Trading Signals: NFLX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 28, 2015

Trading Signals: NFLX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Jan. 8, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Netflex stock)
NFLX latest price $89.5071 (-0.39%) ($88.9299 - $89.8556) on Thu. May. 28, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.85% (three month average)
RSI   81
Latest Price   $89.5071(-0.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NFLX advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NFLX advances 3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NFLX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(58%)    XLK(48%)    XLY(48%)    SPY(47%)    VT(43%)
Factors Impacting NFLX price   NFLX will decline at least -1.425% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-20%)    UUP(-6%)    TLT(-5%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.425% (StdDev 2.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $89.04(0.52%)
10 Day Moving Average   $88.25(1.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $84.95(5.36%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   51.7%
Market Cap   $39.474b

Netflix, Inc. is an Internet subscription service company, which provides subscription service streaming movies and television episodes over the Internet and sending DVDs by mail. It operates through the following segments: Domestic Streaming, International Streaming and Domestic DVD. The Domestic Streaming segment derives revenues from monthly membership fees for services consisting solely of streaming content to its members in the United States. The International Streaming segment includes fees from members outside the United States. The Domestic DVD segment covers revenues from services consisting solely of DVD-by-mail. The company was founded by Marc Randolph and Wilmot Reed Hastings Jr., on August 29, 1997 and is headquartered in Los Gatos, CA.

$. NFLX price fluctuates within 4.51% (three month std-dev: 2.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150628

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_28_2015	68.48	84.95	88.25	89.04			89.51(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-10000	1	77	7.82	83%	0.66	60.3	2.85%	0	1.2	81	0
2	May_27_2015	68.03	84.49	87.62	88.9			89.86(2.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	23	-10000	3	84	10.51	83%	0.65	61.9	2.88%	0	1.4	83	0
3	May_26_2015	67.59	84.01	86.99	88.54			87.99(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	22	-10000	-0	86	9.65	83%	0.9	62.5	2.88%	0	1.1	77	0
4	May_22_2015	66.99	83.64	86.63	88.59			88.84(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	28	-10000	2	104	7.47	83%	0.33	64.9	2.82%	0	1.5	83	0
5	May_21_2015	66.77	83.18	85.97	88.35			89(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	34	-10000	8	111	12.77	83%	0.63	63.7	2.84%	0	1.7	82	0

6	May_20_2015	66.35	82.7	85.16	87.31			88.79(0.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	33	-10000	10	102	12.76	83%	0.62	58.9	2.86%	0	1.9	81	0
7	May_19_2015	65.94	82.22	84.29	86.13			88.07(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	-10000	8	86	19.1	83%	0.61	73.2	2.86%	0	2.1	75	0
8	May_18_2015	65.54	81.8	83.54	85.19			88.27(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	24	-10000	7	75	14.81	83%	0.63	95.4	2.86%	0	2.6	75	0
9	May_15_2015	65.13	81.4	82.63	84.39			87.61(4.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	22	-10000	9	62	37.05	83%	0.37	139.1	2.84%	0	3.1	71	0
10	May_14_2015	64.89	81.07	81.79	83.29			83.84(1.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	5	46	8.9	82%	0.56	228.5	2.82%	0	1.9	67	0

11	May_13_2015	64.53	80.88	81.35	82.67			82.87(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10000	5	36	11.16	82%	0.56	132.4	2.84%	0	0.7	64	0
12	May_12_2015	64.17	80.19	81.1	82.11			83.38(-1.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	11	-10000	4	30	11.91	82%	0.58	106.6	2.84%	0	0.8	67	0
13	May_11_2015	63.8	79.48	80.78	81.6			84.28(2.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	-10000	9	26	23.88	82%	0.58	98.1	2.83%	0	1.1	69	0
14	May_8_2015	63.43	78.69	80.39	80.6			82.09(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	6	-10000	5	10	13.83	82%	0.57	87.2	2.79%	0	0.7	54	0
15	May_7_2015	63.07	77.88	80.15	80.09			80.75(0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	1	-10000	2	-3	10.22	82%	0.54	78.7	2.81%	0	0.5	43	0

16	May_6_2015	62.73	77.04	80.05	79.84			80.08(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-3	-10000	-1	-10	11.5	82%	0.59	73.9	2.83%	0	0.5	49	0
17	May_5_2015	62.36	76.24	80.02	79.91			80.79(1.92%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	6	-10000	1	20	27.12	82%	0.56	70.5	2.83%	0	0.6	85	0
18	May_4_2015	62.01	75.28	79.93	79.84			79.27(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	-10000	-3	47	7.97	82%	0.54	66.3	2.82%	0	0.5	82	0
19	May_1_2015	61.68	74.39	80.11	80.16			79.58(0.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	22	-10000	-0	88	8.91	83%	0.54	68.3	2.82%	0	0.6	83	0
20	Apr_30_2015	61.35	73.41	80.31	80.2			79.5(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	33	-10000	-1	134	10.57	83%	0.54	64.9	2.84%	0	0.7	86	0

21	Apr_29_2015	61.02	72.42	80.4	80.27			80.41(-0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0	48	-10000	1	187	9.54	83%	0.54	62.5	2.84%	0	0.9	90	0
22	Apr_28_2015	60.69	71.39	79.27	80.12			80.44(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	52	-10000	1	206	8.83	83%	0.55	59.9	2.84%	0	1	89	0
23	Apr_27_2015	60.36	70.39	78.16	80.05			80.87(1.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	59	-10000	-0	235	15.25	83%	0.53	60.2	2.86%	0	1.2	91	0
24	Apr_24_2015	60.04	69.3	76.92	80.08			79.77(-0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0	65	-10000	-3	269	11.05	83%	0.52	60.6	2.85%	0	1.2	91	0
25	Apr_23_2015	59.73	68.28	75.51	80.46			79.87(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0.1	76	-10000	-1	306	12.69	83%		63.4	2.87%	0	1.3	92	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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