Trading Signals: NFLX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 30, 2015

Trading Signals: NFLX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Jan. 8, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Netflex stock)
NFLX latest price $111.5600 (4.18%) ($105.4000 - $111.9000) on Thu. Jul. 30, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.76% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $111.5600(4.18%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NFLX advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NFLX advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NFLX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(59%)    XLK(48%)    XLY(48%)    SPY(47%)    VT(43%)
Factors Impacting NFLX price   NFLX will decline at least -1.38% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-19%)    UUP(-6%)    TLT(-5%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.38% (StdDev 2.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 4.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $108.26(3.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $109.97(1.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $104.64(6.61%)
To recent high   -3.7%
To recent low   40.7%
Market Cap   $49.2b

Netflix, Inc. is an Internet subscription service company, which provides subscription service streaming movies and television episodes over the Internet and sending DVDs by mail. It operates through the following segments: Domestic Streaming, International Streaming and Domestic DVD. The Domestic Streaming segment derives revenues from monthly membership fees for services consisting solely of streaming content to its members in the United States. The International Streaming segment includes fees from members outside the United States. The Domestic DVD segment covers revenues from services consisting solely of DVD-by-mail. The company was founded by Marc Randolph and Wilmot Reed Hastings Jr., on August 29, 1997 and is headquartered in Los Gatos, CA.

$. NFLX price fluctuates within 7.22% (three month std-dev: 2.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150830

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_30_2015	84.72	104.64	109.97	108.26			111.56(4.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	-10000	2	50	14.23	91%	0.59	49.3	2.76%	0	0.9	69	0
2	Jul_29_2015	84.22	103.75	110.32	107.97			107.08(0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	17	-10000	-6	84	6.7	90%	0.55	45.9	2.73%	0	0.4	68	0
3	Jul_28_2015	83.76	103.12	109.59	108.85			106.9(0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	21	-10000	-8	106	11.16	90%	0.53	46.4	2.73%	0	0.5	70	0
4	Jul_27_2015	83.32	102.42	109.06	109.98			106.43(-2.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	31	-10000	-5	137	11.3	90%	0.51	47.1	2.73%	0	0.5	69	0
5	Jul_24_2015	82.9	101.77	108.63	110.8			109.34(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	36	-10000	-7	166	8.13	90%	0.52	49.3	2.71%	0	0.9	72	0

6	Jul_23_2015	82.47	101.04	107.52	111.89			110.1(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	43	-10000	-7	194	8.31	90%	0.54	54.5	2.7%	0	1.1	73	0
7	Jul_22_2015	82.03	100.34	106.16	113.03			111.5(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	72	-10000	18	233	10.5	90%	0.55	63	2.7%	0	1.4	76	0
8	Jul_21_2015	81.58	99.58	104.41	110.35			112.51(1.77%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	64	-10000	17	204	14.09	90%	0.55	58	2.69%	0	1.7	77	0
9	Jul_20_2015	81.13	98.71	102.57	107.93			110.55(-3.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	55	-10000	13	179	22.68	90%	0.53	55.5	2.7%	0	1.7	77	0
10	Jul_17_2015	80.7	97.83	100.94	106.03			114.77(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.4	62	-10000	26	171	25.14	100%	0.59	51.4	2.65%	0	2.7	82	0

11	Jul_16_2015	80.23	96.75	98.76	102.53			115.81(18.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.7	55	-10000	31	127	63.46	100%	0.6	44.9	2.65%	0	3.8	78	0
12	Jul_15_2015	79.75	95.57	96.38	98.51			98.13(-2.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	20	-10000	7	58	30.9	100%	0.39	44.4	2.67%	0	1.1	52	0
13	Jul_14_2015	79.44	95.41	95.95	97.58			100.37(-0.71%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	18	-10000	10	41	19.74	100%	0.43	40.4	2.65%	0	2.2	56	0
14	Jul_13_2015	79.1	95.05	95.12	96.33			101.09(3.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.4	12	-10000	10	16	33.21	100%	0.42	37.4	2.64%	0	3.1	60	0
15	Jul_10_2015	78.77	94.68	94.27	95.03			97.23(1.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	3	-10000	5	-5	21.64	100%	0.38	39.7	2.65%	0	1.8	60	0

16	Jul_9_2015	78.47	94.56	93.99	94.39			95.73(2.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-2	-10000	3	-15	16.73	100%	0.37	51.5	2.67%	0	0.9	53	0
17	Jul_8_2015	78.18	94.55	94.06	93.97			93.51(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5	-10000	-1	-16	12.99	100%	0.35	67.7	2.67%	0	-0.8	48	0
18	Jul_7_2015	77.91	94.51	94.41	94.04			94.09(-0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-0	-10000	3	-10	21.57	100%	0.21	77.9	2.7%	0	-0.3	46	0
19	Jul_6_2015	77.75	94.32	94.63	93.67			94.57(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-1	-10000	2	-9	11.81	100%	0.54	56.7	2.69%	0	0.1	55	0
20	Jul_2_2015	77.33	94.13	94.57	93.37			94.04(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-5	-10000	-1	-15	11.05	100%	0.38	45.1	2.7%	0	-0	50	0

21	Jul_1_2015	77.04	93.92	94.65	93.54			93.64(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-8	-10000	-5	-16	14.7	100%	0.39	42.5	2.7%	0	-0.1	46	0
22	Jun_30_2015	76.74	93.71	94.73	94.2			93.85(1.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-7	-10000	-5	-11	16.88	100%	0.41	45.6	2.69%	0	0.1	44	0
23	Jun_29_2015	76.43	93.49	94.88	94.89			92.23(-0.92%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1	-5	-10000	-7	3	24.58	100%	0.38	52.2	2.7%	0	-0.5	52	0
24	Jun_26_2015	76.14	93.36	95.04	95.73			93.09(-1.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	6	-10000	-1	25	30.31	100%	0.4	59.5	2.69%	0	-0.1	62	0
25	Jun_25_2015	75.84	93.19	95.21	95.89			94.89(-2.12%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	9	-10000	0	37	41.62	92%		60	2.68%	0	0.6	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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