Trading Signals: NTES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 15, 2016

Trading Signals: NTES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Oct. 5, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(NetEase Inc)
NTES latest price $29.2600 (-0.2%) ($28.8600 - $29.5300) on Tue. Mar. 15, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.3% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $29.2600(-0.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NTES advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NTES advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NTES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(72%)    MCHI(66%)    FXI(62%)    EEM(56%)    VWO(52%)
Factors Impacting NTES price   NTES will decline at least -1.65% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-2%)    SHY(-2%)    IPO(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.65% (StdDev 3.3%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1%

5 Day Moving Average   $28.67(2.06%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.31(3.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.93(1.14%)
To recent high   -20.8%
To recent low   9.9%
Market Cap   $4.009b

NetEase, Inc. engages in the provision of online internet technology services. It operates through the following business segments: Online Games, E-commerce, Advertisign Services, and E-Mail and Others. The Online Games segment offers multi-player online role-playing games and mobile games. The E-commerce segment provides online selling and payment platform, e-reading applications, matchmaking services, online music, social network, personalized photo-based products, and online game-related accessories. The Advertising segment involves banner advertising, channel sponsorships, direct e-mail, interactive media-rich sites, sponsored special events, games and contests. The E-Mail Services segment comprise free and fee-based premium e-mail services. The company was founded by Lei Ding in June 1997 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. NTES price fluctuates within 5.74% (three month std-dev: 3.3%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160415

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_15_2016	31.49	28.93	28.31	28.67	28.71	29.15	29.26(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	110	15	25	12.74	35%	0.03	8	3.3%	0	0.2	37	0
2	Mar_14_2016	31.48	28.96	28.15	28.33	28.38	28.87	29.32(1.73%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.6	10	130	16	-8	5.72	37%	0.03	11.4	3.31%	0	0.2	40	0
3	Mar_11_2016	31.47	28.89	27.91	28.13	28.08	28.27	28.82(3.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	40	8	-47	6.15	36%	0.03	7.7	3.33%	0	-0	36	0
4	Mar_10_2016	31.46	28.89	27.73	28.04	28	27.89	27.88(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-20	-30	-1	-76	5.44	34%	0.03	-1	3.31%	0	-0.5	39	0
5	Mar_9_2016	31.45	28.82	27.67	28.06	28.12	27.88	28.09(2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-23	-50	1	-94	4.89	33%	0	-6.2	3.31%	0	-0.4	41	0

6	Mar_8_2016	31.45	28.8	28.01	27.88	28.05	28.12	27.54(-2.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-28	40	-4	-98	5.9	33%	0	-18	3.31%	0	-0.7	36	0
7	Mar_7_2016	31.45	28.77	28.38	27.92	27.95	28.36	28.32(-0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-11	110	14	-84	4.96	33%	0	-28.3	3.3%	0	-0.2	44	0
8	Mar_4_2016	31.45	28.76	28.71	27.64	27.75	27.98	28.35(1.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-7	70	15	-71	6.71	36%	0.06	-40.2	3.3%	0	-0.2	56	0
9	Mar_3_2016	31.43	28.84	28.94	27.39	27.75	27.55	28.01(3.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-14	40	4	-66	5.13	36%	0.06	-45.3	3.37%	0	-0.4	56	0
10	Mar_2_2016	31.41	28.93	29.19	27.24	27.41	27.52	27.18(-2.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-30	50	-18	-66	7.38	39%	0.03	-49.9	3.34%	0	-0.9	52	0

11	Mar_1_2016	31.4	29.12	29.59	28.2	27.55	27.26	27.75(3.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	-140	-24	-16	6.71	39%	0.03	-35.5	3.38%	0	-0.7	56	0
12	Feb_29_2016	31.39	29.3	29.85	28.94	28.52	27.29	26.92(-0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-24	-350	-39	23	6.59	39%	0.03	-25.8	3.33%	0	-1.3	56	0
13	Feb_26_2016	31.38	29.52	29.99	29.96	29.68	27.83	27.08(-0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-27	-460	-53	53	8.21	38%	0.03	-10.5	3.35%	0	-1.3	51	0
14	Feb_25_2016	31.37	29.71	30.08	30.7	30.72	29.76	27.25(-14.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.9	-16	-220	-44	68	18.39	39%	0.06	-2.2	3.38%	0	-1.4	43	0
15	Feb_24_2016	31.35	29.89	30.17	31.34	31.33	31.53	31.98(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	31	40	2	117	4.24	45%	0.22	4.7	2.84%	0	1.2	57	0

16	Feb_23_2016	31.28	29.89	29.71	31.18	31.2	31.69	31.47(-1.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	110	18	95	4.01	45%	0.19	-2.7	2.83%	0	1	51	0
17	Feb_22_2016	31.22	29.8	29.23	30.92	30.94	31.14	32.02(3.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	41	50	34	61	4.73	45%	0.03	-5.4	2.82%	0	1.3	51	0
18	Feb_19_2016	31.21	29.71	28.79	30.05	30.39	30.71	30.79(1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	16	110	22	-1	4	47%	-0.03	-26	2.8%	0	0.7	47	0
19	Feb_18_2016	31.22	29.75	28.69	29.37	29.78	30.75	30.45(-2.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	20	270	36	-28	3.79	48%	0	-36	2.83%	0	0.4	48	0
20	Feb_17_2016	31.22	29.81	28.6	28.8	28.85	30.08	31.19(3.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	25	300	50	-52	5.61	50%	0	-44.3	2.82%	0	0.8	50	0

21	Feb_16_2016	31.22	29.85	28.52	28.02	28.11	28.8	30.13(8.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	14	180	46	-82	8.99	48%	-0.06	-53.5	2.82%	0	0.2	48	0
22	Feb_12_2016	31.24	29.89	28.59	27.32	27.44	27.61	27.69(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-30	60	6	-139	6.15	42%	-0.13	-67.4	2.61%	0	-1.2	28	0
23	Feb_11_2016	31.28	30.13	28.93	27.36	27.15	27.43	27.37(-0.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-50	50	-18	-145	3.08	44%	-0.13	-68.2	2.62%	0	-1.5	34	0
24	Feb_10_2016	31.32	30.35	29.27	27.92	27.62	27.27	27.64(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-40	-120	-11	-128	3.11	44%	-0.13	-72.1	2.63%	0	-1.6	31	0
25	Feb_9_2016	31.36	30.59	29.6	28.37	28.22	26.87	27.28(2.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-71	-350	-50	-135	5.76	44%		-76.4	2.63%	0	-2.1	28	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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