Trading Signals: NFLX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Apr. 14, 2016

Trading Signals: NFLX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Jan. 8, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Netflex stock)
NFLX latest price $110.4200 (0.7%) ($109.1500 - $111.6400) on Thu. Apr. 14, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.77% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $110.4200(0.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NFLX advances 1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NFLX advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NFLX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(59%)    IWF(55%)    IVW(54%)    SKYY(53%)    VUG(51%)
Factors Impacting NFLX price   NFLX will decline at least -1.385% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-16%)    UUP(-10%)    TLT(-3%)    SHY(-3%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.385% (StdDev 2.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $106.71(3.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $105.87(4.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $103.53(6.66%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   33.4%
Market Cap   $48.697b

Netflix, Inc. is an Internet subscription service company, which provides subscription service streaming movies and television episodes over the Internet and sending DVDs by mail. It operates through the following segments: Domestic Streaming, International Streaming and Domestic DVD. The Domestic Streaming segment derives revenues from monthly membership fees for services consisting solely of streaming content to its members in the United States. The International Streaming segment includes fees from members outside the United States. The Domestic DVD segment covers revenues from services consisting solely of DVD-by-mail. The company was founded by Marc Randolph and Wilmot Reed Hastings Jr., on August 29, 1997 and is headquartered in Los Gatos, CA.

$. NFLX price fluctuates within 3.04% (three month std-dev: 2.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160514

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_14_2016	104.87	103.53	105.87	106.71			110.42(0.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	20	-10000	8	56	9.55	53%	-0.14	70.4	2.77%	0	2.2	76	0
2	Apr_13_2016	105.02	102.96	105.03	105.51			109.65(2.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	17	-10000	7	48	16.7	47%	-0.13	69.7	2.77%	0	2.4	71	0
3	Apr_12_2016	105.16	102.36	104.26	104.55			106.98(4.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	12	-10000	3	38	12.44	47%	-0.18	70.2	2.96%	0	1.8	67	0
4	Apr_11_2016	105.35	101.91	103.94	104.14			102.68(-1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	8	-10000	-2	39	7.45	46%	-0.21	73.8	2.92%	0	0.3	56	0
5	Apr_8_2016	105.57	101.67	103.83	104.48			103.81(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-10000	-2	43	7.86	46%	-0.17	67.1	2.94%	0	0.8	58	0

6	Apr_7_2016	105.75	101.36	103.34	104.85			104.45(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	14	-10000	3	48	10.77	46%	-0.16	68.7	2.96%	0	1.1	64	0
7	Apr_6_2016	105.92	101.03	102.88	104.41			104.83(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	-10000	3	44	9.61	52%	-0.12	65.9	2.98%	0	1.4	66	0
8	Apr_5_2016	106.05	100.61	102.38	103.88			104.94(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	-10000	1	39	10.06	52%	-0.06	56.9	3.21%	0	1.6	69	0
9	Apr_4_2016	106.11	100.13	101.97	103.72			104.35(-1.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	-10000	4	45	10.94	50%	0	59.1	3.22%	0	1.6	67	0
10	Apr_1_2016	106.11	99.96	101.63	103.09			105.7(3.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	19	-10000	9	47	14.18	50%	-0.03	68.8	3.25%	0	2.3	72	0

11	Mar_31_2016	106.14	99.55	101	101.62			102.23(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	-10000	3	34	9.75	48%	-0.1	68.8	3.25%	0	1.2	68	0
12	Mar_30_2016	106.25	99.31	100.71	101.1			102.19(-1.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	-10000	3	31	14.7	48%	-0.1	78.2	3.26%	0	1.4	64	0
13	Mar_29_2016	106.36	99.1	100.29	100.63			104.13(2.89%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.8	11	-10000	4	30	16.01	48%	-0.06	97	3.26%	0	2.5	76	0
14	Mar_28_2016	106.42	98.57	99.66	100.01			101.21(2.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	7	-10000	0	28	12.43	48%	-0.2	93.1	3.24%	0	1.3	73	0
15	Mar_24_2016	106.63	98.25	99.31	99.99			98.36(-1.24%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	4	-10000	-2	21	10.67	48%	-0.15	99.5	3.22%	0	0.1	40	0

16	Mar_23_2016	106.79	98.08	99.24	100.27			99.59(-0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	6	-10000	0	24	8.31	48%	-0.1	96.1	3.22%	0	0.6	55	0
17	Mar_22_2016	106.9	97.7	99.08	100.22			99.84(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	8	-10000	2	26	9.07	48%	-0.07	74.6	3.23%	0	0.7	56	0
18	Mar_21_2016	106.98	97.2	98.74	99.82			101.06(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	-10000	4	19	9.58	48%	-0.07	68.8	3.22%	0	1.2	57	0
19	Mar_18_2016	107.06	96.74	98.18	99.24			101.12(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	7	-10000	4	17	15.45	45%	-0.04	66	3.22%	0	1.3	68	0
20	Mar_17_2016	107.1	96.16	98.16	98.54			99.72(0.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	-10000	3	21	13.82	45%	-0.06	64.3	3.25%	0	1	61	0

21	Mar_16_2016	107.16	95.71	97.96	98.07			99.35(1.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	-10000	2	22	12.63	48%	-0.04	66.1	3.25%	0	1.1	61	0
22	Mar_15_2016	107.2	95.46	97.78	97.8			97.86(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	9	-10000	2	30	9.69	48%	-0.06	73.1	3.27%	0	0.7	65	0
23	Mar_14_2016	107.26	95.04	97.81	97.48			98.13(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	-10000	3	43	11.25	48%	-0.02	78.7	3.28%	0	0.9	70	0
24	Mar_11_2016	107.28	94.52	97.38	96.95			97.66(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	6	-10000	-5	38	15.11	46%	0.01	75.6	3.28%	0	0.8	61	0
25	Mar_10_2016	107.27	93.98	97.12	97.73			97.36(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	14	-10000	-1	59	17	46%		72.9	3.31%	0	0.8	65	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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