Trading Signals: NKLA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jan. 14, 2021

Trading Signals: NKLA Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Jun. 11, 2018 - Wed. Sep. 14, 2022)

(Nikola Corporation)
NKLA latest price $21.2500 (5.35%) ($21.2500 - $21.2500) on Thu. Jan. 14, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   7.66% (three month average)
RSI   74
Latest Price   $21.2500(5.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NKLA advances 3.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NKLA advances 11.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NKLA advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ACES(57%)    ARKK(57%)    IBUY(57%)    IPO(55%)    ONLN(54%)
Factors Impacting NKLA price   NKLA will decline at least -3.83% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-25%)    VXX(-23%)    UUP(-15%)    XLU(-8%)    TLT(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.83% (StdDev 7.66%)
Hourly BBV 1.1 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $19(11.84%)
10 Day Moving Average   $17.73(19.85%)
20 Day Moving Average   $16.98(25.15%)
To recent high   -38.4%
To recent low   54.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. NKLA price fluctuates within 10.01% (three month std-dev: 7.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 3.37%(73%) Average negative next day return: -0.99%(27%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 10.63%(45%) Average negative next three day return: -3.39%(55%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 12.46%(55%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.12%(45%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210214

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_14_2021	23.39	16.98	17.73	19	19.31	20.71	21.25(5.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	42	560	22	100	21.55	53%	-0.76	28.5	7.66%	1.1	2.5	74	1.2
2	Jan_13_2021	23.57	16.72	17.17	18.3	18.43	19.44	20.17(7.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	38	400	24	81	59.47	53%	-0.8	12.9	7.64%	0.7	2.5	61	1.4
3	Jan_12_2021	23.76	16.51	16.74	17.5	17.84	17.91	18.71(9.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	24	90	14	52	15.42	51%	-0.88	-12.8	7.57%	1.4	2	57	1.1
4	Jan_11_2021	23.97	16.44	16.47	16.97	17.2	17.43	17.11(-3.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	130	2	30	10.42	48%	-0.95	-36	7.48%	-1	0.7	51	0.2
5	Jan_8_2021	24.2	16.49	16.15	16.74	16.93	17.77	17.74(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	15	380	15	13	17.25	48%	-0.98	-43.3	7.47%	0.4	1.3	53	1.6

6	Jan_7_2021	24.44	16.51	15.87	16.24	16.5	16.98	17.79(9.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.5	9	250	15	-9	16.67	48%	-1.01	-53.3	7.48%	1.5	1.2	54	1.5
7	Jan_6_2021	24.69	16.54	15.74	16.24	15.87	16.09	16.18(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	100	1	-24	11.27	45%	-1.08	-54.8	7.46%	0.3	-0.3	50	-0.4
8	Jan_5_2021	24.96	16.65	15.81	15.87	15.81	16.02	16.01(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-4	80	2	-22	7.53	45%	-1.11	-56.3	7.46%	1.2	-0.5	50	-0.5
9	Jan_4_2021	25.24	16.78	15.9	15.91	15.84	15.65	15.98(4.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	1	-100	8	-21	10.88	45%	-2.02	-82.6	7.46%	1.5	-0.6	43	-1.6
10	Dec_31_2020	25.76	16.93	16.01	15.46	15.91	15.6	15.27(-4.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-11	-50	-1	-42	13.49	51%	-1.08	-114.7	7.43%	-1.3	-1.2	35	1.2

11	Dec_30_2020	26.04	17.08	16.18	15.41	15.69	16.04	15.93(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-15	210	-4	-48	13.3	54%	-0.99	-162.7	7.75%	0.3	-0.9	39	1.3
12	Dec_29_2020	26.3	17.16	16.24	15.59	15.53	16.22	16.15(-0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-11	300	2	-50	25.68	54%	-1.09	-193.9	7.97%	0	-0.8	38	0.2
13	Dec_28_2020	26.59	17.37	16.27	15.77	15.67	15.35	16.21(17.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-14	-160	0	-55	43.02	54%	-1.12	-188.3	8.02%	0	-0.8	41	1.2
14	Dec_24_2020	26.89	17.9	16.4	15.94	15.78	14.85	13.75(-8.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-33	-440	-21	-68	25.43	50%	-0.81	-101	7.64%	0	-1.5	20	1.3
15	Dec_23_2020	27.11	18.69	16.89	16.64	16.45	15.99	15.03(-10.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-22	-230	-13	-50	31.16	45%	-0.88	-67.9	7.66%	0	-1	23	0.5

16	Dec_22_2020	27.35	19.6	17.23	17.03	16.9	16.72	16.83(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-8	-100	-0	-33	8.95	48%	-0.73	-40.6	8.19%	0	-0.6	39	-0.7
17	Dec_21_2020	27.55	20.2	17.43	16.96	16.96	16.9	17.02(-0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-7	-20	1	-29	10.16	43%	-0.47	-33.2	8.21%	0	-0.6	50	-1.6
18	Dec_18_2020	27.68	20.66	17.56	16.84	16.91	17.09	17.08(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-10	90	-1	-38	8.82	43%	-0.43	-29.9	8.54%	0	-0.7	34	1.2
19	Dec_17_2020	27.8	21.11	17.74	16.95	16.92	17.03	17.22(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	40	-2	-65	8.26	43%	-0.5	-24.7	8.54%	0	-0.7	22	1.6
20	Dec_16_2020	27.94	21.52	17.91	17.22	17.1	16.72	17(3.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-27	-180	-5	-93	14.43	43%	-0.57	-19.9	8.54%	0	-0.8	19	1.5

21	Dec_15_2020	28.1	21.8	18.05	17.48	17.42	16.81	16.48(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-43	-260	-12	-134	17.98	43%	-0.6	-16.1	8.53%	0	-1	14	0.8
22	Dec_14_2020	28.27	22.1	18.16	17.97	17.98	17.48	16.41(-6.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-46	-190	-10	-154	19.56	46%	-0.49	-11.6	8.58%	0	-1.1	28	-0.6
23	Dec_11_2020	28.41	22.38	18.56	18.37	18.43	18.03	17.62(-5.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-44	-140	-6	-158	14.94	43%	-0.56	-8.5	8.68%	0	-1	38	0.3
24	Dec_10_2020	28.57	22.52	19.51	18.62	18.64	18.48	18.57(1.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-39	-60	-4	-145	10.62	41%	-0.63	-7.6	8.83%	0	-0.8	39	0.9
25	Dec_9_2020	28.75	22.64	20.59	18.71	18.8	18.82	18.31(-3.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-32	20	0	-128	14.67	39%		-5.6	8.93%	0	-0.9	41	1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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