Trading Signals: NTES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 19, 2016

Trading Signals: NTES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Oct. 5, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(NetEase Inc)
NTES latest price $41.9500 (1.04%) ($40.8400 - $42.1500) on Fri. Aug. 19, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.2% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $41.9500(1.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NTES advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NTES advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NTES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(72%)    MCHI(67%)    FXI(63%)    EEM(57%)    VWO(53%)
Factors Impacting NTES price   NTES will decline at least -1.1% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    UUP(-8%)    SHY(-2%)    IPO(-2%)    TLT(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.1% (StdDev 2.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.22(-0.64%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.26(1.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.88(2.62%)
To recent high   -1.7%
To recent low   30.1%
Market Cap   $5.747b

NetEase, Inc. engages in the provision of online internet technology services. It operates through the following business segments: Online Games, E-commerce, Advertisign Services, and E-Mail and Others. The Online Games segment offers multi-player online role-playing games and mobile games. The E-commerce segment provides online selling and payment platform, e-reading applications, matchmaking services, online music, social network, personalized photo-based products, and online game-related accessories. The Advertising segment involves banner advertising, channel sponsorships, direct e-mail, interactive media-rich sites, sponsored special events, games and contests. The E-Mail Services segment comprise free and fee-based premium e-mail services. The company was founded by Lei Ding in June 1997 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. NTES price fluctuates within 2.42% (three month std-dev: 2.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.42%(67%) Average negative next day return: -1.77%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -3.32%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0.28%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.62%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160919

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_19_2016	34.23	40.88	41.26	42.22	42.3	41.8	41.95(1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-80	-12	72	6.66	74%	0.41	68.6	2.2%	0	1.1	60	INF
2	Aug_18_2016	34.09	40.74	41.1	42.06	42.43	42.4	41.52(-2.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	19	20	2	69	15.8	74%	0.38	65.8	2.21%	0	0.8	55	INF
3	Aug_17_2016	33.96	40.64	40.92	41.77	42.06	42.79	42.67(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	37	140	29	62	5.66	77%	0.44	59.4	2.17%	0	2.1	59	INF
4	Aug_16_2016	33.81	40.49	40.62	41.21	41.42	42.46	42.64(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	47	190	49	39	7.48	79%	0.45	55.3	2.17%	0	2.4	56	INF
5	Aug_15_2016	33.66	40.34	40.34	40.64	40.7	41.33	42.3(2.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	31	110	38	8	6.19	79%	0.24	46.4	2.26%	0	2.6	59	INF

6	Aug_12_2016	33.58	40.21	40.14	40.2	40.13	40.38	41.17(2.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	4	40	11	-17	5.54	80%	0.39	38.4	2.31%	0	1.5	58	INF
7	Aug_11_2016	33.45	40.1	40.09	40.03	40.13	40.07	40.06(0.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	1	0	6	-16	3.46	79%	0.33	46.5	2.3%	0	-0.1	60	INF
8	Aug_10_2016	33.34	40.06	40.19	39.95	40.05	39.89	39.88(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-5	-20	-2	-13	3.88	80%	0.3	49.4	2.3%	0	-0.3	56	INF
9	Aug_9_2016	33.24	40.01	40.34	39.92	40.01	40.04	39.8(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-5	10	-5	-6	3.4	80%	0.3	57.7	2.32%	0	-0.3	52	INF
10	Aug_8_2016	33.14	40	40.45	39.97	40.03	40.22	40.07(-0.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	4	40	3	6	3.05	80%	0.33	73	2.32%	0	0.1	54	INF

11	Aug_5_2016	33.03	39.96	40.47	40.07	40.02	39.99	40.32(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	3	-10	-0	10	2.96	80%	0.3	70.6	2.32%	0	0.4	55	INF
12	Aug_4_2016	32.93	39.81	40.38	40.17	40.1	39.85	39.68(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-9	-50	-15	10	2.74	80%	0.3	60.5	2.32%	0	-0.1	59	INF
13	Aug_3_2016	32.83	39.72	40.37	40.48	40.39	40.06	39.72(-0.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-9	-60	-19	22	4.45	80%	0.34	68.2	2.32%	0	0	58	INF
14	Aug_2_2016	32.72	39.61	40.39	40.82	40.77	40.36	40.07(-1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-1	-70	-15	43	3.69	80%	0.34	81.6	2.32%	0	0.4	65	INF
15	Aug_1_2016	32.61	39.49	40.37	40.99	41.03	40.72	40.54(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	-50	-9	55	5.4	80%	0.37	100	2.32%	0	0.8	59	INF

16	Jul_29_2016	32.49	39.31	40.31	40.92	41.07	41.19	40.85(-0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	22	30	8	63	2.53	81%	0.4	102	2.33%	0	1.1	63	INF
17	Jul_28_2016	32.36	39.19	40.13	40.59	40.73	41.34	41.21(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	120	22	69	3.82	81%	0.4	114.7	2.37%	0	1.5	78	INF
18	Jul_27_2016	32.23	38.95	39.92	40.24	40.21	40.95	41.43(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	40	130	30	70	3.63	81%	0.44	114.7	2.36%	0	1.8	72	INF
19	Jul_26_2016	32.09	38.62	39.64	39.92	39.8	40.12	40.9(1.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	32	50	21	65	4.69	81%	0.41	101.3	2.37%	0	1.5	73	INF
20	Jul_25_2016	31.96	38.25	39.48	39.69	39.59	40.12	40.22(2.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	17	-30	1	63	3.73	81%	0.38	83.7	2.36%	0	1.1	69	INF

21	Jul_22_2016	31.84	37.97	39.39	39.63	39.61	39.47	39.2(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	-30	-5	75	4.34	80%	0.38	83.3	2.35%	0	0.6	68	INF
22	Jul_21_2016	31.72	37.75	39.2	39.59	39.69	39.7	39.47(-0.85%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	10	2	68	3.74	80%	0.38	83.5	2.38%	0	0.9	55	INF
23	Jul_20_2016	31.6	37.46	39.03	39.52	39.6	39.74	39.81(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	30	8	78	4.84	80%	0.41	79.3	2.37%	0	1.1	67	INF
24	Jul_19_2016	31.47	37.14	38.78	39.3	39.42	39.67	39.76(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	50	7	87	3.33	80%	0.41	74.3	2.38%	0	1.2	73	INF
25	Jul_18_2016	31.34	36.8	38.54	39.25	39.28	39.46	39.89(2.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	35	30	8	114	7.44	80%		73	2.38%	0	1.3	76	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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