Trading Signals: NFLX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 4, 2015

Trading Signals: NFLX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Jan. 8, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Netflex stock)
NFLX latest price $64.1014 (-1.8%) ($63.8892 - $65.1742) on Wed. Feb. 4, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.02% (three month average)
RSI   90
Latest Price   $64.1014(-1.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NFLX advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NFLX advances 11.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NFLX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(57%)    XLK(47%)    XLY(47%)    SPY(46%)    VT(42%)
Factors Impacting NFLX price   NFLX will decline at least -1.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-20%)    UUP(-6%)    TLT(-5%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.51% (StdDev 3.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $63.78(0.5%)
10 Day Moving Average   $63.49(0.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $56.31(13.84%)
To recent high   -1.8%
To recent low   41.8%
Market Cap   $28.27b

Netflix, Inc. is an Internet subscription service company, which provides subscription service streaming movies and television episodes over the Internet and sending DVDs by mail. It operates through the following segments: Domestic Streaming, International Streaming and Domestic DVD. The Domestic Streaming segment derives revenues from monthly membership fees for services consisting solely of streaming content to its members in the United States. The International Streaming segment includes fees from members outside the United States. The Domestic DVD segment covers revenues from services consisting solely of DVD-by-mail. The company was founded by Marc Randolph and Wilmot Reed Hastings Jr., on August 29, 1997 and is headquartered in Los Gatos, CA.

$. NFLX price fluctuates within 14.31% (three month std-dev: 3.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_4_2015	55.05	56.31	63.49	63.78			64.1(-1.8%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0	59	-10000	2	231	12.45	68%	-0.02	53.3	3.02%	0	1	90	0
2	Feb_3_2015	55.06	55.43	62.97	63.6			65.27(3.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	71	-10000	1	279	16.44	68%	0	51.7	3.02%	0	1.2	93	0
3	Feb_2_2015	55.06	54.51	61.52	63.52			63.01(-0.17%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0.1	76	-10000	-2	310	12.99	66%	-0.09	52.6	2.99%	0	1.1	93	0
4	Jan_30_2015	55.11	53.83	60.15	63.68			63.11(-0.45%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	84	-10000	1	333	13.22	68%	-0.11	56.2	3.02%	0	1.2	85	0
5	Jan_29_2015	55.17	53.08	58.56	63.56			63.4(0.3%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	90	-10000	5	345	15.13	68%	-0.11	57.8	3.02%	0	1.4	83	0

6	Jan_28_2015	55.23	52.32	56.91	63.12			63.21(-2.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	96	-10000	10	352	24.53	68%	-0.11	60.3	3.04%	0	1.5	83	0
7	Jan_27_2015	55.29	51.55	55.23	62.17			64.88(1.7%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	115	-10000	34	358	24.61	68%	-0.05	60.9	3.02%	0	2	88	0
8	Jan_26_2015	55.32	50.67	53.26	59.16			63.79(2.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	100	-10000	37	290	21.27	68%	-0.09	54.4	3.02%	0	2.2	83	0
9	Jan_23_2015	55.37	49.86	51.51	56.04			62.49(2.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	84	-10000	41	211	26.78	68%	-0.09	46.6	3.02%	0	2.6	72	0
10	Jan_22_2015	55.42	49.07	49.94	52.79			61.21(4.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	63	-10000	40	133	33.32	68%	-0.13	36.8	3.02%	0	3	72	0

11	Jan_21_2015	55.49	48.35	48.38	49.81			58.47(17.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.1	40	-10000	35	55	66.9	66%	-0.18	25.5	2.98%	0	3.7	69	0
12	Jan_20_2015	55.59	47.79	47.08	47.37			49.83(3.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	6	-10000	18	-30	40.55	50%	-0.34	4.5	2.03%	0	1.6	52	0
13	Jan_16_2015	55.78	47.68	46.79	46.51			48.19(4.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.4	-15	-10000	5	-75	19.7	30%	-0.36	-15.5	1.97%	0	0.4	48	0
14	Jan_15_2015	55.98	47.65	46.91	46.28			46.25(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-17	-10000	-4	-54	11.68	24%	-0.41	-21.5	3.06%	0	-1.2	37	0
15	Jan_14_2015	56.21	47.62	47.16	46.59			46.32(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-12	-10000	-1	-44	19.88	27%	-0.39	-30.9	3.06%	0	-1.2	43	0

16	Jan_13_2015	56.43	47.65	47.42	46.67			46.26(1.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11	-10000	-1	-39	18.73	26%	-0.42	-33.1	3.08%	0	-1.1	43	0
17	Jan_12_2015	56.67	47.73	47.68	46.72			45.55(-3.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-14	-10000	-5	-39	12.94	26%	-0.4	-41.4	3.09%	0	-1.8	37	0
18	Jan_9_2015	56.9	47.86	48	47.08			47.04(-1.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-14	-10000	-8	-30	9.58	26%	-0.37	-46.9	3.07%	0	-0.8	48	0
19	Jan_8_2015	57.11	47.9	48.19	47.64			47.78(2.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-5	-10000	-3	-12	9.62	29%	-0.35	-46.1	3.07%	0	-0.1	52	0
20	Jan_7_2015	57.31	47.96	48.22	47.84			46.74(0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-4	-10000	-6	2	9.85	29%	-0.37	-46.6	3.07%	0	-1.2	62	0

21	Jan_6_2015	57.52	48.05	48.38	48.3			46.5(-1.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-0	-10000	-6	17	16.04	29%	-0.36	-36.5	3.07%	0	-1.5	52	0
22	Jan_5_2015	57.73	48.23	48.61	48.77			47.31(-5.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.5	6	-10000	-3	33	18.17	29%	-0.33	-23.4	3.07%	0	-0.9	50	0
23	Jan_2_2015	57.92	48.37	48.68	49.02			49.85(2.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	13	-10000	3	42	13.47	38%	-0.36	-15.8	3.03%	0	1.4	60	0
24	Dec_31_2014	58.13	48.39	48.46	48.83			48.8(-0.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	11	-10000	2	38	8.63	36%	-0.27	-15.4	3.04%	0	0.3	56	0
25	Dec_30_2014	58.29	48.45	48.12	48.68			49.03(0.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	8	-10000	3	21	7.01	36%		-20.4	3.05%	0	0.5	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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