Trading Signals: NTES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Apr. 5, 2016

Trading Signals: NTES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Oct. 5, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(NetEase Inc)
NTES latest price $28.2600 (0%) ($27.8200 - $28.4400) on Tue. Apr. 5, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.28% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $28.2600(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NTES advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NTES declines -2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NTES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(72%)    MCHI(66%)    FXI(62%)    EEM(56%)    VWO(52%)
Factors Impacting NTES price   NTES will decline at least -1.64% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-2%)    SHY(-2%)    IPO(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.64% (StdDev 3.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

Resistance Level   $28.84
5 Day Moving Average   $28.47(-0.74%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.59(-1.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.84(-2.01%)
To recent high   -18.7%
To recent low   6.1%
Market Cap   $3.872b

NetEase, Inc. engages in the provision of online internet technology services. It operates through the following business segments: Online Games, E-commerce, Advertisign Services, and E-Mail and Others. The Online Games segment offers multi-player online role-playing games and mobile games. The E-commerce segment provides online selling and payment platform, e-reading applications, matchmaking services, online music, social network, personalized photo-based products, and online game-related accessories. The Advertising segment involves banner advertising, channel sponsorships, direct e-mail, interactive media-rich sites, sponsored special events, games and contests. The E-Mail Services segment comprise free and fee-based premium e-mail services. The company was founded by Lei Ding in June 1997 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. NTES price fluctuates within 2.77% (three month std-dev: 3.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.82%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.91%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.39%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160505

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_5_2016	31.49	28.84	28.59	28.47	28.44	28.28	28.26(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-11	-40	-1	-41	5.39	38%	-0.03	13	3.28%	0	-0.7	43	0
2	Apr_4_2016	31.5	28.85	28.73	28.38	28.47	28.43	28.26(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-0	0	-43	5.51	36%	-0.03	17.7	3.28%	0	-0.7	42	0
3	Apr_1_2016	31.51	28.86	28.86	28.32	28.47	28.61	28.6(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-10	70	0	-40	5.31	36%	-0.06	23.5	3.34%	0	-0.3	50	0
4	Mar_31_2016	31.53	28.83	29.02	28.38	28.31	28.52	28.72(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-1	40	6	-23	5.43	36%	-0.06	29.6	3.36%	0	-0.1	59	0
5	Mar_30_2016	31.55	28.76	29.16	28.47	28.32	28.01	28.53(2.74%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-11	-90	-9	-15	5.84	35%	-0.03	5.8	3.36%	0	-0.3	56	0

6	Mar_29_2016	31.56	28.73	29.24	28.74	28.6	28.09	27.77(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-16	-140	-21	-1	9.41	35%	-0.06	-4.1	3.35%	0	-1	56	0
7	Mar_28_2016	31.58	28.7	29.41	29.14	29.12	28.62	28(-3.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-7	-120	-16	20	4.46	35%	0.06	-15.8	3.36%	0	-0.7	50	0
8	Mar_24_2016	31.56	28.67	29.52	29.45	29.43	29.1	28.9(-0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-3	-80	-16	35	3.78	35%	-0.03	-22.6	3.34%	0	0.2	56	0
9	Mar_23_2016	31.57	28.59	29.44	29.75	29.68	29.62	29.15(-2.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	5	-20	-9	48	4.91	35%	0.03	-23.4	3.34%	0	0.4	61	0
10	Mar_22_2016	31.56	28.71	29.35	29.95	29.95	29.76	29.9(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	20	-40	4	68	4.19	35%	0.03	-15.2	3.33%	0	0.8	72	0

11	Mar_21_2016	31.55	28.77	29.13	29.82	29.88	29.73	29.74(0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	13	-30	-3	61	3.92	35%	0.03	-12.4	3.33%	0	0.6	65	0
12	Mar_18_2016	31.54	28.86	28.98	29.74	29.76	30.13	29.57(-2.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	90	6	72	9.66	35%	0.03	-1.6	3.33%	0	0.4	69	0
13	Mar_17_2016	31.53	28.91	28.86	29.59	29.59	30.03	30.38(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	39	100	24	83	6.87	35%	0.06	5.2	3.32%	0	0.9	73	0
14	Mar_16_2016	31.51	28.9	28.61	29.09	29.12	29.38	30.15(3.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	70	16	68	4.93	35%	0.06	4.2	3.32%	0	0.8	70	0
15	Mar_15_2016	31.49	28.93	28.31	28.67	28.71	29.15	29.26(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	110	15	25	12.74	35%	0.03	8	3.3%	0	0.2	37	0

16	Mar_14_2016	31.48	28.96	28.15	28.33	28.38	28.87	29.32(1.73%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	10	130	16	-8	5.72	37%	0.03	11.4	3.31%	0	0.2	40	0
17	Mar_11_2016	31.47	28.89	27.91	28.13	28.08	28.27	28.82(3.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	40	8	-47	6.15	36%	0.03	7.7	3.33%	0	-0	36	0
18	Mar_10_2016	31.46	28.89	27.73	28.04	28	27.89	27.88(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-30	-1	-76	5.44	34%	0.03	-1	3.31%	0	-0.5	39	0
19	Mar_9_2016	31.45	28.82	27.67	28.06	28.12	27.88	28.09(2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-23	-50	1	-94	4.89	33%	0	-6.2	3.31%	0	-0.4	41	0
20	Mar_8_2016	31.45	28.8	28.01	27.88	28.05	28.12	27.54(-2.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	40	-4	-98	5.9	33%	0	-18	3.31%	0	-0.7	36	0

21	Mar_7_2016	31.45	28.77	28.38	27.92	27.95	28.36	28.32(-0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-11	110	14	-84	4.96	33%	0	-28.3	3.3%	0	-0.2	44	0
22	Mar_4_2016	31.45	28.76	28.71	27.64	27.75	27.98	28.35(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	70	15	-71	6.71	36%	0.06	-40.2	3.3%	0	-0.2	56	0
23	Mar_3_2016	31.43	28.84	28.94	27.39	27.75	27.55	28.01(3.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-14	40	4	-66	5.13	36%	0.06	-45.3	3.37%	0	-0.4	56	0
24	Mar_2_2016	31.41	28.93	29.19	27.24	27.41	27.52	27.18(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-30	50	-18	-66	7.38	39%	0.03	-49.9	3.34%	0	-0.9	52	0
25	Mar_1_2016	31.4	29.12	29.59	28.2	27.55	27.26	27.75(3.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	-140	-24	-16	6.71	39%		-35.5	3.38%	0	-0.7	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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