Trading Signals: NFLX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 15, 2015

Trading Signals: NFLX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Jan. 8, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Netflex stock)
NFLX latest price $99.1600 (3.63%) ($93.6100 - $99.6500) on Tue. Sep. 15, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.91% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $99.1600(3.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NFLX advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NFLX declines -6.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Value stock rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NFLX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(58%)    IWF(54%)    SKYY(53%)    VUG(51%)    SPY(47%)
Factors Impacting NFLX price   NFLX will decline at least -1.955% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    UUP(-8%)    TLT(-4%)    SHY(-4%)    UNG(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.955% (StdDev 3.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $83.17(-16.13%)
Resistance Level   $105.52
5 Day Moving Average   $98.2(0.98%)
10 Day Moving Average   $99.55(-0.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $105.52(-6.03%)
To recent high   -21.6%
To recent low   7.5%
Market Cap   $43.731b

Netflix, Inc. is an Internet subscription service company, which provides subscription service streaming movies and television episodes over the Internet and sending DVDs by mail. It operates through the following segments: Domestic Streaming, International Streaming and Domestic DVD. The Domestic Streaming segment derives revenues from monthly membership fees for services consisting solely of streaming content to its members in the United States. The International Streaming segment includes fees from members outside the United States. The Domestic DVD segment covers revenues from services consisting solely of DVD-by-mail. The company was founded by Marc Randolph and Wilmot Reed Hastings Jr., on August 29, 1997 and is headquartered in Los Gatos, CA.

$. NFLX price fluctuates within 8.52% (three month std-dev: 3.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151015

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_15_2015	99.52	105.52	99.55	98.2			99.16(3.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-22	-10000	4	-99	22.59	58%	0.19	-64.7	3.91%	0	-0.7	50	0
2	Sep_14_2015	99.33	106.77	100.99	97.36			95.69(-1.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-24	-10000	-3	-87	15.55	58%	0.16	-61.2	3.89%	0	-1.1	53	0
3	Sep_11_2015	99.17	108.14	103.09	97.98			97.51(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-20	-10000	-4	-66	17.37	58%	0.18	-59.1	3.88%	0	-1.1	47	0
4	Sep_10_2015	98.99	109.43	105.04	98.69			99.48(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	-10000	-6	-55	21.03	60%	0.2	-58.1	3.87%	0	-1	42	0
5	Sep_9_2015	98.79	110.49	106.13	99.88			99.18(4.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-10000	-7	-61	35.52	61%	0.2	-57.2	3.9%	0	-1.1	36	0

6	Sep_8_2015	98.59	111.68	106.51	101.21			94.95(-3.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-36	-10000	-20	-85	43.48	59%	0.32	-54.4	3.88%	0	-1.7	31	0
7	Sep_4_2015	98.28	113.12	106.94	105.22			98.79(-2.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-36	-10000	-18	-91	24.21	61%	0.19	-42.8	3.82%	0	-1.5	32	0
8	Sep_3_2015	98.09	114.39	107.59	108.99			101.06(-4.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-34	-10000	-16	-87	29.55	61%	0.34	-29.6	3.81%	0	-1.4	35	0
9	Sep_2_2015	97.76	115.68	108.76	112.31			105.44(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-21	-10000	-4	-72	39.84	64%	0.39	-13.9	3.77%	0	-1.2	37	0
10	Sep_1_2015	97.38	116.62	110.33	113.25			105.79(-8.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.9	-12	-10000	4	-61	35.98	64%	0.39	-2.9	3.77%	0	-1.3	41	0

11	Aug_31_2015	97	117.43	112.07	112.39			115.03(-2.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	-10000	18	-64	17.01	70%	0.53	1.9	3.62%	0	-0.3	44	0
12	Aug_28_2015	96.49	117.35	112.94	108.76			117.63(-0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-12	-10000	14	-91	20.24	70%	0.57	-7	3.61%	0	0	46	0
13	Aug_27_2015	95.94	117.2	113.36	106.03			117.66(6.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-25	-10000	5	-116	37.06	70%	0.58	-13.4	3.61%	0	0.1	45	0
14	Aug_26_2015	95.39	116.92	113.82	105			110.13(8.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-44	-10000	-13	-138	36.16	68%	0.53	-15.6	3.53%	0	-0.8	36	0
15	Aug_25_2015	94.89	116.86	114.85	107.38			101.52(4.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-52	-10000	-24	-136	37.62	64%	0.44	-10.2	3.38%	0	-1.8	28	0

16	Aug_24_2015	94.47	117.27	117.07	111.89			96.88(-6.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-48	-10000	-29	-103	59.95	61%	0.02	1.3	3.36%	0	-2.4	25	0
17	Aug_21_2015	94.45	117.93	119.88	117.58			103.96(-7.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-26	-10000	-20	-43	33.23	68%	0.49	21	3.24%	0	-1.9	46	0
18	Aug_20_2015	93.99	118.32	121.99	121.47			112.49(-7.84%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.3	-8	-10000	-12	6	28.05	78%	0.59	35.3	3.09%	0	-0.8	52	0
19	Aug_19_2015	93.44	118.27	123.46	123.72			122.06(-1.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	-10000	2	57	10.12	92%	0.68	41	2.91%	0	0.5	69	0
20	Aug_18_2015	92.81	117.76	123.64	123.41			124.05(-1.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	21	-10000	1	82	9.38	92%	0.71	49.3	2.9%	0	0.9	76	0

21	Aug_17_2015	92.16	117.17	123.37	123.15			125.36(1.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	29	-10000	3	106	9.23	92%	0.74	57.4	2.89%	0	1.2	79	0
22	Aug_14_2015	91.48	116.41	122.18	122.68			123.39(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-10000	-0	113	8.67	92%	0.72	65.5	2.93%	0	1.1	78	0
23	Aug_13_2015	90.83	115.94	121.33	122.71			123.73(2.67%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	29	-10000	-3	124	15.28	92%	0.72	82	2.93%	0	1.2	71	0
24	Aug_12_2015	90.18	115.5	120.18	123.25			120.51(-1.82%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	31	-10000	-4	137	13.88	92%	0.66	90.6	2.92%	0	0.7	67	0
25	Aug_11_2015	89.59	114.44	118.95	123.89			122.74(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	37	-10000	2	143	11.6	92%		91.8	2.91%	0	1.1	67	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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