Trading Signals: NOVA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NOVA: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Nov. 25, 2020

Trading Signals: NOVA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Jul. 25, 2019 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Sunnova Energy International)
NOVA latest price $42.5600 (6.96%) ($39.0101 - $42.6600) on Wed. Nov. 25, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.72% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $42.5600(6.96%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NOVA advances 5.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NOVA advances 8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NOVA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ICLN(78%)    ACES(65%)    TAN(65%)    IWO(60%)    IBUY(55%)
Factors Impacting NOVA price   NOVA will decline at least -2.36% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-27%)    UUP(-10%)    TBT(-9%)    VXX(-6%)    EDOC(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.36% (StdDev 4.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 6.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.46(13.61%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.63(19.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $32.73(30.03%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   98.5%
Market Cap   $4.171b

$. NOVA price fluctuates within 13.84% (three month std-dev: 4.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 40 Average positive next day return: 8.83%(65%) Average negative next day return: -2.15%(35%) Sample size 40 Average positive next three day return: 11.99%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -5.78%(40%) Sample size 40 Average positive next weekly return: 15.92%(55%) Average negative next weekly return: -8.89%(45%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20201225

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_25_2020	26.59	32.73	35.63	37.46	37.83	40.48	42.56(6.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	75	520	58	125	1.87	71%	0.91	68.1	4.72%	0	2.2	72	1.3
2	Nov_24_2020	26.35	31.9	34.63	35.53	35.74	38.39	39.79(4.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	66	540	54	100	2.8	70%	0.76	61.1	4.71%	0	1.9	75	1.1
3	Nov_23_2020	26.15	31.21	33.77	34.6	34.35	35.18	38.21(9.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	49	150	36	88	2.58	70%	0.5	52.8	4.7%	0	1.9	74	1.1
4	Nov_20_2020	26.02	30.58	33.15	33.78	33.78	33.08	34.78(8.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-150	1	84	1.72	68%	0.66	44.8	4.56%	0	1.2	75	1.2
5	Nov_19_2020	25.85	30.18	32.97	33.36	33.75	33.53	31.98(-2.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	19	-10	-12	111	1.71	66%	0.58	39.5	4.48%	0	0.5	76	1.3

6	Nov_18_2020	25.7	29.91	32.99	33.43	33.76	34.48	32.9(-6.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	43	180	7	152	1.82	66%	0.63	37.6	4.46%	0	0.9	71	1.3
7	Nov_17_2020	25.54	29.6	32.61	33.51	33.48	33.96	35.14(3.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	62	100	23	180	1.13	69%	0.67	35.4	4.38%	0	1.7	72	1.6
8	Nov_16_2020	25.37	29.34	31.94	32.78	33.12	33.04	34.1(4.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	48	10	7	170	1.32	69%	0.63	35.1	4.37%	0	1.5	72	1.6
9	Nov_13_2020	25.21	29.1	31.16	32.45	32.81	33	32.66(0.9%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	34	70	-6	153	0.91	61%	0.56	37.3	4.69%	0	1.2	71	1.5
10	Nov_12_2020	25.07	28.9	30.35	32.56	33.12	33.2	32.37(-2.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	44	70	7	155	1.92	61%	0.52	39.8	4.72%	0	1.3	66	1.1

11	Nov_11_2020	24.94	28.68	29.69	32.47	33.17	32.62	33.27(5.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	48	-50	11	158	1.76	59%	0.56	41.4	4.7%	0	1.7	69	1.8
12	Nov_10_2020	24.8	28.47	29	31.56	32.66	33.05	31.51(-2.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	41	190	9	135	1.77	57%	0.49	35.5	4.73%	0	1.2	65	1.7
13	Nov_9_2020	24.68	28.29	28.47	30.92	31.54	33.71	32.44(-2.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	62	540	44	114	2.32	57%	0.53	30.2	4.72%	0	1.8	53	1.4
14	Nov_6_2020	24.55	28.06	27.79	29.64	29.88	32.28	33.2(3.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	73	590	72	75	2.48	57%	0.57	15.2	4.71%	0	2.4	56	1.7
15	Nov_5_2020	24.41	27.84	27.1	27.81	27.81	29.36	31.93(11.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	41	390	51	9	2.74	57%	0.58	-7.7	4.69%	0	2.2	57	1

16	Nov_4_2020	24.27	27.84	26.51	26.53	26.17	27.49	28.72(1.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	7	310	24	-44	2.22	54%	0.46	-35.3	4.51%	0	0.7	51	0.8
17	Nov_3_2020	24.16	27.62	26.28	26.1	25.69	26.27	28.31(8.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	2	110	25	-68	2.13	54%	0.46	-46.6	4.53%	0	0.4	46	-0.6
18	Nov_2_2020	24.05	27.6	26.46	25.69	25.4	24.84	26.02(8.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-25	-190	-5	-85	1.72	50%	0.38	-50.7	4.41%	0	-1	44	-1.4
19	Oct_30_2020	23.96	27.74	26.82	25.67	25.67	25.12	24.06(-5.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-39	-150	-23	-88	1.86	47%	0.46	-47.3	4.3%	0	-2.3	36	-1.7
20	Oct_29_2020	23.85	27.98	27.33	26.23	26.11	25.95	25.56(-3.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-25	-60	-9	-71	2.47	49%	0.38	-37.3	4.25%	0	-1.7	37	-1.4

21	Oct_28_2020	23.76	28.21	27.63	26.43	26.43	26.22	26.54(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-17	-60	-2	-62	1.75	49%	0.42	-20.4	4.23%	0	-1.2	47	-2.6
22	Oct_27_2020	23.66	28.4	27.93	26.47	26.48	26.26	26.25(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-36	-60	-25	-68	0.9	52%	0.42	-5.6	4.23%	0	-1.6	42	-0.5
23	Oct_26_2020	23.56	28.46	28.17	27.37	27.17	26.63	25.93(-3.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-27	-160	-22	-42	1.06	52%	0.43	15.9	4.29%	0	-1.9	45	-0.4
24	Oct_23_2020	23.46	28.46	28.43	28.18	28.31	26.7	26.86(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-24	-380	-24	-23	1.21	52%	0.47	37.7	4.27%	0	-1.3	46	1.1
25	Oct_22_2020	23.35	28.53	28.7	28.61	29	27.7	26.57(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-30	-270	-36	-13	2.32	55%		48.8	4.27%	0	-1.4	45	1.2
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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