Trading Signals: NFLX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Feb. 22, 2016

Trading Signals: NFLX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Jan. 8, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Netflex stock)
NFLX latest price $91.9300 (3.03%) ($88.3000 - $93.1100) on Mon. Feb. 22, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.15% (three month average)
RSI   46
Latest Price   $91.9300(3.03%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NFLX advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NFLX advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NFLX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(59%)    IWF(55%)    IVW(54%)    SKYY(53%)    VUG(51%)
Factors Impacting NFLX price   NFLX will decline at least -1.575% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    UUP(-10%)    TLT(-4%)    SHY(-3%)    IPO(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.575% (StdDev 3.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $91.09(0.92%)
10 Day Moving Average   $88.86(3.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $90.39(1.7%)
To recent high   -29.8%
To recent low   11%
Market Cap   $40.543b

Netflix, Inc. is an Internet subscription service company, which provides subscription service streaming movies and television episodes over the Internet and sending DVDs by mail. It operates through the following segments: Domestic Streaming, International Streaming and Domestic DVD. The Domestic Streaming segment derives revenues from monthly membership fees for services consisting solely of streaming content to its members in the United States. The International Streaming segment includes fees from members outside the United States. The Domestic DVD segment covers revenues from services consisting solely of DVD-by-mail. The company was founded by Marc Randolph and Wilmot Reed Hastings Jr., on August 29, 1997 and is headquartered in Los Gatos, CA.

$. NFLX price fluctuates within 4.59% (three month std-dev: 3.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160322

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_22_2016	108.75	90.39	88.86	91.09			91.93(3.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	10	-10000	6	23	16.32	43%	-0.14	-71	3.15%	0	0.4	46	0
2	Feb_19_2016	108.9	90.77	87.97	90.19			89.23(-1.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	2	-10000	4	-6	14.26	43%	-0.16	-74	3.15%	0	-0.3	47	0
3	Feb_18_2016	109.07	91.38	87.98	89.61			90.49(-4.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-4	-10000	3	-23	17.7	43%	-0.13	-72.6	3.15%	0	-0.2	44	0
4	Feb_17_2016	109.21	92.16	87.94	89.2			94.76(6.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	4	-10000	13	-25	18.32	49%	-0.03	-68.5	3.13%	0	0.4	54	0
5	Feb_16_2016	109.24	92.72	87.5	87.48			89.05(1.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-9	-10000	9	-61	16.36	50%	-0.04	-71.3	3.09%	0	-0.5	38	0

6	Feb_12_2016	109.28	93.44	87.92	86.33			87.4(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-15	-10000	7	-80	19.07	47%	-0.16	-76.8	3.26%	0	-0.8	34	0
7	Feb_11_2016	109.45	94.39	88.33	85.41			86.35(-2.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-32	-10000	-5	-111	21.82	47%	-0.11	-80.6	3.28%	0	-1	31	0
8	Feb_10_2016	109.57	95.39	89.11	86.08			88.45(2.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-32	-10000	-3	-118	23.15	47%	-0.09	-83.5	3.27%	0	-0.9	31	0
9	Feb_9_2016	109.67	96.73	89.37	86.54			86.13(3.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-41	-10000	-7	-143	25.89	45%	-0.14	-70.2	3.27%	0	-1.2	23	0
10	Feb_8_2016	109.82	98.14	90.5	87.61			83.32(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-50	-10000	-15	-153	25.04	43%	-0.18	-63	3.26%	0	-1.6	17	0

11	Feb_5_2016	110.02	99.57	92.08	89.76			82.79(-7.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-44	-10000	-12	-140	25.93	43%	-0.2	-61.3	3.26%	0	-1.9	25	0
12	Feb_4_2016	110.24	101.18	93.91	91.57			89.71(-1.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-39	-10000	-7	-136	19.11	49%	-0.14	-60.6	3.13%	0	-1.3	27	0
13	Feb_3_2016	110.39	102.57	95.14	92.51			90.74(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-33	-10000	-1	-130	27.47	49%	-0.07	-57.8	3.17%	0	-1.3	29	0
14	Feb_2_2016	110.47	103.46	96.78	92.6			91.49(-2.76%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-43	-10000	-8	-146	21.91	49%	-0.05	-65.7	3.18%	0	-1.4	23	0
15	Feb_1_2016	110.52	104.43	98.38	93.86			94.09(2.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-42	-10000	-7	-146	19.68	49%	-0.03	-69.6	3.16%	0	-1.3	27	0

16	Jan_29_2016	110.55	105.45	99.38	94.87			91.84(-2.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-47	-10000	-12	-151	20.46	49%	-0.07	-70.8	3.17%	0	-1.7	30	0
17	Jan_28_2016	110.63	106.72	100.92	96.65			94.41(3.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-44	-10000	-10	-146	24.56	49%	-0.05	-69.5	3.16%	0	-1.7	29	0
18	Jan_27_2016	110.68	107.97	102.17	98.23			91.15(-6.83%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-54	-10000	-21	-154	25.56	47%	-0.04	-65.9	3.14%	0	-2.4	22	0
19	Jan_26_2016	110.72	109.32	104.71	101.55			97.83(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-38	-10000	-13	-112	22.08	51%	-0.12	-61.7	3.02%	0	-1.8	43	0
20	Jan_25_2016	110.85	110.32	106.41	103.56			99.12(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-25	-10000	-6	-83	20.32	51%	0	-61.1	3.04%	0	-1.9	42	0

21	Jan_22_2016	110.85	111.3	107.68	104.55			100.72(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-26	-10000	-8	-79	26.82	51%	0	-65.7	3.06%	0	-1.9	39	0
22	Jan_21_2016	110.85	112.12	109.09	105.82			102.35(-5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-21	-10000	-5	-70	31.03	51%	-0.04	-67.1	3.05%	0	-1.9	38	0
23	Jan_20_2016	110.89	112.87	110.62	106.66			107.74(-0.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-26	-10000	-11	-69	53.01	55%	0.02	-72	2.98%	0	-1.1	40	0
24	Jan_19_2016	110.87	113.39	110.68	108.43			107.89(3.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-23	-10000	-9	-66	35.72	55%	-0.13	-65.1	3%	0	-1.2	42	0
25	Jan_15_2016	111.01	114.1	110.93	109.84			104.04(-2.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-23	-10000	-9	-66	19.78	47%		-60	2.98%	0	-2.2	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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