Trading Signals: NIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NIO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Sep. 17, 2020

Trading Signals: NIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Sep. 12, 2018 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(NIO Inc.)
NIO latest price $19.3000 (1.53%) ($18.0800 - $19.3300) on Thu. Sep. 17, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.95% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $19.3000(1.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NIO advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NIO declines -1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NIO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
MCHI(66%)    KWEB(65%)    EEM(63%)    FXI(63%)    IDRV(63%)
Factors Impacting NIO price   NIO will decline at least -3.475% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-30%)    UUP(-25%)    VXX(-12%)    TBT(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.475% (StdDev 6.95%)
Hourly BBV -0.5 ()
Intraday Trend 5.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $18.84(2.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.4(4.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18.17(6.22%)
To recent high   -5.6%
To recent low   182.2%
Market Cap   $29.991b

NIO, Inc. (China) is a holding company, which engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of electric vehicles, driving innovations in next generation technologies in connectivity, autonomous driving and artificial intelligence. Its products include EP9 supercar and ES8 7-seater SUV. The company provides users with home charging, and power express valet service and other power solutions including access to public charging, access to power mobile charging trucks, and battery swapping. It also offers other value-added services such as service package, battery payment arrangement, and vehicle financing and license plate registration. The company was founded by Li Bin and Qin Li Hong in November 2014 and is headquartered in Jiading, China.

$. NIO price fluctuates within 10.07% (three month std-dev: 6.95%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 13 Average positive next day return: 2.64%(31%) Average negative next day return: -2.46%(69%) Sample size 13 Average positive next three day return: 2.85%(46%) Average negative next three day return: -4.77%(54%) Sample size 13 Average positive next weekly return: 5.96%(46%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.51%(54%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20201017

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_17_2020	12.62	18.17	18.4	18.84	18.89	18.92	19.3(1.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	20	4	-10	54.93	82%	0.72	70.3	6.95%	-0.5	0.6	47	1.1
2	Sep_16_2020	12.53	17.92	18.44	18.53	18.67	19.22	19.01(-0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	230	7	-19	57.6	82%	0.72	61.7	6.97%	0.1	0.5	43	0.7
3	Sep_15_2020	12.44	17.7	18.52	18.34	18.42	18.86	19.19(2.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	8	180	14	-12	111.29	83%	0.73	59.4	6.96%	1	0.7	57	0.6
4	Sep_14_2020	12.35	17.45	18.49	17.91	18.1	18.12	18.73(4.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	1	40	5	-10	67.73	83%	0.73	50.9	7.07%	1.9	0.6	67	0.6
5	Sep_11_2020	12.26	17.18	18.47	17.76	17.79	17.99	17.97(1.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-2	80	-3	0	55.1	83%	0.66	45.5	7.07%	-0.2	0.3	69	0.3

6	Sep_10_2020	12.18	16.97	18.65	17.91	17.78	18.07	17.74(-1.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	90	-4	29	79.23	83%	0.66	44.8	7.14%	-0.5	0.3	69	-0.6
7	Sep_9_2020	12.1	16.76	18.92	18.34	18	17.6	18.09(6.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	-210	-7	69	90.37	84%	0.75	47.7	7.19%	1.3	0.5	69	-0.4
8	Sep_8_2020	12.01	16.52	18.91	18.75	18.52	17.49	17.03(-5.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	13	-430	-15	96	90.29	85%	0.67	50.3	7.27%	-1.1	0.2	65	-1.2
9	Sep_4_2020	11.93	16.38	18.77	19.15	19.15	18.41	17.98(-3.85%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	22	-270	-10	119	162.65	85%	0.76	56.4	7.26%	-0.7	0.6	70	-1.6
10	Sep_3_2020	11.84	16.16	18.44	19.25	19.25	19.55	18.7(-6.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	31	110	-5	137	125.21	87%	0.85	61	7.25%	-1.7	0.9	76	-3.2

11	Sep_2_2020	11.74	15.91	17.99	19.49	19.18	19.89	19.9(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	43	210	5	155	152.99	87%	1.12	69.2	7.47%	0.6	1.5	79	-1.3
12	Sep_1_2020	11.61	15.6	17.42	19.59	19.07	18.96	20.12(5.73%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	50	-120	9	174	137.03	87%	1.13	78.2	7.52%	1.3	1.8	80	-1
13	Aug_31_2020	11.48	15.26	16.83	19.14	19.12	18.48	19.03(2.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	51	-240	9	176	226.35	87%	1.15	82.8	7.53%	0.5	1.6	79	-0.6
14	Aug_28_2020	11.35	14.97	16.33	18.33	18.68	19.18	18.5(-6.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	49	240	14	155	154.15	87%	0.98	79.4	7.53%	-2	1.6	68	0.5
15	Aug_27_2020	11.24	14.64	15.79	17.45	17.68	19.76	19.88(-2.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	61	860	36	137	191.55	87%	1.35	70.6	7.55%	0.6	2.4	76	0.5

16	Aug_26_2020	11.09	14.24	15.11	16.23	16.26	18.17	20.44(14.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	60	830	46	102	360.32	87%	1.46	63.2	7.56%	1.4	3.4	75	1
17	Aug_25_2020	10.93	13.82	14.36	14.95	14.74	15.59	17.84(19.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	30	360	23	50	294.17	86%	1.11	65.7	7.62%	2	3.4	69	1.3
18	Aug_24_2020	10.81	13.53	13.84	14.25	14.16	14.35	14.97(6.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	10	70	7	18	97.26	84%	0.65	64.8	7.4%	1.7	1.7	60	1.3
19	Aug_21_2020	10.74	13.36	13.75	14.06	14.05	13.89	14.12(2.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	-80	4	14	69.87	84%	0.56	52.9	7.41%	0.5	0.9	55	1.4
20	Aug_20_2020	10.68	13.25	13.67	13.86	13.95	13.98	13.78(-1.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	5	30	1	15	49.84	84%	0.47	49.8	7.46%	-1.3	0.6	67	1.5

21	Aug_19_2020	10.63	13.17	13.68	13.77	13.75	14.21	14.06(-1.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	10	230	5	23	41.72	84%	0.66	42.9	7.51%	0	1.1	66	1.5
22	Aug_18_2020	10.56	13.09	13.66	13.63	13.56	13.92	14.3(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	170	10	27	69.62	84%	0.67	33.2	7.49%	0	1.5	62	1.8
23	Aug_17_2020	10.49	13.01	13.58	13.37	13.3	13.28	14.05(7.25%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.9	5	-30	-1	22	77.69	84%	0.67	18.2	7.51%	0	1.4	64	1.9
24	Aug_14_2020	10.42	12.94	13.53	13.4	13.45	13.2	13.1(-1.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-120	-3	34	63.25	84%	0.48	12.5	7.51%	0	0.2	64	1.6
25	Aug_13_2020	10.37	12.85	13.44	13.47	13.71	13.31	13.36(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	7	-150	-4	38	50.09	84%		-6.8	7.5%	0	0.6	64	1.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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