Trading Signals: NTES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 13, 2016

Trading Signals: NTES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Oct. 5, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(NetEase Inc)
NTES latest price $30.6800 (5.21%) ($29.3100 - $30.8600) on Fri. May. 13, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.94% (three month average)
RSI   83
Latest Price   $30.6800(5.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NTES advances 1.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NTES advances 3.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NTES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(72%)    MCHI(67%)    FXI(62%)    EEM(56%)    VWO(52%)
Factors Impacting NTES price   NTES will decline at least -1.47% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-2%)    SHY(-2%)    IPO(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.47% (StdDev 2.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.07(5.54%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.53(7.54%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.86(10.12%)
To recent high   -4.2%
To recent low   15.3%
Market Cap   $4.203b

NetEase, Inc. engages in the provision of online internet technology services. It operates through the following business segments: Online Games, E-commerce, Advertisign Services, and E-Mail and Others. The Online Games segment offers multi-player online role-playing games and mobile games. The E-commerce segment provides online selling and payment platform, e-reading applications, matchmaking services, online music, social network, personalized photo-based products, and online game-related accessories. The Advertising segment involves banner advertising, channel sponsorships, direct e-mail, interactive media-rich sites, sponsored special events, games and contests. The E-Mail Services segment comprise free and fee-based premium e-mail services. The company was founded by Lei Ding in June 1997 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. NTES price fluctuates within 3.48% (three month std-dev: 2.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.48%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.5%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.43%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160613

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_13_2016	29.6	27.86	28.53	29.07	29.11	29.64	30.68(5.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	43	130	28	88	11.65	71%	-0.2	34.5	2.94%	0	2.9	83	0
2	May_12_2016	29.66	27.7	28.25	28.54	28.57	29.08	29.16(0.45%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	32	130	17	76	16.86	68%	-0.27	19.7	2.89%	0	2	78	0
3	May_11_2016	29.74	27.64	28.04	28.33	28.26	28.59	29.03(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	30	70	17	67	9.07	68%	-0.23	8.1	2.89%	0	2	66	0
4	May_10_2016	29.81	27.6	27.8	28.11	28.05	28.05	28.68(3.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	20	-10	9	51	5.22	68%	-0.27	-4.1	2.89%	0	1.8	65	0
5	May_9_2016	29.89	27.54	27.6	27.88	27.92	27.92	27.79(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	7	0	-2	33	4.29	65%	-0.3	-22.2	2.87%	0	0.4	52	0

6	May_6_2016	29.98	27.53	27.49	27.9	27.84	28.06	28.06(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	50	3	28	4.87	59%	-0.3	-23.9	2.92%	0	0.9	51	0
7	May_5_2016	30.07	27.55	27.35	27.91	27.81	27.91	28.1(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	10	12	25	4.69	51%	-0.3	-21	2.94%	0	0.8	54	0
8	May_4_2016	30.16	27.59	27.25	27.69	27.67	27.62	27.9(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	6	-10	6	6	4.49	51%	-0.26	-26.8	3.09%	0	0.4	44	0
9	May_3_2016	30.24	27.63	27.25	27.43	27.49	27.72	27.54(-1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	70	6	-13	4.42	48%	-0.3	-33.7	3.09%	0	-0.1	37	0
10	May_2_2016	30.33	27.66	27.17	27.27	27.26	27.71	27.88(-0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	8	110	16	-15	4.23	48%	-0.23	-36.9	3.11%	0	0.3	54	0

11	Apr_29_2016	30.4	27.68	27.14	27.02	26.96	27.26	28.14(4.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	7	70	17	-25	7.76	48%	-0.23	-43.6	3.09%	0	0.6	52	0
12	Apr_28_2016	30.47	27.69	27.08	26.71	26.7	26.82	26.98(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-11	30	2	-50	4.87	44%	-0.29	-54.7	3.04%	0	-0.9	34	0
13	Apr_27_2016	30.56	27.78	27.2	26.76	26.66	26.66	26.63(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-10	-3	-55	3.57	44%	-0.33	-56.6	3.04%	0	-1.5	28	0
14	Apr_26_2016	30.66	27.88	27.38	26.87	26.81	26.59	26.72(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-60	-7	-56	3.9	41%	-0.29	-65.3	3.04%	0	-1.6	29	0
15	Apr_25_2016	30.75	27.94	27.46	27.04	26.98	26.67	26.62(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-26	-90	-15	-58	4.46	44%	-0.32	-76.5	3.08%	0	-1.9	37	0

16	Apr_22_2016	30.85	28.02	27.59	27.28	27.27	27.04	26.61(-2.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-21	-60	-11	-51	4.93	42%	-0.23	-84	3.11%	0	-2.2	37	0
17	Apr_21_2016	30.92	28.13	27.79	27.49	27.47	27.29	27.23(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-18	-50	-10	-43	5.96	42%	-0.26	-97	3.12%	0	-1.6	38	0
18	Apr_20_2016	31	28.23	27.96	27.7	27.66	27.51	27.19(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-17	-40	-11	-34	5.36	42%	-0.19	-96	3.12%	0	-1.9	37	0
19	Apr_19_2016	31.06	28.36	28.14	27.97	27.95	27.65	27.56(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-8	-80	-4	-19	3.86	45%	-0.19	-72.6	3.12%	0	-1.3	42	0
20	Apr_18_2016	31.12	28.47	28.22	27.95	27.95	27.81	27.8(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-60	-7	-19	6.09	45%	-0.16	-67.1	3.17%	0	-1	52	0

21	Apr_15_2016	31.17	28.56	28.27	27.94	28.1	28.25	27.66(-2.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-10	50	-7	-17	4.76	42%	-0.1	-60.9	3.2%	0	-1.3	49	0
22	Apr_14_2016	31.2	28.69	28.36	28.14	28.2	28.38	28.29(-0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	50	3	-8	5.05	45%	-0.19	-33.7	3.25%	0	-0.5	45	0
23	Apr_13_2016	31.26	28.78	28.41	28.28	28.29	27.96	28.55(4.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-5	-80	-4	-8	5.36	45%	-0.16	-15.7	3.28%	0	-0.3	45	0
24	Apr_12_2016	31.31	28.81	28.4	28.36	28.45	28.02	27.44(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-16	-100	-15	-18	6.42	42%	-0.19	-3.2	3.25%	0	-1.7	29	0
25	Apr_11_2016	31.37	28.91	28.45	28.52	28.7	28.63	27.78(-3.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-9	0	-5	-20	5.68	40%		8.7	3.25%	0	-1.5	33	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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