Trading Signals: NTES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 13, 2016

Trading Signals: NTES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Oct. 5, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(NetEase Inc)
NTES latest price $38.7300 (-1.87%) ($38.6000 - $39.5800) on Wed. Jul. 13, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.41% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $38.7300(-1.87%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NTES advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NTES advances 6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NTES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(72%)    MCHI(67%)    FXI(62%)    EEM(57%)    VWO(52%)
Factors Impacting NTES price   NTES will decline at least -1.205% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-2%)    SHY(-2%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.205% (StdDev 2.41%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.45(0.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.91(2.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $35.83(8.09%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   45.5%
Market Cap   $5.306b

NetEase, Inc. engages in the provision of online internet technology services. It operates through the following business segments: Online Games, E-commerce, Advertisign Services, and E-Mail and Others. The Online Games segment offers multi-player online role-playing games and mobile games. The E-commerce segment provides online selling and payment platform, e-reading applications, matchmaking services, online music, social network, personalized photo-based products, and online game-related accessories. The Advertising segment involves banner advertising, channel sponsorships, direct e-mail, interactive media-rich sites, sponsored special events, games and contests. The E-Mail Services segment comprise free and fee-based premium e-mail services. The company was founded by Lei Ding in June 1997 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. NTES price fluctuates within 6.56% (three month std-dev: 2.41%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 16 Average positive next day return: 1.85%(56%) Average negative next day return: -1.54%(44%) Sample size 16 Average positive next three day return: 2.48%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.57%(50%) Sample size 16 Average positive next weekly return: 4.72%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.09%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160813

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_13_2016	31.02	35.83	37.91	38.45	38.7	39.43	38.73(-1.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	52	150	17	155	5.31	82%	0.26	57.8	2.41%	0	1.2	70	0
2	Jul_12_2016	30.94	35.54	37.52	38.15	38.27	39.18	39.47(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	73	180	42	166	8.77	82%	0.23	51	2.43%	0	1.7	73	0
3	Jul_11_2016	30.87	35.18	36.92	37.73	37.66	37.97	39.32(6.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	58	50	27	150	13.9	82%	0.29	44	2.44%	0	1.9	74	0
4	Jul_8_2016	30.78	34.83	36.43	37.24	37.31	37.37	37.03(-1.75%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	29	20	-8	138	7.47	80%	0.23	34.6	2.37%	0	1.1	71	0
5	Jul_7_2016	30.71	34.68	36.19	37.57	37.41	37.34	37.69(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	49	-30	7	173	5.87	80%	0.2	40.2	2.37%	0	1.5	70	0

6	Jul_6_2016	30.65	34.52	35.78	37.29	37.51	37.25	37.22(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	53	-30	13	174	8.2	80%	0.23	38.3	2.36%	0	1.5	70	0
7	Jul_5_2016	30.58	34.39	35.38	36.76	37.1	37.48	37.37(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	57	100	22	161	8.05	80%	0.33	30.6	2.37%	0	1.7	71	0
8	Jul_1_2016	30.48	34.25	34.94	35.96	36.34	37.77	36.91(-4.48%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	71	310	47	143	10.6	80%	0.33	18.5	2.36%	0	1.7	71	0
9	Jun_30_2016	30.38	34.14	34.51	35.46	35.32	36.71	38.64(6.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.2	90	260	73	142	12.49	86%	0.36	9.6	2.27%	0	3.1	81	0
10	Jun_29_2016	30.27	33.91	33.91	34.65	34.33	34.91	36.3(4.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	55	90	43	90	8.49	84%	0.3	-7.5	2.16%	0	2.2	58	0

11	Jun_28_2016	30.18	33.84	33.55	34.09	33.96	33.93	34.6(3.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	-20	15	39	3.55	82%	0.3	-21.8	2.09%	0	0.8	46	0
12	Jun_27_2016	30.09	33.87	33.37	33.8	33.77	33.75	33.33(-3.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	-10	-2	3	5.35	81%	0.17	-17.6	2.09%	0	-0.5	37	0
13	Jun_24_2016	30.04	33.96	33.31	33.73	33.64	33.99	34.42(-0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	11	60	18	-10	5.96	87%	0.13	-11.7	2.06%	0	0.4	44	0
14	Jun_23_2016	30	34	33.1	33.37	33.47	33.79	34.58(3.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	8	80	26	-46	4.03	87%	0.17	-7.8	2.06%	0	0.5	43	0
15	Jun_22_2016	29.95	33.99	33.04	33.07	33.1	33.29	33.51(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-11	40	9	-72	4.26	86%	0.1	-7.8	2.06%	0	-0.4	38	0

16	Jun_21_2016	29.92	34.06	33.16	32.94	32.96	33.14	33.15(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-15	40	8	-82	3.72	86%	0.07	-2.5	2.06%	0	-0.8	30	0
17	Jun_20_2016	29.9	34.05	33.33	32.88	32.89	32.92	32.99(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-17	10	7	-90	3.89	86%	0.07	-1.5	2.06%	0	-1	27	0
18	Jun_17_2016	29.88	34.05	33.51	32.81	32.8	32.79	32.62(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-0	0	-99	4.31	86%	0.03	7.5	2.08%	0	-1.3	28	0
19	Jun_16_2016	29.87	34.05	33.75	32.77	32.76	32.86	33.06(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-32	20	-7	-107	5.82	86%	0.1	18.8	2.08%	0	-0.9	29	0
20	Jun_15_2016	29.84	34.05	33.92	33.02	32.82	32.8	32.86(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-35	-20	-14	-98	4.41	86%	0.07	39.7	2.11%	0	-1.1	38	0

21	Jun_14_2016	29.82	34.08	34.16	33.44	33.21	32.65	32.89(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-39	-140	-24	-82	3.85	86%	0.03	66.8	2.11%	0	-1	37	0
22	Jun_13_2016	29.81	34.07	34.43	33.85	33.76	32.83	32.64(0.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-45	-200	-43	-52	5.95	86%	0.07	94.5	2.11%	0	-1.2	54	0
23	Jun_10_2016	29.79	34	34.69	34.3	34.35	33.78	32.4(-5.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-36	-110	-42	-18	11.4	87%	0.03	102.3	2.15%	0	-1.2	49	0
24	Jun_9_2016	29.78	33.87	35.01	34.85	34.82	34.69	34.3(-1.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	4	-30	-10	44	5.64	100%	0.07	96.2	2.03%	0	0.3	67	0
25	Jun_8_2016	29.76	33.63	35.05	34.93	34.96	34.93	34.96(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	16	-0	-2	68	7.16	100%		87.1	2.02%	0	0.7	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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