Trading Signals: NTES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Dec. 4, 2015

Trading Signals: NTES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Oct. 5, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(NetEase Inc)
NTES latest price $35.8300 (5.2%) ($34.0000 - $35.9800) on Fri. Dec. 4, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.09% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $35.8300(5.2%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NTES advances 1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NTES advances 5.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NTES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(71%)    MCHI(66%)    FXI(61%)    EEM(55%)    VWO(51%)
Factors Impacting NTES price   NTES will decline at least -1.045% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-7%)    TLT(-3%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.045% (StdDev 2.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 5.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $34.06(5.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.61(6.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.94(12.18%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   42.1%
Market Cap   $4.909b

NetEase, Inc. engages in the provision of online internet technology services. It operates through the following business segments: Online Games, E-commerce, Advertisign Services, and E-Mail and Others. The Online Games segment offers multi-player online role-playing games and mobile games. The E-commerce segment provides online selling and payment platform, e-reading applications, matchmaking services, online music, social network, personalized photo-based products, and online game-related accessories. The Advertising segment involves banner advertising, channel sponsorships, direct e-mail, interactive media-rich sites, sponsored special events, games and contests. The E-Mail Services segment comprise free and fee-based premium e-mail services. The company was founded by Lei Ding in June 1997 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. NTES price fluctuates within 6.07% (three month std-dev: 2.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 28 Average positive next day return: 1.79%(46%) Average negative next day return: -1.43%(54%) Sample size 28 Average positive next three day return: 3.33%(36%) Average negative next three day return: -2.14%(64%) Sample size 28 Average positive next weekly return: 4.88%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.42%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_4_2015	29.44	31.94	33.61	34.06	33.93	34.66	35.83(5.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	76	140	41	181	8.25	79%	0.51	70.2	2.09%	0	2	80	0
2	Dec_3_2015	29.29	31.59	33.2	33.45	33.43	33.99	34.06(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	61	120	26	165	9.53	77%	0.38	68.1	2%	0	1.4	67	0
3	Dec_2_2015	29.18	31.35	32.89	33.42	33.07	33.19	34.18(3.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	53	-10	14	170	8.44	77%	0.41	72.2	2.01%	0	1.6	70	0
4	Dec_1_2015	29.06	31.06	32.5	33.18	33.13	32.88	32.89(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	40	-60	-2	166	9.4	75%	0.35	70.6	1.97%	0	1.1	70	0
5	Nov_30_2015	28.96	30.86	32.16	33.2	33.15	32.94	33.33(1.62%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	36	-50	-8	166	35.91	75%	0.38	73.8	1.97%	0	1.4	70	0

6	Nov_27_2015	28.85	30.63	31.79	33.08	33.19	33.38	32.8(-3.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	49	50	8	172	7.1	75%	0.35	76.8	1.99%	0	1.3	70	0
7	Nov_25_2015	28.75	30.4	31.58	32.89	33.06	33.36	33.89(2.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	79	80	38	201	6.49	81%	0.49	75.5	1.91%	0	2.1	78	0
8	Nov_24_2015	28.61	30.13	31.18	32.28	32.5	32.99	33(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	69	130	34	175	4.91	79%	0.42	77.3	1.91%	0	2	72	0
9	Nov_23_2015	28.49	29.89	30.81	31.71	31.91	32.76	32.97(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	84	210	58	161	5.63	79%	0.46	74.8	1.94%	0	2.3	75	0
10	Nov_20_2015	28.36	29.64	30.47	30.95	31.08	32.01	32.74(2.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	75	220	58	126	6.49	79%	0.46	70.1	1.97%	0	2.6	71	0

11	Nov_19_2015	28.23	29.41	30.11	30.32	30.23	31.07	31.84(3.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	49	190	36	88	5.62	78%	0.39	67.9	1.96%	0	2.5	68	0
12	Nov_18_2015	28.12	29.2	29.81	30.09	29.89	30.16	30.85(2.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	37	40	23	79	6.15	75%	0.29	75.5	1.94%	0	1.9	68	0
13	Nov_17_2015	28.04	29.03	29.65	29.92	30.05	29.39	30.14(3.33%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	16	-140	-2	68	5.98	74%	0.25	84.4	1.94%	0	1.4	61	0
14	Nov_16_2015	27.97	28.92	29.5	29.78	30.08	29.62	29.17(-1.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-13	-80	-34	50	6.85	70%	0.14	88.9	1.9%	0	0.3	57	0
15	Nov_13_2015	27.93	28.84	29.48	29.88	30.17	30.72	29.62(-3.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	27	160	9	82	9.51	70%	0.22	99	1.9%	0	0.9	63	0

16	Nov_12_2015	27.87	28.76	29.41	29.83	30	30.53	30.67(2.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	62	140	47	107	15.01	80%	0.36	100.9	1.78%	0	2.1	70	0
17	Nov_11_2015	27.77	28.56	29.16	29.49	29.5	29.62	30.01(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	28	30	12	77	6.09	78%	0.29	87.9	1.79%	0	1.5	70	0
18	Nov_10_2015	27.69	28.36	29.01	29.35	29.33	29.48	29.42(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	30	11	81	5.08	76%	0.25	85	1.8%	0	1.1	71	0
19	Nov_9_2015	27.62	28.21	28.92	29.17	29.28	29.38	29.7(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	40	15	79	4.47	76%	0.29	82.5	1.81%	0	1.4	67	0
20	Nov_6_2015	27.54	28.04	28.76	29.01	29.05	29.19	29.36(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	40	5	71	3.42	76%	0.29	78.6	1.84%	0	1.2	67	0

21	Nov_5_2015	27.46	27.87	28.65	28.92	28.99	29.18	28.97(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	30	50	15	73	4.82	76%	0.26	0	1.88%	0	1	60	0
22	Nov_4_2015	27.39	27.73	28.54	28.76	28.88	28.91	29.32(2.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	20	11	75	3.85	76%	0.29	0	1.88%	0	1.4	73	0
23	Nov_3_2015	27.31	27.55	28.36	28.62	28.67	28.81	28.52(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	40	-0	81	3.36	72%	0.22	0	1.86%	0	0.8	74	0
24	Nov_2_2015	27.25	27.39	28.29	28.61	28.63	28.86	28.88(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	60	16	104	4.13	72%	0.29	0	1.87%	0	1.3	69	0
25	Oct_30_2015	27.17	27.24	28.17	28.47	28.5	28.53	28.91(2.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	10	10	107	3.74	72%		0	1.91%	0	1.5	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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