Trading Signals: NTES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 1, 2016

Trading Signals: NTES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Oct. 5, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(NetEase Inc)
NTES latest price $43.1800 (1.86%) ($42.1800 - $43.4200) on Thu. Sep. 1, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.1% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $43.1800(1.86%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NTES advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NTES advances 0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NTES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(72%)    MCHI(67%)    FXI(63%)    EEM(57%)    VWO(53%)
Factors Impacting NTES price   NTES will decline at least -1.05% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    UUP(-9%)    SHY(-2%)    IPO(-2%)    TLT(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.05% (StdDev 2.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.8(0.89%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.52(1.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.83(3.23%)
To recent high   -0.8%
To recent low   33.3%
Market Cap   $5.916b

NetEase, Inc. engages in the provision of online internet technology services. It operates through the following business segments: Online Games, E-commerce, Advertisign Services, and E-Mail and Others. The Online Games segment offers multi-player online role-playing games and mobile games. The E-commerce segment provides online selling and payment platform, e-reading applications, matchmaking services, online music, social network, personalized photo-based products, and online game-related accessories. The Advertising segment involves banner advertising, channel sponsorships, direct e-mail, interactive media-rich sites, sponsored special events, games and contests. The E-Mail Services segment comprise free and fee-based premium e-mail services. The company was founded by Lei Ding in June 1997 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. NTES price fluctuates within 2.84% (three month std-dev: 2.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 32 Average positive next day return: 1.08%(47%) Average negative next day return: -0.94%(53%) Sample size 32 Average positive next three day return: 1.38%(59%) Average negative next three day return: -1.73%(41%) Sample size 32 Average positive next weekly return: 1.59%(56%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.59%(44%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161001

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_1_2016	35.52	41.83	42.52	42.8	42.67	42.53	43.18(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-30	9	29	5.64	70%	0.42	56.7	2.1%	0	1.1	62	0
2	Aug_31_2016	35.37	41.66	42.35	42.51	42.66	42.43	42.39(0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-30	-6	22	3.8	70%	0.43	43.4	2.1%	0	0.6	65	0
3	Aug_30_2016	35.22	41.53	42.38	42.47	42.53	42.81	42.2(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	50	-3	39	5.07	70%	0.43	35.8	2.1%	0	0.5	65	0
4	Aug_29_2016	35.07	41.43	42.42	42.56	42.5	42.89	42.71(-1.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	31	60	18	70	4.67	70%	0.4	35.4	2.11%	0	1	69	0
5	Aug_26_2016	34.93	41.31	42.37	42.52	42.4	42.24	43.54(4.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	-30	12	82	6.46	71%	0.43	36.9	2.1%	0	1.9	72	0

6	Aug_25_2016	34.78	41.17	42.14	42.2	42.28	42.1	41.7(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	-20	-10	70	3.88	69%	0.38	40.1	2.05%	0	0.5	62	0
7	Aug_24_2016	34.65	41.14	42	42.17	42.22	42.56	42.22(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	21	60	2	78	4.85	72%	0.41	47.3	2.04%	0	1	70	0
8	Aug_23_2016	34.51	41.09	41.78	42.17	42.12	42.45	42.63(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	40	13	85	3.83	72%	0.41	58.5	2.15%	0	1.5	74	0
9	Aug_22_2016	34.37	41	41.51	42.26	42.15	41.89	42.51(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-50	1	80	4.54	72%	0.41	67.6	2.17%	0	1.5	68	0
10	Aug_19_2016	34.23	40.88	41.26	42.22	42.3	41.8	41.95(1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-80	-12	72	6.66	74%	0.41	68.6	2.2%	0	1.1	60	0

11	Aug_18_2016	34.09	40.74	41.1	42.06	42.43	42.4	41.52(-2.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	19	20	2	69	15.8	74%	0.38	65.8	2.21%	0	0.8	55	0
12	Aug_17_2016	33.96	40.64	40.92	41.77	42.06	42.79	42.67(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	37	140	29	62	5.66	77%	0.44	59.4	2.17%	0	2.1	59	0
13	Aug_16_2016	33.81	40.49	40.62	41.21	41.42	42.46	42.64(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	47	190	49	39	7.48	79%	0.45	55.3	2.17%	0	2.4	56	0
14	Aug_15_2016	33.66	40.34	40.34	40.64	40.7	41.33	42.3(2.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	31	110	38	8	6.19	79%	0.24	46.4	2.26%	0	2.6	59	0
15	Aug_12_2016	33.58	40.21	40.14	40.2	40.13	40.38	41.17(2.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	4	40	11	-17	5.54	80%	0.39	38.4	2.31%	0	1.5	58	0

16	Aug_11_2016	33.45	40.1	40.09	40.03	40.13	40.07	40.06(0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	1	0	6	-16	3.46	79%	0.33	46.5	2.3%	0	-0.1	60	0
17	Aug_10_2016	33.34	40.06	40.19	39.95	40.05	39.89	39.88(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5	-20	-2	-13	3.88	80%	0.3	49.4	2.3%	0	-0.3	56	0
18	Aug_9_2016	33.24	40.01	40.34	39.92	40.01	40.04	39.8(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-5	10	-5	-6	3.4	80%	0.3	57.7	2.32%	0	-0.3	52	0
19	Aug_8_2016	33.14	40	40.45	39.97	40.03	40.22	40.07(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	4	40	3	6	3.05	80%	0.33	73	2.32%	0	0.1	54	0
20	Aug_5_2016	33.03	39.96	40.47	40.07	40.02	39.99	40.32(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	3	-10	-0	10	2.96	80%	0.3	70.6	2.32%	0	0.4	55	0

21	Aug_4_2016	32.93	39.81	40.38	40.17	40.1	39.85	39.68(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-9	-50	-15	10	2.74	80%	0.3	60.5	2.32%	0	-0.1	59	0
22	Aug_3_2016	32.83	39.72	40.37	40.48	40.39	40.06	39.72(-0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-9	-60	-19	22	4.45	80%	0.34	68.2	2.32%	0	0	58	0
23	Aug_2_2016	32.72	39.61	40.39	40.82	40.77	40.36	40.07(-1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-1	-70	-15	43	3.69	80%	0.34	81.6	2.32%	0	0.4	65	0
24	Aug_1_2016	32.61	39.49	40.37	40.99	41.03	40.72	40.54(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-50	-9	55	5.4	80%	0.37	100	2.32%	0	0.8	59	0
25	Jul_29_2016	32.49	39.31	40.31	40.92	41.07	41.19	40.85(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	30	8	63	2.53	81%		102	2.33%	0	1.1	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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