Trading Signals: NFLX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 5, 2014

Trading Signals: NFLX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Jan. 8, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Netflex stock)
NFLX latest price $61.1928 (1.21%) ($59.7957 - $61.3428) on Thu. Jun. 5, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.8% (three month average)
RSI   93
Latest Price   $61.1928(1.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NFLX advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NFLX advances 7.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NFLX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(56%)    SPY(46%)    XLK(46%)    XLY(46%)    VT(42%)
Factors Impacting NFLX price   NFLX will decline at least -1.4% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-21%)    UUP(-6%)    TLT(-6%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.4% (StdDev 2.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $60.26(1.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $58.93(3.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $54.83(11.6%)
To recent high   -5.5%
To recent low   36.3%
Market Cap   $26.987b

Netflix, Inc. is an Internet subscription service company, which provides subscription service streaming movies and television episodes over the Internet and sending DVDs by mail. It operates through the following segments: Domestic Streaming, International Streaming and Domestic DVD. The Domestic Streaming segment derives revenues from monthly membership fees for services consisting solely of streaming content to its members in the United States. The International Streaming segment includes fees from members outside the United States. The Domestic DVD segment covers revenues from services consisting solely of DVD-by-mail. The company was founded by Marc Randolph and Wilmot Reed Hastings Jr., on August 29, 1997 and is headquartered in Los Gatos, CA.

$. NFLX price fluctuates within 8.86% (three month std-dev: 2.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140705

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_5_2014	55.18	54.83	58.93	60.26			61.19(1.21%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	44	-10000	5	159	18.95	50%	0.27	70.2	2.8%	0	1.3	93	0
2	Jun_4_2014	55.03	54.07	58.4	59.88			60.46(1.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	51	-10000	8	178	17.44	50%	0.22	67	2.8%	0	1.3	84	0
3	Jun_3_2014	54.91	53.37	57.69	59.25			59.65(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	50	-10000	6	181	17.14	50%	0.22	64.9	2.81%	0	1.3	85	0
4	Jun_2_2014	54.79	52.83	56.96	58.72			60.29(1.01%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	52	-10000	7	187	20.5	50%	0.24	69.1	2.8%	0	1.6	88	0
5	May_30_2014	54.66	52.23	55.95	58.16			59.69(0.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	55	-10000	9	193	29.25	50%	0.22	73.4	2.82%	0	1.7	90	0

6	May_29_2014	54.54	51.62	54.92	57.41			59.31(3.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	55	-10000	9	193	22.86	50%	0.2	72.5	2.85%	0	1.8	90	0
7	May_28_2014	54.43	50.94	54	56.71			57.32(0.61%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	59	-10000	11	204	19.88	48%	0.06	67.2	2.83%	0	1.6	90	0
8	May_27_2014	54.4	50.35	53.23	55.86			56.97(-0.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	61	-10000	13	203	26.75	48%	0.06	54.1	2.83%	0	1.8	83	0
9	May_23_2014	54.37	49.73	52.45	54.88			57.48(2.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	62	-10000	20	189	22.14	48%	0.06	42.8	2.81%	0	2.2	71	0
10	May_22_2014	54.34	49.13	51.39	53.38			55.97(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	52	-10000	19	149	33.23	48%	0.04	30.8	2.81%	0	2.2	70	0

11	May_21_2014	54.32	48.75	50.38	52.02			55.8(5.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	38	-10000	15	108	39.97	48%	0.04	24.3	2.83%	0	2.6	71	0
12	May_20_2014	54.3	48.43	49.36	50.92			53.1(1.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	28	-10000	10	83	28.84	44%	-0.04	21.4	2.75%	0	1.9	71	0
13	May_19_2014	54.32	48.38	48.69	50.22			52.07(4.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	24	-10000	8	70	25.42	44%	-0.04	26.8	2.75%	0	1.7	71	0
14	May_16_2014	54.34	48.24	48.35	49.67			49.98(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-10000	9	78	19.08	41%	-0.09	27.9	2.68%	0	0.8	69	0
15	May_15_2014	54.39	48.2	48.19	49.06			49.17(-2.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	-10000	10	75	23.37	41%	-0.11	23.5	2.69%	0	0.5	62	0

16	May_14_2014	54.45	48.1	48.07	48.42			50.27(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	25	-10000	14	56	19.91	41%	-0.09	8.3	2.7%	0	1	52	0
17	May_13_2014	54.5	47.92	47.64	47.52			49.59(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	10	-10000	9	12	20.83	41%	-0.11	-10.7	2.69%	0	0.8	46	0
18	May_12_2014	54.56	47.8	47.25	46.93			49.35(5.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-9	-10000	1	-38	21.4	41%	-0.11	-21	2.7%	0	0.8	39	0
19	May_9_2014	54.62	47.66	46.8	46.89			46.94(2.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-21	-10000	-6	-66	17.97	36%	-0.16	-25.2	2.58%	0	-0.4	44	0
20	May_8_2014	54.71	47.71	46.71	47.24			45.95(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-24	-10000	-7	-73	21.18	36%	-0.18	-27.1	2.58%	0	-0.9	43	0

21	May_7_2014	54.81	47.93	47.01	47.67			45.79(-1.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-14	-10000	-1	-53	25.68	41%	-0.2	-24.3	2.59%	0	-1.1	49	0
22	May_6_2014	54.92	48.13	47.47	47.71			46.6(-5.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-6	-10000	3	-33	22.72	41%	-0.2	-29.2	2.69%	0	-0.8	52	0
23	May_5_2014	55.03	48.23	48.09	47.53			49.2(1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	8	-10000	14	-10	20.34	44%	-0.13	-37	2.62%	0	0.5	55	0
24	May_2_2014	55.1	48.17	48.12	46.67			48.66(1.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	1	-10000	9	-22	26.23	44%	-0.14	-56.3	2.58%	0	0.2	56	0
25	May_1_2014	55.18	48.26	48.17	46.13			48.07(4.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1	-12	-10000	-4	-35	37.01	44%		-64.6	2.59%	0	-0.1	52	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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