Trading Signals: NFLX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 20, 2014

Trading Signals: NFLX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Wed. Jan. 8, 2014 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Netflex stock)
NFLX latest price $62.1357 (1.57%) ($61.3085 - $62.5385) on Thu. Feb. 20, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.51% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $62.1357(1.57%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NFLX advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NFLX advances 3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NFLX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
QQQ(57%)    XLY(47%)    SPY(46%)    XLK(46%)    EEM(39%)
Factors Impacting NFLX price   NFLX will decline at least -1.755% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-6%)    UUP(-5%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-1%)    UNG(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.755% (StdDev 3.51%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $62.06(0.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $61.52(1%)
20 Day Moving Average   $59.4(4.61%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   32.3%
Market Cap   $27.403b

Netflix, Inc. is an Internet subscription service company, which provides subscription service streaming movies and television episodes over the Internet and sending DVDs by mail. It operates through the following segments: Domestic Streaming, International Streaming and Domestic DVD. The Domestic Streaming segment derives revenues from monthly membership fees for services consisting solely of streaming content to its members in the United States. The International Streaming segment includes fees from members outside the United States. The Domestic DVD segment covers revenues from services consisting solely of DVD-by-mail. The company was founded by Marc Randolph and Wilmot Reed Hastings Jr., on August 29, 1997 and is headquartered in Los Gatos, CA.

$. NFLX price fluctuates within 4.29% (three month std-dev: 3.51%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_20_2014	55.4	59.4	61.52	62.06			62.14(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	16	-10000	2	58	12.01	87%	0.42	148	3.51%	0	1.1	72	0
2	Feb_19_2014	55.17	58.72	61.11	61.89			61.18(-1.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-10000	-1	56	16.05	87%	0.38	106.4	3.57%	0	0.7	72	0
3	Feb_18_2014	54.96	58.06	60.82	62.05			62.41(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	-10000	2	61	15.52	87%	0.51	88.6	3.59%	0	1	71	0
4	Feb_14_2014	54.68	57.32	60.37	61.87			62.22(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	-10000	1	67	12.09	87%	0.53	79.6	3.66%	0	1	80	0
5	Feb_13_2014	54.39	56.6	59.99	61.71			62.36(1.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	25	-10000	7	77	18.72	87%	0.59	74.2	3.72%	0	1.2	76	0

6	Feb_12_2014	54.07	55.86	59.52	60.89			61.28(-1.17%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	22	-10000	6	70	15.68	87%	0.56	66.1	3.79%	0	1	72	0
7	Feb_11_2014	53.77	55.21	59.11	60.19			62(0.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	27	-10000	7	85	13.68	87%	0.67	0	3.85%	0	1.3	87	0
8	Feb_10_2014	53.41	54.51	58.7	59.39			61.49(0.11%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	30	-10000	6	101	13.85	87%	0.68	0	3.93%	0	1.4	87	0
9	Feb_7_2014	53.05	53.8	58	58.65			61.43(5.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	31	-10000	5	109	33.05	87%	0.76	0	4.02%	0	1.5	86	0
10	Feb_6_2014	52.65	53.12	57.36	58.06			58.27(0.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0	32	-10000	1	124	12.91	84%	0.53	0	4%	0	1.1	83	0

11	Feb_5_2014	52.37	52.63	57.09	57.96			57.77(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	37	-10000	1	145	16.78	84%	0.56	0	4.11%	0	1.1	83	0
12	Feb_4_2014	52.08	52.63	56.17	57.85			57.99(0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	0	-10000	-0	0	18.1	84%	0.64	0	4.21%	0	12.3	78	0
13	Feb_3_2014	51.75	52.63	55.13	57.87			57.77(-1.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	4	-10000	5	2	20.15	84%	0.68	0	4.33%	0	12.5	78	0
14	Jan_31_2014	51.4	52.63	54.11	57.21			58.48(1.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	4	-10000	5	2	23.65	84%	0.86	0	4.42%	0	12.9	81	0
15	Jan_30_2014	50.96	52.63	53.01	56.55			57.81(1.06%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	4	-10000	4	2	18.41	84%	0.91	0	4.56%	0	13.4	77	0

16	Jan_29_2014	50.5	52.63	51.94	56.09			57.2(-1.56%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-10000	15	6	29.03	84%	0.96	0	4.72%	0	14.1	73	0
17	Jan_28_2014	50.02	52.63	51.01	54.19			58.11(6.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	15	-10000	18	7	43.75	84%	1.26	0	4.83%	0	15.5	50	0
18	Jan_27_2014	49.4	52.63	49.95	51.96			54.46(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	10	-10000	12	5	32.59	80%	0.86	0	4.78%	0	17.3	50	0
19	Jan_24_2014	48.98	52.63	49.22	50.49			55.15(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.6	11	-10000	13	5	35.71	80%	1.16	0	4.94%	0	19.1	50	0
20	Jan_23_2014	48.42	52.63	48.45	48.94			55.53(16.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.9	12	-10000	14	6	91.36	80%	1.49	0	5.14%	0	24	50	0

21	Jan_22_2014	47.71	52.63	47.68	47.27			47.68(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-4	-10000	-4	-2	49.33	38%	0	0	1.2%	0	86.7	50	0
22	Jan_21_2014	47.71	52.63	47.68	47.39			46.96(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-8	-10000	-9	-4	25.24	22%	-0.19	0	1.09%	0	81	50	0
23	Jan_17_2014	47.8	52.63	47.68	47.62			47.15(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-2	-10000	-2	-1	16.43	22%	-0.21	0	1.17%	0	87.3	50	0
24	Jan_16_2014	47.9	52.63	47.68	47.68			47.38(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-4	-10000	-5	-2	21.14	22%	-0.17	0	1.26%	0	91.1	50	0
25	Jan_15_2014	47.98	52.63	47.68	47.84			47.2(-2.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-8	-10000	-9	-4	40.48	22%		0	1.32%	0	92.5	50	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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