Trading Signals: NIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ NIO: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jul. 7, 2020

Trading Signals: NIO Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Sep. 12, 2018 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(NIO Inc.)
NIO latest price $13.2200 (14.86%) ($10.7000 - $13.7700) on Tue. Jul. 7, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   6.97% (three month average)
RSI   85
Latest Price   $13.2200(14.86%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NIO advances 13.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NIO advances 21.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NIO advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
MCHI(64%)    KWEB(63%)    EEM(61%)    IDRV(61%)    FXI(60%)
Factors Impacting NIO price   NIO will decline at least -3.485% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-29%)    UUP(-23%)    VXX(-11%)    TBT(-5%)    IYT(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -3.485% (StdDev 6.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 17.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $9.95(32.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $8.62(53.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $7.71(71.47%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   136.5%
Market Cap   $20.543b

NIO, Inc. (China) is a holding company, which engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of electric vehicles, driving innovations in next generation technologies in connectivity, autonomous driving and artificial intelligence. Its products include EP9 supercar and ES8 7-seater SUV. The company provides users with home charging, and power express valet service and other power solutions including access to public charging, access to power mobile charging trucks, and battery swapping. It also offers other value-added services such as service package, battery payment arrangement, and vehicle financing and license plate registration. The company was founded by Li Bin and Qin Li Hong in November 2014 and is headquartered in Jiading, China.

$. NIO price fluctuates within 22.7% (three month std-dev: 6.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -15.17%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -7.19%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -37.13%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200807

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_7_2020	7.32	7.71	8.62	9.95	10.16	11.84	13.22(14.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	93	1220	56	205	444.07	100%	3.54	76.3	6.97%	0	3.1	85	0.7
2	Jul_6_2020	7.07	7.33	7.99	8.75	8.97	10.29	11.51(22.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.2	73	1110	52	135	329.22	100%	2.91	82.8	6.85%	0	3.4	83	1.1
3	Jul_2_2020	6.87	7.02	7.54	7.83	7.87	8.49	9.38(18.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.9	43	570	29	84	221.5	100%	1.78	97.6	6.31%	0	2.9	82	0.8
4	Jul_1_2020	6.75	6.84	7.3	7.37	7.33	7.65	7.91(2.46%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	26	290	14	63	64.84	100%	0.9	117	6.14%	0	1.6	78	0.6
5	Jun_30_2020	6.69	6.72	7.19	7.16	7.09	7.25	7.72(6.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	18	130	7	52	84.49	100%	0.9	106.8	6.15%	0	1.4	68	0.3

6	Jun_29_2020	6.63	6.58	7.11	7.06	6.93	7.01	7.23(4.78%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	10	30	-2	46	46.07	100%	0.45	96.3	6.17%	0	0.8	58	-0.2
7	Jun_26_2020	6.6	6.43	7.07	7.1	7.03	6.92	6.9(-2.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	12	-140	-4	61	33.6	100%	0.3	92	6.18%	0	0.5	64	-0.9
8	Jun_25_2020	6.58	6.3	7	7.19	7.19	6.86	7.08(3.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	17	-320	-4	79	46.66	100%	0.46	90.7	6.19%	0	0.7	70	-0.3
9	Jun_24_2020	6.55	6.14	6.89	7.21	7.32	7.13	6.86(-5.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	19	-140	-3	83	103.89	100%	0.31	89.9	6.21%	0	0.6	62	-0.7
10	Jun_23_2020	6.53	6.01	6.84	7.2	7.37	7.53	7.23(-2.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	27	220	3	98	79.86	100%	0.77	88.4	6.23%	0	1	69	-0

11	Jun_22_2020	6.48	5.85	6.79	7.16	7.22	7.52	7.43(1.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	40	320	9	131	112.98	100%	1.09	90.4	6.21%	0	1.3	78	-0.2
12	Jun_19_2020	6.41	5.64	6.64	7.04	7.09	7.21	7.34(2.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	51	140	15	157	84.6	100%	1.26	84.2	6.21%	0	1.3	80	-0.8
13	Jun_18_2020	6.33	5.44	6.47	6.79	6.85	6.93	7.18(4.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	52	110	14	166	78.85	100%	1.28	76.3	6.23%	0	1.4	81	-0.7
14	Jun_17_2020	6.25	5.26	6.34	6.53	6.62	6.97	6.84(-2.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	48	410	7	172	58.93	100%	0.97	70.9	6.61%	0	1.2	81	-0.9
15	Jun_16_2020	6.19	5.1	6.22	6.43	6.38	6.76	6.99(2.34%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	55	390	8	195	130.48	100%	1.31	70.4	6.61%	0	1.5	76	-1

16	Jun_15_2020	6.11	4.93	5.99	6.36	6.24	6.28	6.83(11.97%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	63	-10	11	219	113.69	100%	1.5	72.1	6.66%	0	1.6	78	-1.3
17	Jun_12_2020	6.02	4.75	5.74	6.19	6.2	6	6.1(3.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	62	-220	4	237	59.84	100%	0.33	68.7	6.54%	0	1.2	79	-1.4
18	Jun_11_2020	6	4.62	5.54	6.09	6.14	6.2	5.91(-6.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	61	90	-2	251	126.51	100%	-0.33	66.1	6.59%	0	1.1	78	-2.6
19	Jun_10_2020	6.02	4.49	5.35	6.1	6.13	6.41	6.3(-5.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	79	330	10	287	100.17	100%	3.26	68.4	6.57%	0	1.6	78	0.9
20	Jun_9_2020	5.83	4.35	5.13	5.96	5.98	6.08	6.68(11.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	95	130	24	307	136.91	100%	3	71.2	6.54%	0	2.2	76	1

21	Jun_8_2020	5.66	4.19	4.84	5.57	5.74	5.85	5.97(6.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	85	230	22	275	85.95	100%	1.43	70.6	6.49%	0	2	75	1.6
22	Jun_5_2020	5.58	4.07	4.57	5.22	5.4	5.88	5.59(-6.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	77	730	24	237	90.81	100%	0	69.3	6.49%	0	1.9	75	2
23	Jun_4_2020	5.58	3.97	4.34	4.9	4.99	5.63	5.97(6.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	79	950	38	203	173.05	100%	3.53	65.1	6.45%	0	2.9	77	1.6
24	Jun_3_2020	5.39	3.84	4.08	4.47	4.99	4.93	5.6(19.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.1	56	720	27	144	199.21	100%	4.26	59.9	6.45%	0	3.3	76	1.7
25	Jan_21_2020	5.17	3.61	3.99	4.45	4.47	4.74	5.17(10.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	31	440	17	71	181.42	100%		80.8	9.7%	0	2.2	69	1.4
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.