.71(-0.73%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-2	10	8	-31	2.95	47%	0.11	-89.8	2.55%	0	-0.7	42	INF
24	Dec_8_2016	46.17	45.5	44.95	44.71	44.59	44.63	45.04(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	-0	9	-43	4.64	47%	0.11	-107.4	2.6%	0	-0.4	38	INF
25	Dec_7_2016	46.12	45.74	45.06	44.41	44.33	44.61	44.63(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	40	1	-54	5.66	47%		-77.2	2.6%	0	-0.8	45	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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