Trading Signals: NFLX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 20, 2016

Trading Signals: NFLX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Jan. 8, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Netflex stock)
NFLX latest price $123.3500 (1.21%) ($121.0600 - $123.7500) on Thu. Oct. 20, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.89% (three month average)
RSI   78
Latest Price   $123.3500(1.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NFLX advances 4.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NFLX advances 5.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NFLX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(60%)    IWF(56%)    IBUY(54%)    IVW(54%)    SKYY(53%)
Factors Impacting NFLX price   NFLX will decline at least -1.445% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-10%)    IPO(-5%)    TLT(-3%)    SHY(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.445% (StdDev 2.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $113.06(9.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $107.8(14.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $103.9(18.72%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   43.6%
Market Cap   $54.399b

Netflix, Inc. is an Internet subscription service company, which provides subscription service streaming movies and television episodes over the Internet and sending DVDs by mail. It operates through the following segments: Domestic Streaming, International Streaming and Domestic DVD. The Domestic Streaming segment derives revenues from monthly membership fees for services consisting solely of streaming content to its members in the United States. The International Streaming segment includes fees from members outside the United States. The Domestic DVD segment covers revenues from services consisting solely of DVD-by-mail. The company was founded by Marc Randolph and Wilmot Reed Hastings Jr., on August 29, 1997 and is headquartered in Los Gatos, CA.

$. NFLX price fluctuates within 7.79% (three month std-dev: 2.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161120

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_20_2016	96.69	103.9	107.8	113.06			123.35(1.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	53	-10000	30	123	14.49	79%	0.23	53.8	2.89%	0	2.4	78	0
2	Oct_19_2016	96.47	102.44	105.8	108.43			121.87(2.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2	45	-10000	30	89	21.98	65%	0.21	42.8	2.9%	0	2.8	79	0
3	Oct_18_2016	96.27	101.02	104.04	103.96			118.79(19.03%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.8	28	-10000	22	47	42.17	65%	0.24	30	3.34%	0	3.4	76	0
4	Oct_17_2016	96.04	99.9	102.23	100.32			99.8(-1.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-10000	-6	13	26.59	52%	-0.04	19.6	2.39%	0	-0	59	0
5	Oct_14_2016	96.08	99.82	102.54	101.02			101.47(1.24%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	6	-10000	-6	42	9.53	52%	-0.01	24.3	2.38%	0	0.5	68	0

6	Oct_13_2016	96.09	99.71	102.31	101.69			100.23(0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	9	-10000	-8	58	8.32	52%	0	34.3	2.39%	0	0.2	62	0
7	Oct_12_2016	96.09	99.58	102.03	102.66			99.5(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	10	-10000	-11	74	7.43	52%	0.01	39.2	2.39%	0	-0	61	0
8	Oct_11_2016	96.08	99.46	101.9	104.02			100.59(-2.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	24	-10000	-3	106	9.03	52%	0.06	47.3	2.39%	0	0.3	66	0
9	Oct_10_2016	96.02	99.25	101.61	104.37			103.33(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	29	-10000	1	113	6.7	55%	0.11	45.6	2.38%	0	1.2	61	0
10	Oct_7_2016	95.91	99.01	100.78	104.23			104.82(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	35	-10000	10	109	8.66	55%	0.17	48.4	2.39%	0	1.7	64	0

11	Oct_6_2016	95.75	98.57	99.89	102.97			105.07(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	-10000	14	86	6.59	51%	0.16	40.3	2.39%	0	2.1	60	0
12	Oct_5_2016	95.6	98.26	98.94	101.29			106.28(3.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	26	-10000	15	60	12.94	51%	0.19	32	2.42%	0	2.9	67	0
13	Oct_4_2016	95.42	97.85	97.74	99.53			102.34(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.3	14	-10000	9	28	12.14	48%	0.14	22.3	2.38%	0	2.1	62	0
14	Oct_3_2016	95.29	97.7	97.27	98.48			102.63(4.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	16	-10000	14	20	15.34	48%	0.16	15.9	2.4%	0	2.6	65	0
15	Sep_30_2016	95.14	97.41	96.74	96.87			98.55(1.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	1	-10000	4	-9	9.81	49%	0.12	-10.1	2.45%	0	0.7	48	0

16	Sep_29_2016	95.03	97.34	96.78	96.34			96.67(-0.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-2	-10000	1	-11	6.22	52%	0.07	-19.9	2.44%	0	-0.4	51	0
17	Sep_28_2016	94.96	97.34	96.85	96.18			97.48(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-1	-10000	4	-17	7.24	55%	0.05	-16.8	2.47%	0	0.1	45	0
18	Sep_27_2016	94.91	97.39	96.79	95.66			97.07(2.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.9	-10	-10000	-2	-32	9.68	52%	0.06	-21.9	2.5%	0	-0.2	45	0
19	Sep_26_2016	94.85	97.4	96.7	95.89			94.56(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-14	-10000	-6	-39	6.74	50%	0.04	-11.7	2.52%	0	-1.9	38	0
20	Sep_23_2016	94.81	97.57	97.15	96.59			95.94(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	-10000	-6	-26	6.18	47%	0.07	7.2	2.55%	0	-1.2	48	0

21	Sep_22_2016	94.74	97.65	97.23	97.3			95.83(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-6	-10000	-2	-18	11.21	47%	0.05	27.1	2.56%	0	-1.4	48	0
22	Sep_21_2016	94.69	97.64	97.6	97.6			94.88(-3.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-5	-10000	-3	-10	20.04	45%	0.04	28.3	2.56%	0	-2	46	0
23	Sep_20_2016	94.65	97.72	98.05	98.03			98.25(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	3	-10000	3	2	4.74	47%	0.05	43.4	2.56%	0	0.4	53	0
24	Sep_19_2016	94.6	97.58	98.21	97.6			98.06(-1.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-1	-10000	-1	1	8.62	47%	0.08	31.7	2.56%	0	0.4	53	0
25	Sep_16_2016	94.52	97.47	98.15	97.79			99.48(2.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	5	-10000	5	5	9.45	47%		32.6	2.55%	0	1.4	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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