Trading Signals: NBIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 7, 2017

Trading Signals: NBIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Neurocrine Biosciences Inc)
NBIX latest price $44.6400 (-1.85%) ($44.5000 - $46.4700) on Wed. Jun. 7, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.08% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $44.6400(-1.85%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NBIX advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NBIX declines -7.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NBIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(54%)    XBI(51%)    IWO(43%)    ARKG(42%)    IWF(40%)
Factors Impacting NBIX price   NBIX will decline at least -2.04% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-9%)    TLT(-6%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.04% (StdDev 4.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $30.76(-31.09%)
Resistance Level   $49.27
5 Day Moving Average   $45.31(-1.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.67(-2.26%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.27(-9.4%)
To recent high   -18.3%
To recent low   10.9%
Market Cap   $4.16b

Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc. operates as a product based bio-pharmaceutical company. It discovers, develops and intends to commercialize drugs for the treatment of neurological and endocrine related diseases and disorders. The company product includes INGREZZA. Neurocrine Biosciences was founded by Kevin C. Gorman and Wylie W. Vale on January 1992 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

$. NBIX price fluctuates within 8.06% (three month std-dev: 4.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 4.24%(17%) Average negative next day return: -1.55%(83%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 2.56%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -1.48%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 5.1%(17%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.26%(83%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170707

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_7_2017	46.17	49.27	45.67	45.31	45.48	45.36	44.64(-1.85%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-27	-10	2	-113	1.06	51%	0.11	-48.4	4.08%	0	-1.2	28	INF
2	Jun_6_2017	46.12	49.68	46.49	45.08	45.22	45.53	45.48(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-24	60	7	-116	1.31	51%	-0.02	-53.1	4.08%	0	-1.1	27	INF
3	Jun_5_2017	46.13	50	47.25	44.68	44.72	45.61	45.09(-2.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-24	140	8	-120	1.09	51%	0.07	-61.3	4.08%	0	-1.3	30	INF
4	Jun_2_2017	46.1	50.44	48	44.91	44.51	44.91	46.25(2.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-27	40	5	-121	1.4	51%	0.11	-61.9	4.06%	0	-1.2	30	INF
5	Jun_1_2017	46.05	50.82	48.7	45.39	44.94	43.84	45.09(3.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-46	-200	-20	-122	1.79	51%	0.11	-60.7	4.06%	0	-1.6	33	INF

6	May_31_2017	46	51.27	49.48	46.15	46.06	44.11	43.47(-0.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-73	-300	-55	-125	2.05	51%	0.02	-59.3	4.12%	0	-2.4	24	INF
7	May_30_2017	45.99	51.82	50.56	48.16	47.6	46.04	43.52(-5.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-68	-260	-59	-95	2.65	51%	0	-51.9	4.12%	0	-3	28	INF
8	May_26_2017	45.99	52.41	51.57	50.19	49.77	48.02	46.22(-4.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-42	-270	-38	-55	1.63	58%	0.11	-39.3	4.03%	0	-3	37	INF
9	May_25_2017	45.94	52.8	52.36	51.5	51.24	49.15	48.65(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-45	-300	-47	-39	2.24	62%	0.17	-23.9	4.01%	0	-2.8	37	INF
10	May_24_2017	45.86	53.07	52.76	52.49	52.37	51.51	48.89(-8.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3.2	-33	-120	-36	-23	6.01	62%	0.22	0.9	4.04%	0	-3.7	38	INF

11	May_23_2017	45.76	53.07	53.25	53.27	53.26	53.33	53.53(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	3	10	2	4	0.76	69%	0.18	45.8	3.88%	0	0.3	50	INF
12	May_22_2017	45.68	53.31	53.16	53.35	53.13	53.23	53.64(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	1	0	1	2	0.58	69%	0.35	54.1	3.88%	0	0.5	49	INF
13	May_19_2017	45.52	53.23	52.97	53.22	53.21	53.2	52.79(-1.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-2	-0	0	-8	0.58	69%	0.33	28.5	3.87%	0	-0.5	42	INF
14	May_18_2017	45.37	53.15	53.06	53.38	53.3	53.02	53.58(1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-0	-40	1	-4	0.69	69%	0.35	20.5	3.89%	0	0.5	51	INF
15	May_17_2017	45.21	53.06	53.05	53.09	53.24	53.23	52.82(-2.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-7	10	-5	-11	0.84	69%	0.33	10.3	3.92%	0	-0.3	47	INF

16	May_16_2017	45.06	53.02	53.13	53.21	53.18	53.58	53.93(1.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	5	50	8	-4	0.57	69%	0.2	63	3.92%	0	0.9	53	INF
17	May_15_2017	44.97	52.93	53.1	52.95	52.99	53.24	52.96(-1.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	7	40	11	-6	0.88	69%	0.31	109.7	3.92%	0	0	47	INF
18	May_12_2017	44.83	52.99	53.26	52.69	52.61	52.78	53.63(2.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-1	20	1	-8	0.82	64%	0.34	164.6	3.92%	0	0.6	60	INF
19	May_11_2017	44.68	52.97	53.23	52.71	52.54	52.74	52.12(-2.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-1	20	-1	-2	1.02	64%	0.29	230.7	3.94%	0	-0.9	58	INF
20	May_10_2017	44.55	52.96	53.38	53.01	52.84	52.43	53.42(1.56%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	1	-60	-1	8	1.16	64%	0.27	294.8	3.96%	0	0.5	61	INF

21	May_9_2017	44.43	52.42	53.37	53.04	53.08	52.34	52.6(1.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-11	-100	-16	6	1.07	66%	0.29	109.4	3.97%	0	0.1	55	INF
22	May_8_2017	44.3	51.87	53.48	53.29	53.44	53.24	51.66(-3.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-8	-20	-16	15	0.9	66%	0.23	77.6	3.98%	0	-0.1	50	INF
23	May_5_2017	44.2	51.39	53.53	53.88	53.85	53.81	53.74(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	8	-10	2	26	0.9	66%	0.23	67.8	3.88%	0	0.5	46	INF
24	May_4_2017	44.1	50.76	53.29	53.82	53.93	53.64	53.63(0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	3	-30	-2	18	1.03	66%	0.25	59.2	3.91%	0	0.6	51	INF
25	May_3_2017	43.99	50.14	53.09	53.81	53.83	53.9	53.57(-0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	1	10	-4	16	0.83	66%		53.5	3.95%	0	0.6	59	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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