Trading Signals: NTES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 10, 2015

Trading Signals: NTES Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Oct. 5, 2015 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(NetEase Inc)
NTES latest price $29.4200 (-0.94%) ($28.8700 - $29.6600) on Tue. Nov. 10, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.8% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $29.4200(-0.94%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NTES advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NTES advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NTES advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(71%)    MCHI(65%)    FXI(61%)    EEM(54%)    VWO(51%)
Factors Impacting NTES price   NTES will decline at least -0.9% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-12%)    UUP(-7%)    TLT(-3%)    SHY(-3%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.9% (StdDev 1.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.35(0.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.01(1.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $28.36(3.74%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   16.7%
Market Cap   $4.031b

NetEase, Inc. engages in the provision of online internet technology services. It operates through the following business segments: Online Games, E-commerce, Advertisign Services, and E-Mail and Others. The Online Games segment offers multi-player online role-playing games and mobile games. The E-commerce segment provides online selling and payment platform, e-reading applications, matchmaking services, online music, social network, personalized photo-based products, and online game-related accessories. The Advertising segment involves banner advertising, channel sponsorships, direct e-mail, interactive media-rich sites, sponsored special events, games and contests. The E-Mail Services segment comprise free and fee-based premium e-mail services. The company was founded by Lei Ding in June 1997 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

$. NTES price fluctuates within 3.46% (three month std-dev: 1.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 18 Average positive next day return: 0.83%(44%) Average negative next day return: -1.01%(56%) Sample size 18 Average positive next three day return: 2.17%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.12%(50%) Sample size 18 Average positive next weekly return: 2.52%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.57%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151210

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_10_2015	27.69	28.36	29.01	29.35	29.33	29.48	29.42(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	30	11	81	5.08	76%	0.25	85	1.8%	0	1.1	71	0
2	Nov_9_2015	27.62	28.21	28.92	29.17	29.28	29.38	29.7(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	31	40	15	79	4.47	76%	0.29	82.5	1.81%	0	1.4	67	0
3	Nov_6_2015	27.54	28.04	28.76	29.01	29.05	29.19	29.36(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	40	5	71	3.42	76%	0.29	78.6	1.84%	0	1.2	67	0
4	Nov_5_2015	27.46	27.87	28.65	28.92	28.99	29.18	28.97(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	30	50	15	73	4.82	76%	0.26	0	1.88%	0	1	60	0
5	Nov_4_2015	27.39	27.73	28.54	28.76	28.88	28.91	29.32(2.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	20	11	75	3.85	76%	0.29	0	1.88%	0	1.4	73	0

6	Nov_3_2015	27.31	27.55	28.36	28.62	28.67	28.81	28.52(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	20	40	-0	81	3.36	72%	0.22	0	1.86%	0	0.8	74	0
7	Nov_2_2015	27.25	27.39	28.29	28.61	28.63	28.86	28.88(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	38	60	16	104	4.13	72%	0.29	0	1.87%	0	1.3	69	0
8	Oct_30_2015	27.17	27.24	28.17	28.47	28.5	28.53	28.91(2.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	10	10	107	3.74	72%	0.33	0	1.91%	0	1.5	70	0
9	Oct_29_2015	27.08	27.24	28.06	28.35	28.38	28.4	28.17(-1.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	0	10	-0	0	2.28	67%	0.26	0	1.9%	0	25.6	70	0
10	Oct_28_2015	27.01	27.24	27.93	28.29	28.42	28.47	28.61(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	30	15	6	2.66	67%	0.33	0	1.88%	0	26.2	70	0

11	Oct_27_2015	26.92	27.24	27.66	28.05	28.23	28.47	28.5(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	50	8	3	3.27	67%	0.37	0	1.94%	0	27.1	72	0
12	Oct_26_2015	26.82	27.24	27.46	27.92	28	28.36	28.17(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	100	13	5	3.33	67%	0.34	0	2%	0	27.9	73	0
13	Oct_23_2015	26.73	27.24	27.27	27.81	27.85	28.11	28.32(1.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	70	17	7	4.16	67%	0.41	0	2.05%	0	28.9	67	0
14	Oct_22_2015	26.62	27.24	27.03	27.74	27.64	27.64	27.84(1.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	-10	11	4	3.43	67%	0.38	0	2.1%	0	30.6	50	0
15	Oct_21_2015	26.52	27.24	26.85	27.51	27.54	27.59	27.43(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	11	20	13	5	3.51	67%	0.26	0	2.17%	0	31.2	50	0

16	Oct_20_2015	26.45	27.24	26.68	27.19	27.28	27.65	27.84(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	100	18	7	2.76	67%	0.49	0	2.18%	0	32	50	0
17	Oct_19_2015	26.32	27.24	26.42	26.92	26.93	27.49	27.64(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	22	150	26	10	5.69	67%	0.5	0	2.29%	0	34.6	50	0
18	Oct_16_2015	26.19	27.24	26.23	26.65	26.6	26.91	27.95(4.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	25	80	29	12	7.21	67%	0.73	0	2.32%	0	39.4	50	0
19	Oct_15_2015	26	27.24	26.23	26.23	26.34	26.36	26.68(3.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	7	20	8	3	4.46	51%	0.35	0	2%	0	63.5	50	0
20	Oct_14_2015	25.91	27.24	26.23	26.12	26.25	26.28	25.85(-2.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	2	20	2	1	4.03	28%	-0.04	0	1.82%	0	69.9	50	0

21	Oct_13_2015	25.92	27.24	26.23	26.08	26.16	26.31	26.47(0.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	15	50	18	7	2.25	43%	0.35	0	1.66%	0	67.9	50	0
22	Oct_12_2015	25.83	27.24	26.23	25.83	25.99	26.21	26.3(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	11	80	13	5	3.07	43%	0.39	0	1.82%	0	75.1	50	0
23	Oct_9_2015	25.73	27.24	26.23	25.73	25.77	26.01	25.83(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	238	70	280	112	2.52	0%	0.08	0	1.86%	0	86.1	50	0
24	Oct_8_2015	25.71	27.24	26.23	20.57	25.54	25.77	26.14(1.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	16.4	290	790	341	136	3.25	0%	0.59	0	2%	0	76.9	50	0
25	Oct_7_2015	25.56	27.24	26.23	15.34	25.54	25.77	25.65(1.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	39.7	411	-10000	483	193	3.2	0%		0	2.08%	0	98.7	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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