Trading Signals: NIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NIO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Nov. 6, 2020

Trading Signals: NIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Sep. 12, 2018 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(NIO Inc.)
NIO latest price $41.6300 (-1.7%) ($40.0500 - $43.3000) on Fri. Nov. 6, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.03% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $41.6300(-1.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NIO advances 6.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NIO advances 19.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NIO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
KWEB(67%)    MCHI(67%)    EEM(64%)    FXI(64%)    DRIV(63%)
Factors Impacting NIO price   NIO will decline at least -3.015% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-30%)    UUP(-24%)    VXX(-12%)    EDOC(-6%)    TBT(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.015% (StdDev 6.03%)
Hourly BBV 1 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.1(9.27%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.84(23.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.28(37.48%)
To recent high   -1.7%
To recent low   220.5%
Market Cap   $64.69b

NIO, Inc. (China) is a holding company, which engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of electric vehicles, driving innovations in next generation technologies in connectivity, autonomous driving and artificial intelligence. Its products include EP9 supercar and ES8 7-seater SUV. The company provides users with home charging, and power express valet service and other power solutions including access to public charging, access to power mobile charging trucks, and battery swapping. It also offers other value-added services such as service package, battery payment arrangement, and vehicle financing and license plate registration. The company was founded by Li Bin and Qin Li Hong in November 2014 and is headquartered in Jiading, China.

$. NIO price fluctuates within 18.66% (three month std-dev: 6.03%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 10 Average positive next day return: 10.3%(60%) Average negative next day return: -3.68%(40%) Sample size 10 Average positive next three day return: 19.01%(30%) Average negative next three day return: -10.41%(70%) Sample size 10 Average positive next weekly return: 14.97%(30%) Average negative next weekly return: -11.77%(70%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20201206

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_6_2020	18.11	30.28	33.84	38.1	38.49	40.97	41.63(-1.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	88	480	46	213	287.91	94%	1.97	88.8	6.03%	1	2	78	1.7
2	Nov_5_2020	17.76	29.25	32.35	35.89	36.48	39.06	42.35(12.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	87	540	58	175	294.75	94%	2.07	82.3	6.02%	1.8	2.5	75	1
3	Nov_4_2020	17.4	28.17	30.78	33.82	34.09	36.01	37.71(6.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	71	420	49	136	337.36	93%	1.81	81.3	5.88%	1.1	2.2	72	0.8
4	Nov_3_2020	17.09	27.34	29.73	31.78	32.24	33.91	35.5(6.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	55	410	40	98	216.12	93%	1.73	73.2	5.85%	1.5	2	73	-0.6
5	Nov_2_2020	16.8	26.58	28.92	30.37	30.53	32.17	33.32(8.96%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	51	390	38	90	264.09	93%	1.69	68.1	6.02%	1.2	1.8	80	-1.4

6	Oct_30_2020	16.52	25.98	28.31	28.91	28.98	30.57	30.58(-4.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	41	390	28	78	136.47	93%	1.54	63.8	5.97%	0.5	1.3	76	-1.7
7	Oct_29_2020	16.27	25.5	28.07	28.22	27.86	28.89	31.99(16.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	44	220	28	90	211.03	93%	1.56	64.3	5.96%	2.1	1.9	81	-1.4
8	Oct_28_2020	16.02	24.97	27.63	27.3	27.07	27.4	27.51(-3.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	60	4	92	89.2	91%	1.39	67.9	5.68%	0.8	0.8	77	-2.6
9	Oct_27_2020	15.8	24.66	27.54	27.37	27.11	26.84	28.44(9.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	30	-100	1	116	104.04	91%	1.41	74.5	5.66%	2.1	1.2	79	-0.5
10	Oct_26_2020	15.58	24.28	26.91	27.27	27.26	26.73	26.01(-4.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	21	-140	-12	120	72.28	90%	1.37	75.6	5.59%	-1.7	0.5	78	-0.4

11	Oct_23_2020	15.37	23.94	26.55	27.6	27.58	27.38	27.16(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	29	-50	-8	138	51.61	90%	1.39	76	5.56%	-0.6	1	76	1.1
12	Oct_22_2020	15.16	23.5	26.03	27.86	27.78	27.79	27.38(-1.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	37	-10	-3	156	71.82	90%	1.47	75.7	5.57%	-0.8	1.1	78	1.2
13	Oct_21_2020	14.94	23.03	25.46	28	28.06	27.79	27.86(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	45	-70	4	169	64.91	90%	0.88	75.4	5.6%	0.7	1.4	76	0.9
14	Oct_20_2020	14.81	22.53	24.83	27.73	27.98	27.77	27.96(1.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	55	-30	15	176	104.49	92%	0.95	75.2	5.59%	-0.5	1.6	77	0.6
15	Oct_19_2020	14.67	22.08	24.1	26.46	27.39	28.35	27.63(-2.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	54	350	25	141	114.95	92%	0.96	67.2	5.86%	-1.1	1.8	78	0.7

16	Oct_16_2020	14.53	21.62	23.48	25.3	25.83	28.18	28.48(1.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	63	700	42	127	186.29	81%	0.97	60.9	6.16%	0.7	2.4	86	1.4
17	Oct_15_2020	14.39	21.14	22.71	23.9	24.09	26.43	28.07(5.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	65	700	50	109	383.49	81%	1.05	57.6	6.2%	1	2.8	86	1.6
18	Oct_14_2020	14.24	20.67	22.02	22.58	22.58	23.47	26.5(22.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.1	47	280	33	87	379.99	81%	0.92	57.5	6.2%	1.6	3.1	85	2
19	Oct_13_2020	14.11	20.27	21.44	21.59	21.71	21.75	21.62(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	21	30	4	73	42.4	71%	0.57	62.3	5.6%	-0.3	1	77	2.1
20	Oct_12_2020	14.03	20.14	21.37	21.4	21.64	21.69	21.85(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	50	2	75	45.02	71%	0.65	67	5.69%	1	1.3	65	2.7

21	Oct_9_2020	13.94	19.98	21.08	21.35	21.47	21.67	21.47(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	80	2	77	36.98	74%	0.58	69.3	5.69%	-0.5	1.1	66	2.6
22	Oct_8_2020	13.86	19.81	20.79	21.29	21.48	21.59	21.44(-0.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	60	2	70	77.34	74%	0.65	65.3	5.89%	-0.7	1.2	61	1.7
23	Oct_7_2020	13.77	19.62	20.45	21.35	21.34	21.27	21.56(4.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-20	-0	66	59.11	77%	0.58	60.8	5.91%	0.6	1.4	62	1
24	Oct_6_2020	13.69	19.45	20.1	21.28	21.41	21.37	20.67(-4.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	14	10	-1	59	72.52	80%	0.59	52.3	6.14%	-3	0.9	61	0.3
25	Oct_5_2020	13.61	19.27	19.96	21.32	21.5	21.41	21.59(1.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-0	10	61	60.6	80%		46.6	6.65%	0.8	1.7	64	0.6
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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