Trading Signals: NBIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 30, 2018

Trading Signals: NBIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Neurocrine Biosciences Inc)
NBIX latest price $95.6400 (1.55%) ($94.2500 - $96.8600) on Wed. May. 30, 2018.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.28% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $95.6400(1.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NBIX advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NBIX advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NBIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(55%)    XBI(50%)    IWO(45%)    ARKG(42%)    IWF(41%)
Factors Impacting NBIX price   NBIX will decline at least -1.14% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-11%)    UUP(-10%)    VXX(-8%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.14% (StdDev 2.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $94.55(1.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $93.79(1.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $90.11(6.14%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   27%
Market Cap   $8.914b

Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc. operates as a product based bio-pharmaceutical company. It discovers, develops and intends to commercialize drugs for the treatment of neurological and endocrine related diseases and disorders. The company product includes INGREZZA. Neurocrine Biosciences was founded by Kevin C. Gorman and Wylie W. Vale on January 1992 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

$. NBIX price fluctuates within 5.58% (three month std-dev: 2.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 31 Average positive next day return: 2.44%(65%) Average negative next day return: -2.09%(35%) Sample size 31 Average positive next three day return: 4.2%(45%) Average negative next three day return: -2.26%(55%) Sample size 31 Average positive next weekly return: 5.38%(52%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.77%(48%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20180630

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_30_2018	84.5	90.11	93.79	94.55	94.38	94.5	95.64(1.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	35	0	21	75	0.61	55%	0.19	69.7	2.28%	0	1.1	80	0.2
2	May_29_2018	84.34	89.54	93.5	94.1	93.97	93.96	94.18(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	23	-0	1	88	0.4	55%	0.24	74.3	2.29%	0	0.9	83	-0.7
3	May_25_2018	84.14	88.9	93.2	93.6	93.73	94.26	94.2(-0.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	40	13	109	0.35	55%	0.17	68.5	2.24%	0	1	80	1.2
4	May_24_2018	84	88.28	92.84	93.41	93.34	93.97	94.64(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	53	40	26	134	0.4	55%	0.14	68.3	2.26%	0	1.2	83	1.2
5	May_23_2018	83.88	87.53	92.18	92.98	92.96	93.2	94.08(0.71%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	46	20	13	145	0.48	55%	0.18	66.5	2.28%	0	1.2	85	1.4

6	May_22_2018	83.73	86.74	91.47	92.94	92.83	92.72	93.42(1.91%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	40	-10	-1	161	0.51	55%	0.12	65.4	2.29%	0	1.2	85	1.5
7	May_21_2018	83.63	85.99	90.49	92.84	92.97	92.71	91.67(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	40	-20	-1	162	0.69	55%	0.18	68.9	2.28%	0	1.1	66	1.6
8	May_18_2018	83.48	85.46	89.73	92.71	92.73	92.95	93.25(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	48	20	5	177	0.63	55%	0.22	75.2	2.25%	0	1.5	74	1.5
9	May_17_2018	83.3	84.75	88.72	92.14	92.31	93.23	92.49(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	76	80	38	188	0.76	55%	0.23	79	2.27%	0	1.5	71	1.6
10	May_16_2018	83.11	84.02	87.54	91.21	91.35	92.51	93.87(1.02%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	90	90	58	187	0.77	55%	0.28	80.9	2.27%	0	2	77	1.5

11	May_15_2018	82.88	83.28	86.15	89.77	89.92	91.38	92.92(2.1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	95	120	68	176	0.77	55%	0.13	82.7	2.27%	0	2.2	78	1
12	May_14_2018	82.77	82.46	85.23	87.79	88.24	90.19	91.01(0.67%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	101	170	79	166	0.74	55%	0.24	75.6	2.26%	0	2.1	76	2.2
13	May_11_2018	82.57	81.66	84.2	86.31	86.31	88.45	90.4(2.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	98	170	83	142	0.8	58%	0.23	66.2	2.29%	0	2.3	65	1.8
14	May_10_2018	82.38	80.88	83.28	84.81	84.79	86.29	87.83(1.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	92	120	81	124	0.67	56%	0.21	60.7	2.28%	0	2.1	66	1.6
15	May_9_2018	82.21	80.27	82.42	83.32	83.31	84.18	86.69(4.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	59	70	49	89	0.61	56%	0.23	47.5	2.29%	0	2.1	66	1.1

16	May_8_2018	82.02	79.74	81.56	82	82.13	83.29	83.03(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	100	21	51	0.52	49%	0.16	34	2.23%	0	1.2	57	17.5
17	May_7_2018	81.89	79.46	81.11	82.27	81.81	82.43	83.59(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	48	40	41	69	0.66	49%	0.16	39.6	2.32%	0	1.6	64	1
18	May_4_2018	81.76	79.21	80.85	81.77	81.46	80.97	82.93(3.17%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	14	-50	-2	62	0.51	49%	0.16	38.2	2.3%	0	1.5	66	1
19	May_3_2018	81.63	78.9	80.48	81.52	81.44	81.18	80.38(0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	4	-30	-17	66	0.84	46%	0.12	25.9	2.29%	0	0.7	63	0.2
20	May_2_2018	81.53	78.86	80.29	81.33	81.6	81.96	80.08(-5.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	36	40	20	85	1.26	44%	0.14	18	2.31%	0	0.5	60	1.3

21	May_1_2018	81.42	78.84	80.27	80.95	80.81	81.69	84.39(4.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	51	70	35	99	2.32	47%	0.17	10.5	2.25%	0	2.5	68	0.5
22	Apr_30_2018	81.28	78.46	79.5	79.76	79.92	81.23	81.08(-0.73%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	45	120	34	77	0.92	41%	0.1	-19	2.18%	0	1.4	59	1.1
23	Apr_27_2018	81.2	78.3	78.94	79.81	79.56	79.93	81.68(2.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	44	20	36	67	0.61	41%	0.11	-27	2.23%	0	1.9	55	1.1
24	Apr_26_2018	81.11	78.32	78.31	79.36	79.49	78.6	79.44(1.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	2	-70	-10	37	0.54	38%	0.12	-34.1	2.22%	0	0.6	57	0.9
25	Apr_25_2018	81.01	78.46	77.96	79.11	79.43	79.19	78.16(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-21	-10	-32	11	0.54	38%		-38.2	2.23%	0	-0.1	46	0.4
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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