Trading Signals: NFLX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 26, 2016

Trading Signals: NFLX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Jan. 8, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Netflex stock)
NFLX latest price $91.4100 (4.28%) ($90.9000 - $93.1000) on Tue. Jul. 26, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.66% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $91.4100(4.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NFLX advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NFLX declines -4.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NFLX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(59%)    IWF(55%)    IVW(54%)    SKYY(53%)    VUG(51%)
Factors Impacting NFLX price   NFLX will decline at least -1.33% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    UUP(-10%)    TLT(-3%)    SHY(-3%)    IPO(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.33% (StdDev 2.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $79.9(-12.59%)
Resistance Level   $92.84
5 Day Moving Average   $87.77(4.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $91.4(0.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $92.84(-1.54%)
To recent high   -11.5%
To recent low   7.1%
Market Cap   $40.313b

Netflix, Inc. is an Internet subscription service company, which provides subscription service streaming movies and television episodes over the Internet and sending DVDs by mail. It operates through the following segments: Domestic Streaming, International Streaming and Domestic DVD. The Domestic Streaming segment derives revenues from monthly membership fees for services consisting solely of streaming content to its members in the United States. The International Streaming segment includes fees from members outside the United States. The Domestic DVD segment covers revenues from services consisting solely of DVD-by-mail. The company was founded by Marc Randolph and Wilmot Reed Hastings Jr., on August 29, 1997 and is headquartered in Los Gatos, CA.

$. NFLX price fluctuates within 4.89% (three month std-dev: 2.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160826

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_26_2016	96.23	92.84	91.4	87.77			91.41(4.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-16	-10000	10	-92	19.58	44%	-0.04	-13.5	2.66%	0	-0.3	46	0
2	Jul_25_2016	96.27	92.59	91.81	86.66			87.66(2.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-46	-10000	-19	-125	14.14	40%	-0.15	-26.9	2.61%	0	-1	35	0
3	Jul_22_2016	96.41	92.68	92.54	88.89			85.89(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-42	-10000	-21	-103	11.36	40%	-0.13	-20.1	2.61%	0	-1.4	34	0
4	Jul_21_2016	96.54	93.01	93.7	91.39			85.99(-2.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-30	-10000	-20	-59	16.08	40%	-0.12	-10	2.62%	0	-1.5	46	0
5	Jul_20_2016	96.66	93.27	94.7	93.79			87.91(2.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-15	-10000	-14	-17	23.53	40%	-0.1	0.4	2.61%	0	-1.2	50	0

6	Jul_19_2016	96.76	93.46	95.45	95.5			85.84(-13.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.3	-7	-10000	-16	20	55.68	32%	-0.08	8.5	2.62%	0	-1.8	52	0
7	Jul_18_2016	96.84	93.9	96.75	97.52			98.81(0.43%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	27	-10000	7	86	28.67	38%	0.04	24.4	2.6%	0	1.3	79	0
8	Jul_15_2016	96.8	93.65	96.51	96.7			98.39(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	-10000	2	93	9.04	38%	0.04	20.4	2.62%	0	1.3	68	0
9	Jul_14_2016	96.76	93.46	95.85	96.43			98.02(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	27	-10000	5	92	9.89	38%	0.07	17.2	2.63%	0	1.3	60	0
10	Jul_13_2016	96.69	93.25	95.17	95.85			96.43(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	24	-10000	3	88	8.77	38%	0.07	8.1	2.62%	0	1	61	0

11	Jul_12_2016	96.62	93.11	94.38	95.48			95.97(1.37%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	17	-10000	-3	76	11.62	42%	0.04	-2.6	2.64%	0	0.9	58	0
12	Jul_11_2016	96.58	92.98	93.38	95.87			94.67(-2.46%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	14	-10000	-3	63	13.28	42%	0.06	-9.1	2.69%	0	0.5	51	0
13	Jul_8_2016	96.52	92.92	92.79	96.27			97.06(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10000	9	62	8.34	42%	0.06	-14.1	2.68%	0	1.3	53	0
14	Jul_7_2016	96.46	92.87	92.2	95.15			95.1(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	14	-10000	6	38	9.91	42%	0.01	-29.7	2.66%	0	0.7	48	0
15	Jul_6_2016	96.45	92.97	91.68	94.34			94.6(-3.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	11	20	16.3	42%	0.05	-40.2	2.66%	0	0.5	50	0

16	Jul_5_2016	96.4	93.19	91.28	93.02			97.91(1.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	15	-10000	21	-2	25.88	45%	0.11	-50.5	2.63%	0	1.3	55	0
17	Jul_1_2016	96.29	93.27	90.76	90.5			96.67(5.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	1	-10000	14	-40	16.17	48%	0.11	-65.8	2.61%	0	0.9	54	0
18	Jun_30_2016	96.18	93.36	90.43	88.86			91.48(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-18	-10000	-0	-70	9.1	43%	0.03	-75.8	2.52%	0	-0.4	44	0
19	Jun_29_2016	96.15	93.82	90.77	88.89			91.06(3.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-17	-10000	2	-73	11.69	43%	0.05	-71	2.53%	0	-0.6	37	0
20	Jun_28_2016	96.1	94.33	91.06	88.68			87.97(3.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-26	-10000	-5	-88	11.55	39%	0.05	-66.1	2.52%	0	-1.3	27	0

21	Jun_27_2016	96.05	95.05	91.68	89.29			85.33(-3.52%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-36	-10000	-15	-98	13.78	35%	0.02	-58.6	2.52%	0	-2.1	16	0
22	Jun_24_2016	96.03	95.97	92.59	90.98			88.44(-3.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-30	-10000	-10	-90	11.25	38%	-0.01	-42	2.5%	0	-1.8	17	0
23	Jun_23_2016	96.04	96.7	93.17	92.18			91.66(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-10000	-7	-87	10.82	41%	0.01	-22.2	2.47%	0	-1.2	26	0
24	Jun_22_2016	96.03	97.14	93.69	92.94			90.01(-1.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-27	-10000	-7	-88	9.45	41%	-0.02	-7.3	2.46%	0	-1.8	17	0
25	Jun_21_2016	96.05	97.57	94.48	93.79			90.99(-3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-25	-10000	-5	-84	15.2	41%		9.9	2.46%	0	-1.8	18	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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