Trading Signals: NBIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 14, 2017

Trading Signals: NBIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Neurocrine Biosciences Inc)
NBIX latest price $45.5800 (-3.29%) ($45.3500 - $46.8000) on Tue. Mar. 14, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.93% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $45.5800(-3.29%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NBIX advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NBIX advances 2.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NBIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(52%)    XBI(50%)    ARKG(41%)    IWO(41%)    IWF(38%)
Factors Impacting NBIX price   NBIX will decline at least -1.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-9%)    TLT(-6%)    SHY(-4%)    IPO(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.465% (StdDev 2.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $45.73(-0.33%)
10 Day Moving Average   $44.92(1.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.14(3.26%)
To recent high   -3.3%
To recent low   20.3%
Market Cap   $4.248b

Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc. operates as a product based bio-pharmaceutical company. It discovers, develops and intends to commercialize drugs for the treatment of neurological and endocrine related diseases and disorders. The company product includes INGREZZA. Neurocrine Biosciences was founded by Kevin C. Gorman and Wylie W. Vale on January 1992 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

$. NBIX price fluctuates within 2.99% (three month std-dev: 2.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 12 Average positive next day return: 0.31%(42%) Average negative next day return: -0.87%(58%) Sample size 12 Average positive next three day return: 0.77%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.04%(50%) Sample size 12 Average positive next weekly return: 2.1%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.75%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170414

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_14_2017	43.89	44.14	44.92	45.73	45.85	46.42	45.58(-3.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	27	90	16	59	0.68	54%	0.02	39.8	2.93%	0	1.1	65	INF
2	Mar_13_2017	43.88	43.97	44.77	45.31	45.38	46.15	47.13(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	40	120	34	58	0.91	59%	0.02	26.9	2.9%	0	2.4	63	INF
3	Mar_10_2017	43.87	43.81	44.54	44.62	44.53	45.28	46.31(3.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	28	110	24	41	0.83	59%	0.02	19.5	2.9%	0	2.2	59	INF
4	Mar_9_2017	43.86	43.74	44.18	44.14	44.06	44.62	44.86(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	21	80	19	25	0.46	57%	0	22.6	2.89%	0	1.1	59	INF
5	Mar_8_2017	43.86	43.68	44	44.14	43.86	43.79	44.78(2.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	8	-20	4	19	0.85	57%	0.02	25.3	2.89%	0	1.1	62	INF

6	Mar_7_2017	43.85	43.62	43.79	44	43.95	43.5	43.49(-0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-6	-80	-13	17	0.5	52%	0.02	30	2.9%	0	-0.1	62	INF
7	Mar_6_2017	43.84	43.61	43.83	44.13	44.33	43.93	43.64(-0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	-50	-15	28	0.88	52%	0.02	48.6	2.96%	0	0	59	INF
8	Mar_3_2017	43.83	43.59	43.87	44.43	44.55	44.39	43.92(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	9	-20	-1	40	0.79	52%	0	71.7	2.96%	0	0.3	48	INF
9	Mar_2_2017	43.83	43.51	43.8	44.19	44.47	44.73	44.18(-1.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	14	60	9	29	0.97	52%	0.02	73.7	2.99%	0	0.7	45	INF
10	Mar_1_2017	43.82	43.43	43.63	43.97	43.97	44.72	44.77(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	120	20	22	1.12	47%	0	78.3	2.98%	0	1.3	53	INF

11	Feb_28_2017	43.82	43.33	43.32	43.54	43.49	44.21	44.16(-2.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	110	20	3	1.02	43%	-0.07	83.2	3.11%	0	0.8	52	INF
12	Feb_27_2017	43.85	43.14	43.12	43.49	43.18	43.22	45.13(5.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	6	-10	10	-7	1.06	43%	-0.05	73.4	3.13%	0	1.7	57	INF
13	Feb_24_2017	43.87	42.91	43.01	43.27	43.24	42.78	42.72(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-11	-80	-9	-16	0.65	39%	-0.11	63.1	3.05%	0	-0.2	48	INF
14	Feb_23_2017	43.92	42.78	43.25	43.36	43.24	43.13	43.08(1.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-5	-40	-7	-0	0.86	39%	-0.18	52.3	3.07%	0	0.2	56	INF
15	Feb_22_2017	44	42.64	43.33	43.23	43.43	43.7	42.6(-2.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	6	60	5	7	0.81	37%	-0.18	40.6	3.09%	0	-0	52	INF

16	Feb_21_2017	44.08	42.53	43.43	43.02	43.25	43.72	43.9(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	18	90	20	10	0.77	37%	-0.29	34.8	3.1%	0	0.9	55	INF
17	Feb_17_2017	44.21	42.29	43.36	42.66	42.66	43.17	44.05(2.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	6	80	5	8	0.62	37%	-0.16	17.8	3.09%	0	1	67	INF
18	Feb_16_2017	44.28	42.14	43.28	42.74	42.65	42.79	43.15(1.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	5	20	-0	20	0.93	37%	-0.18	20.3	3.08%	0	0.6	64	INF
19	Feb_15_2017	44.36	42.06	43.19	43.18	43.04	42.16	42.45(2.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-150	-14	37	1.03	36%	-0.27	31.3	3.09%	0	0.2	64	INF
20	Feb_14_2017	44.48	42.04	43.22	43.46	43.51	42.51	41.53(-1.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-13	-160	-33	48	1.28	39%	-0.27	34	3.1%	0	-0.3	60	INF

21	Feb_13_2017	44.6	41.98	43.38	43.88	43.98	43.91	42.14(-5.18%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	9	-0	-14	78	1.15	39%	-0.27	27.6	3.15%	0	0.1	63	INF
22	Feb_10_2017	44.72	41.99	43.23	44.1	44.07	44.52	44.44(-2.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	37	70	14	105	1.24	41%	-0.22	26.6	3.09%	0	1.4	79	INF
23	Feb_9_2017	44.82	41.81	42.83	43.87	43.73	44.05	45.36(3.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	41	40	21	101	0.94	48%	-0.2	23.6	3.1%	0	2.2	65	INF
24	Feb_8_2017	44.91	41.56	42.28	43.23	43.28	43.61	43.85(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	60	10	66	0.75	48%	-0.24	12.6	3.47%	0	1.6	59	INF
25	Feb_7_2017	45.02	41.48	41.91	42.97	42.9	43.41	43.6(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	80	11	54	0.86	52%		21.4	3.5%	0	1.6	56	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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