Trading Signals: NFLX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 14, 2015

Trading Signals: NFLX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Jan. 8, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Netflex stock)
NFLX latest price $110.2300 (0.46%) ($108.0500 - $111.6300) on Wed. Oct. 14, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.15% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $110.2300(0.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NFLX advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NFLX advances 5.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NFLX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(59%)    IWF(55%)    SKYY(53%)    VUG(51%)    XLK(48%)
Factors Impacting NFLX price   NFLX will decline at least -2.075% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-9%)    TLT(-4%)    SHY(-4%)    XLRE(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.075% (StdDev 4.15%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $112.33(-1.87%)
10 Day Moving Average   $110.25(-0.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $105.88(4.11%)
To recent high   -12.8%
To recent low   16.1%
Market Cap   $48.613b

Netflix, Inc. is an Internet subscription service company, which provides subscription service streaming movies and television episodes over the Internet and sending DVDs by mail. It operates through the following segments: Domestic Streaming, International Streaming and Domestic DVD. The Domestic Streaming segment derives revenues from monthly membership fees for services consisting solely of streaming content to its members in the United States. The International Streaming segment includes fees from members outside the United States. The Domestic DVD segment covers revenues from services consisting solely of DVD-by-mail. The company was founded by Marc Randolph and Wilmot Reed Hastings Jr., on August 29, 1997 and is headquartered in Los Gatos, CA.

$. NFLX price fluctuates within 4.85% (three month std-dev: 4.15%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151114

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_14_2015	103.97	105.88	110.25	112.33			110.23(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.4	20	-10000	2	75	33.23	66%	0.21	67.8	4.15%	0	0.8	60	0
2	Oct_13_2015	103.75	105.55	109.62	111.91			109.73(-3.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	21	-10000	1	80	17.51	67%	0.06	69.9	4.15%	0	0.8	67	0
3	Oct_12_2015	103.69	105.03	108.59	111.63			113.45(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	-10000	2	81	12.62	67%	0.25	69.8	4.15%	0	1.6	71	0
4	Oct_9_2015	103.43	104.14	107.22	111.19			113.33(-1.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	25	-10000	6	80	22.46	67%	0.23	68.1	4.16%	0	1.8	67	0
5	Oct_8_2015	103.19	103.33	106.08	109.74			114.93(6.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	24	-10000	8	71	42.83	67%	0.26	62.4	4.16%	0	2.4	64	0

6	Oct_7_2015	102.92	102.51	104.87	107.95			108.1(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	17	-10000	4	57	12.33	65%	0.19	55.1	4.09%	0	1.4	55	0
7	Oct_6_2015	102.72	102.04	103.89	106.99			108.33(-2.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	9	45	20.84	65%	0.2	40.6	4.09%	0	1.5	55	0
8	Oct_5_2015	102.51	101.37	102.9	104.99			111.25(4.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	16	-10000	11	29	21.16	65%	0.23	4.9	4.08%	0	2.5	66	0
9	Oct_2_2015	102.27	100.7	101.72	102.63			106.11(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	7	-10000	4	14	21.53	64%	0.23	-40.8	4.07%	0	1.7	66	0
10	Oct_1_2015	102.04	100.42	101.31	101.86			105.98(2.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	5	-10000	2	13	17.43	64%	0.23	-77.2	4.07%	0	1.9	62	0

11	Sep_30_2015	101.81	100.33	101.05	101.42			103.26(4.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	8	-10000	5	18	17.03	64%	0.21	-90.5	4.06%	0	1	56	0
12	Sep_29_2015	101.6	100.41	101.07	100.38			98.35(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.7	4	-10000	-0	14	17.41	62%	0.14	-89.1	4.02%	0	-0.7	50	0
13	Sep_28_2015	101.46	101.18	101.21	100.4			99.47(-2.71%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	4	-10000	-1	20	17.03	62%	0.18	-44.9	4.02%	0	-0.4	59	0
14	Sep_25_2015	101.28	102.01	100.91	100.57			102.24(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	5	-10000	-0	18	19.07	62%	0.22	-23.9	4.01%	0	0	55	0
15	Sep_24_2015	101.06	102.7	100.45	100.64			103.76(5.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	4	-10000	-0	14	21.27	62%	0.24	-17	4.02%	0	0.2	53	0

16	Sep_23_2015	100.82	102.98	99.99	100.73			98.07(-0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-3	-10000	-6	5	10.26	60%	0.18	-24	3.95%	0	-0.7	39	0
17	Sep_22_2015	100.64	103.19	100.13	101.94			98.47(-1.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	1	-10000	-1	8	16.72	60%	0.19	-34.4	3.95%	0	-0.7	39	0
18	Sep_21_2015	100.45	103.17	99.85	102.07			100.3(-2.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	0	-10000	5	-15	17.9	60%	0.21	-51.9	3.96%	0	-0.4	32	0
19	Sep_18_2015	100.24	103.37	99.7	101.15			102.62(-1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-8	-10000	5	-48	21.72	60%	0.24	-68.5	3.95%	0	-0.1	31	0
20	Sep_17_2015	100	103.82	99.49	100.13			104.21(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-16	-10000	5	-78	25.82	60%	0.24	-76.8	3.94%	0	0.1	32	0

21	Sep_16_2015	99.76	104.62	99.5	99.18			104.08(4.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-20	-10000	5	-93	28.06	60%	0.24	-69.7	3.95%	0	-0.1	44	0
22	Sep_15_2015	99.52	105.52	99.55	98.2			99.16(3.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-22	-10000	4	-99	22.59	58%	0.19	-64.7	3.91%	0	-0.7	50	0
23	Sep_14_2015	99.33	106.77	100.99	97.36			95.69(-1.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-10000	-3	-87	15.55	58%	0.16	-61.2	3.89%	0	-1.1	53	0
24	Sep_11_2015	99.17	108.14	103.09	97.98			97.51(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-20	-10000	-4	-66	17.37	58%	0.18	-59.1	3.88%	0	-1.1	47	0
25	Sep_10_2015	98.99	109.43	105.04	98.69			99.48(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	-10000	-6	-55	21.03	60%		-58.1	3.87%	0	-1	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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