Trading Signals: NTES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 5, 2016

Trading Signals: NTES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Oct. 5, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(NetEase Inc)
NTES latest price $28.1000 (0.72%) ($27.9200 - $28.5000) on Thu. May. 5, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.94% (three month average)
RSI   54
Latest Price   $28.1000(0.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NTES advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NTES advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NTES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(72%)    MCHI(67%)    FXI(62%)    EEM(56%)    VWO(52%)
Factors Impacting NTES price   NTES will decline at least -1.47% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-2%)    SHY(-2%)    IPO(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.47% (StdDev 2.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $27.91(0.68%)
10 Day Moving Average   $27.35(2.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $27.55(2%)
To recent high   -12.2%
To recent low   5.6%
Market Cap   $3.85b

NetEase, Inc. engages in the provision of online internet technology services. It operates through the following business segments: Online Games, E-commerce, Advertisign Services, and E-Mail and Others. The Online Games segment offers multi-player online role-playing games and mobile games. The E-commerce segment provides online selling and payment platform, e-reading applications, matchmaking services, online music, social network, personalized photo-based products, and online game-related accessories. The Advertising segment involves banner advertising, channel sponsorships, direct e-mail, interactive media-rich sites, sponsored special events, games and contests. The E-Mail Services segment comprise free and fee-based premium e-mail services. The company was founded by Lei Ding in June 1997 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. NTES price fluctuates within 2.43% (three month std-dev: 2.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 1.97%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.94%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 4.98%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.55%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 4.64%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.75%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160605

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_5_2016	30.07	27.55	27.35	27.91	27.81	27.91	28.1(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	10	12	25	4.69	51%	-0.3	-21	2.94%	0	0.8	54	0
2	May_4_2016	30.16	27.59	27.25	27.69	27.67	27.62	27.9(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	6	-10	6	6	4.49	51%	-0.26	-26.8	3.09%	0	0.4	44	0
3	May_3_2016	30.24	27.63	27.25	27.43	27.49	27.72	27.54(-1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	70	6	-13	4.42	48%	-0.3	-33.7	3.09%	0	-0.1	37	0
4	May_2_2016	30.33	27.66	27.17	27.27	27.26	27.71	27.88(-0.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	8	110	16	-15	4.23	48%	-0.23	-36.9	3.11%	0	0.3	54	0
5	Apr_29_2016	30.4	27.68	27.14	27.02	26.96	27.26	28.14(4.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	7	70	17	-25	7.76	48%	-0.23	-43.6	3.09%	0	0.6	52	0

6	Apr_28_2016	30.47	27.69	27.08	26.71	26.7	26.82	26.98(1.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-11	30	2	-50	4.87	44%	-0.29	-54.7	3.04%	0	-0.9	34	0
7	Apr_27_2016	30.56	27.78	27.2	26.76	26.66	26.66	26.63(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-16	-10	-3	-55	3.57	44%	-0.33	-56.6	3.04%	0	-1.5	28	0
8	Apr_26_2016	30.66	27.88	27.38	26.87	26.81	26.59	26.72(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-60	-7	-56	3.9	41%	-0.29	-65.3	3.04%	0	-1.6	29	0
9	Apr_25_2016	30.75	27.94	27.46	27.04	26.98	26.67	26.62(0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-26	-90	-15	-58	4.46	44%	-0.32	-76.5	3.08%	0	-1.9	37	0
10	Apr_22_2016	30.85	28.02	27.59	27.28	27.27	27.04	26.61(-2.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-21	-60	-11	-51	4.93	42%	-0.23	-84	3.11%	0	-2.2	37	0

11	Apr_21_2016	30.92	28.13	27.79	27.49	27.47	27.29	27.23(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-18	-50	-10	-43	5.96	42%	-0.26	-97	3.12%	0	-1.6	38	0
12	Apr_20_2016	31	28.23	27.96	27.7	27.66	27.51	27.19(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-17	-40	-11	-34	5.36	42%	-0.19	-96	3.12%	0	-1.9	37	0
13	Apr_19_2016	31.06	28.36	28.14	27.97	27.95	27.65	27.56(-0.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-8	-80	-4	-19	3.86	45%	-0.19	-72.6	3.12%	0	-1.3	42	0
14	Apr_18_2016	31.12	28.47	28.22	27.95	27.95	27.81	27.8(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-10	-60	-7	-19	6.09	45%	-0.16	-67.1	3.17%	0	-1	52	0
15	Apr_15_2016	31.17	28.56	28.27	27.94	28.1	28.25	27.66(-2.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-10	50	-7	-17	4.76	42%	-0.1	-60.9	3.2%	0	-1.3	49	0

16	Apr_14_2016	31.2	28.69	28.36	28.14	28.2	28.38	28.29(-0.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	0	50	3	-8	5.05	45%	-0.19	-33.7	3.25%	0	-0.5	45	0
17	Apr_13_2016	31.26	28.78	28.41	28.28	28.29	27.96	28.55(4.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-5	-80	-4	-8	5.36	45%	-0.16	-15.7	3.28%	0	-0.3	45	0
18	Apr_12_2016	31.31	28.81	28.4	28.36	28.45	28.02	27.44(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-16	-100	-15	-18	6.42	42%	-0.19	-3.2	3.25%	0	-1.7	29	0
19	Apr_11_2016	31.37	28.91	28.45	28.52	28.7	28.63	27.78(-3.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-9	0	-5	-20	5.68	40%	-0.16	8.7	3.25%	0	-1.5	33	0
20	Apr_8_2016	31.42	28.97	28.49	28.62	28.63	28.88	28.65(-1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-4	60	3	-23	5.38	40%	-0.1	16.6	3.25%	0	-0.5	40	0

21	Apr_7_2016	31.45	28.94	28.5	28.61	28.52	28.76	28.97(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-2	50	8	-30	6.18	38%	-0.06	14.9	3.25%	0	0	36	0
22	Apr_6_2016	31.47	28.9	28.51	28.56	28.41	28.39	28.94(2.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-8	-20	3	-39	5.13	38%	-0.06	18.1	3.3%	0	0.1	38	0
23	Apr_5_2016	31.49	28.84	28.59	28.47	28.44	28.28	28.26(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-11	-40	-1	-41	5.39	38%	-0.03	13	3.28%	0	-0.7	43	0
24	Apr_4_2016	31.5	28.85	28.73	28.38	28.47	28.43	28.26(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-0	0	-43	5.51	36%	-0.03	17.7	3.28%	0	-0.7	42	0
25	Apr_1_2016	31.51	28.86	28.86	28.32	28.31	28.61	28.6(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-10	70	0	-40	5.31	36%		23.5	3.34%	0	-0.3	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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