Trading Signals: NIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NIO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Mar. 5, 2021

Trading Signals: NIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Sep. 12, 2018 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(NIO Inc.)
NIO latest price $38.1100 (-2.98%) ($31.9100 - $39.8700) on Fri. Mar. 5, 2021.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.75% (three month average)
RSI   21
Latest Price   $38.1100(-2.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NIO declines -3.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NIO declines -14% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NIO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(70%)    MCHI(70%)    EEM(68%)    FXI(68%)    IBUY(66%)
Factors Impacting NIO price   NIO will decline at least -2.375% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-31%)    UUP(-26%)    VXX(-12%)    IGOV(-8%)    TBT(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.375% (StdDev 4.75%)
Hourly BBV -0.6 ()
Intraday Trend -2.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $19.6(-48.57%)
Inflection Point   Yes
Resistance Level   $51.66
5 Day Moving Average   $42.39(-10.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.36(-15.98%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.66(-26.23%)
To recent high   -39.4%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $59.22b

NIO, Inc. (China) is a holding company, which engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of electric vehicles, driving innovations in next generation technologies in connectivity, autonomous driving and artificial intelligence. Its products include EP9 supercar and ES8 7-seater SUV. The company provides users with home charging, and power express valet service and other power solutions including access to public charging, access to power mobile charging trucks, and battery swapping. It also offers other value-added services such as service package, battery payment arrangement, and vehicle financing and license plate registration. The company was founded by Li Bin and Qin Li Hong in November 2014 and is headquartered in Jiading, China.

$. NIO price fluctuates within 14.5% (three month std-dev: 4.75%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 30 Average positive next day return: 6.16%(40%) Average negative next day return: -10.35%(60%) Sample size 30 Average positive next three day return: 17.35%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -15.94%(50%) Sample size 30 Average positive next weekly return: 14.67%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -17.73%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20210405

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_5_2021	47.94	51.66	45.36	42.39	41.28	38.63	38.11(-2.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-99	-530	-64	-202	269.83	54%	0.21	-48.6	4.75%	-0.6	-1.8	21	0.6
2	Mar_4_2021	47.84	52.69	47.05	43.93	44.23	41.54	39.28(-5.42%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-83	-410	-49	-185	203.88	54%	0.29	-48.8	4.77%	-1.4	-2	22	-0.4
3	Mar_3_2021	47.7	53.68	48.59	45.43	45.82	43.92	41.53(-4.07%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-90	-260	-59	-183	106.46	56%	0.42	-48.4	4.77%	-1.4	-2	22	0.3
4	Mar_2_2021	47.5	54.45	50.17	47.5	47.32	46.92	43.29(-13%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-59	-70	-27	-156	160.13	56%	0.49	-49	4.79%	-1.7	-2.1	23	1
5	Mar_1_2021	47.27	55.19	51.77	48.66	48.7	47.72	49.76(8.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-33	-140	2	-137	84.08	58%	0.62	-52.8	4.54%	1.2	-1.1	37	1

6	Feb_26_2021	46.98	55.58	52.72	48.85	48.06	47.73	45.78(-2.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-72	-100	-47	-148	99.57	51%	0.56	-58.6	4.6%	-0.9	-2.1	34	0.5
7	Feb_25_2021	46.72	56.25	54.19	50.7	49.57	49.69	46.81(-9.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-32	-50	-8	-105	93.76	51%	0.56	-56.2	4.63%	-1.1	-2.4	34	0.2
8	Feb_24_2021	46.46	56.82	55.66	52.22	51.1	48.39	51.86(5.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-45	-440	-29	-93	81.84	56%	0.69	-56.9	4.46%	0.7	-1.5	40	1.4
9	Feb_23_2021	46.14	57.25	56.74	53.32	52.22	49.46	49.11(-3.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-85	-430	-84	-89	141.77	59%	0.63	-48.7	4.42%	-0.6	-2.5	40	1.3
10	Feb_22_2021	45.85	57.83	57.81	55.34	54.88	53.81	50.68(-7.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-39	-160	-38	-40	67.87	59%	0.68	-33.3	4.68%	-2.1	-2.7	40	1.1

11	Feb_19_2021	45.54	58.42	58.51	57.17	56.8	54.97	55.04(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-24	-240	-27	-14	42.55	66%	0.75	-15.3	4.57%	-0.6	-1.5	48	1.5
12	Feb_18_2021	45.2	58.6	58.82	58.22	58.01	55.95	54.43(-5.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-40	-260	-49	-11	61.98	66%	0.78	-10.8	4.66%	-1	-2	43	1.3
13	Feb_17_2021	44.85	58.79	59.23	59.59	59.63	58.62	57.32(-3.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-20	-120	-32	15	63.95	69%	0.85	-1.9	4.63%	-1.2	-0.8	53	1.4
14	Feb_16_2021	44.47	58.86	59.14	60.69	60.88	60.08	59.23(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	2	-80	-7	30	53.23	69%	1.58	4.2	4.61%	-1.2	0.2	47	1.2
15	Feb_12_2021	43.78	58.72	58.93	60.66	61.06	60.64	59.85(-0.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-30	-3	26	39.97	68%	0.99	-2.5	4.69%	-1.1	0.6	50	1.5

16	Feb_11_2021	43.35	58.76	58.65	60.02	60.53	61.69	60.27(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	160	12	14	55.49	68%	1.03	3.3	4.91%	-1.5	0.8	45	1.3
17	Feb_10_2021	42.91	58.82	58.44	59.49	59.5	61.48	61.26(-2.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	28	230	32	16	90	68%	1.01	21.4	4.92%	0.2	1.2	56	1
18	Feb_9_2021	42.48	58.83	58	58.83	58.5	59.37	62.84(6.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	28	90	34	8	96.8	68%	1.07	31.5	4.97%	1.8	1.9	60	1.1
19	Feb_8_2021	42.03	58.78	57.67	57.42	57.52	57.53	59.07(4.24%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-1	10	5	-17	63.76	66%	0.99	32.8	4.95%	1.5	0.1	52	1.1
20	Feb_5_2021	41.62	58.77	57.72	57	57.07	57.63	56.67(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-4	70	0	-17	42.76	69%	0.95	50.1	4.94%	-1.4	-1	53	1.1

21	Feb_4_2021	41.23	58.69	58.22	57.07	57.14	57.51	57.6(-0.66%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	4	50	9	-11	48.37	71%	0.95	59.5	5.15%	0.6	-0.5	44	1.1
22	Feb_3_2021	40.84	58.38	58.3	57.22	57.17	56.51	57.98(3.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-7	-80	-2	-20	79.69	72%	0.99	56.1	5.19%	1.4	-0.1	42	0.7
23	Feb_2_2021	40.44	58.18	58.29	57.04	57.3	56.77	55.77(-2.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-50	-19	-36	65.82	74%	0.97	65.2	5.22%	-0.6	-0.8	37	-0.1
24	Feb_1_2021	40.05	58.1	58.58	57.95	57.73	57.84	56.99(-0.02%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-13	0	-7	-29	79.37	74%	1.01	83.5	5.3%	-0.6	-0.3	38	-1.3
25	Jan_29_2021	39.65	57.74	58.55	58.55	58.35	57.83	57(-2.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-70	-9	-29	78.15	76%		90.9	5.35%	-1	-0.2	48	-2.7
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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