Trading Signals: NBIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jul. 27, 2017

Trading Signals: NBIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Neurocrine Biosciences Inc)
NBIX latest price $48.8300 (-0.35%) ($48.6700 - $50.7500) on Thu. Jul. 27, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.4% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $48.8300(-0.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NBIX advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NBIX advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from growth to value for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NBIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(54%)    XBI(50%)    IWO(43%)    ARKG(42%)    IWF(40%)
Factors Impacting NBIX price   NBIX will decline at least -1.2% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-9%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.2% (StdDev 2.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.45(0.78%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.05(1.62%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.3(3.23%)
To recent high   -10.6%
To recent low   14.9%
Market Cap   $4.551b

Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc. operates as a product based bio-pharmaceutical company. It discovers, develops and intends to commercialize drugs for the treatment of neurological and endocrine related diseases and disorders. The company product includes INGREZZA. Neurocrine Biosciences was founded by Kevin C. Gorman and Wylie W. Vale on January 1992 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

$. NBIX price fluctuates within 2.26% (three month std-dev: 2.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 25 Average positive next day return: 0.69%(60%) Average negative next day return: -0.38%(40%) Sample size 25 Average positive next three day return: 1.37%(52%) Average negative next three day return: -2.16%(48%) Sample size 25 Average positive next weekly return: 2.32%(36%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.92%(64%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170827

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_27_2017	47.47	47.3	48.05	48.45	48.77	49.16	48.83(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	80	14	65	1.87	13%	0.08	42	2.4%	0	1.4	60	0
2	Jul_26_2017	47.43	47.19	47.89	48.24	48.28	48.95	49(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	31	100	20	64	0.52	13%	0.13	35.5	2.4%	0	1.8	60	0
3	Jul_25_2017	47.37	47.02	47.62	47.99	48	48.39	48.66(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	60	24	51	0.83	13%	0.11	29.6	2.4%	0	1.7	52	0
4	Jul_24_2017	47.32	46.94	47.29	47.73	47.74	47.62	48.69(3.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	15	-20	10	31	0.61	13%	0.08	33.9	2.44%	0	1.9	58	0
5	Jul_21_2017	47.28	46.94	46.97	47.36	47.5	47.61	47.07(-1.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-4	30	-9	11	1.02	0%	0.06	43.9	2.41%	0	0.3	56	0

6	Jul_20_2017	47.25	46.86	46.94	47.58	47.54	47.85	47.79(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	40	12	29	0.52	0%	0.08	78.6	2.4%	0	1.1	58	0
7	Jul_19_2017	47.21	46.83	46.83	47.47	47.53	47.39	47.73(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	-20	12	27	0.87	0%	0.06	98.2	2.4%	0	1.1	54	0
8	Jul_18_2017	47.18	46.73	46.84	47.18	47.25	47.24	47.37(1.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	8	0	2	26	0.77	0%	0.04	95.9	2.4%	0	0.8	59	0
9	Jul_17_2017	47.16	46.63	46.77	46.76	46.98	47.66	46.83(-2.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	120	20	19	0.78	0%	0.11	87.2	2.45%	0	0.2	48	0
10	Jul_14_2017	47.11	46.5	46.69	46.5	46.4	47.27	48.19(1.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	25	120	30	9	0.87	0%	0.11	66.7	2.44%	0	1.7	52	0

11	Jul_13_2017	47.06	46.23	46.48	46.21	45.98	46.3	47.25(2.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	11	30	17	-9	0.85	0%	0.11	42.9	2.44%	0	0.8	50	0
12	Jul_12_2017	47.01	46.07	46.42	46.13	46	45.54	46.26(2.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-16	-80	-12	-27	0.84	51%	0.04	37.4	2.46%	0	0.1	44	0
13	Jul_11_2017	46.99	45.98	46.37	46.47	46.32	45.65	45.29(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-17	-110	-17	-15	0.74	54%	-0.04	39.4	3.99%	0	-0.5	51	0
14	Jul_10_2017	47.01	45.91	46.57	46.77	46.83	46.46	45.52(-2.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-7	-50	-9	-1	0.73	54%	0.04	39.1	4%	0	-0.3	53	0
15	Jul_7_2017	46.99	45.83	46.76	46.87	46.94	46.99	46.73(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	4	10	-0	14	0.78	54%	0.06	31.5	3.99%	0	0.6	65	0

16	Jul_6_2017	46.96	45.69	46.8	46.77	46.76	47.21	46.84(-2.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	12	70	6	29	0.78	54%	0.11	25.7	4%	0	0.7	71	0
17	Jul_5_2017	46.91	45.58	46.85	46.75	46.57	46.89	47.99(2.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	40	14	43	0.96	48%	0.24	29.1	3.98%	0	1.5	66	0
18	Jul_3_2017	46.8	45.44	46.62	46.27	46.31	46.32	46.77(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	0	0	34	0.36	48%	0.06	28.9	4.02%	0	0.9	62	0
19	Jun_30_2017	46.77	45.44	46.49	46.38	46.27	46.24	46(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-10	-6	40	0.67	52%	0	28.3	4%	0	0.5	62	0
20	Jun_29_2017	46.77	45.35	46.31	46.65	46.58	46.31	46.24(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-50	-3	48	0.67	54%	0.06	26.2	4.02%	0	0.6	63	0

21	Jun_28_2017	46.74	45.29	45.98	46.82	46.75	46.29	46.77(2.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	3	-70	-11	45	1.21	54%	0.06	17.3	4.03%	0	1	64	0
22	Jun_27_2017	46.71	45.13	45.7	46.96	47.07	46.86	45.56(-3.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	9	-20	-5	50	1.32	54%	0.06	-11	4.03%	0	0.3	55	0
23	Jun_26_2017	46.68	45.03	45.59	46.98	47.14	47.21	47.31(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	20	7	53	0.66	54%	0.09	-41.4	4%	0	1.6	57	0
24	Jun_23_2017	46.64	44.95	45.22	46.59	46.71	47.28	47.35(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	90	14	45	1.05	54%	0.11	-71.8	4%	0	1.7	59	0
25	Jun_22_2017	46.59	44.99	44.84	45.92	46.15	47.06	47.12(-0.74%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	150	30	31	0.88	54%		-92	4%	0	1.4	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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