Trading Signals: NBIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 22, 2016

Trading Signals: NBIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Neurocrine Biosciences Inc)
NBIX latest price $54.1600 (-0.11%) ($53.3800 - $54.9800) on Thu. Sep. 22, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.13% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $54.1600(-0.11%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NBIX advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NBIX advances 3.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NBIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(54%)    XBI(52%)    ARKG(42%)    IWO(41%)    XLV(38%)
Factors Impacting NBIX price   NBIX will decline at least -1.065% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-13%)    UUP(-7%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.065% (StdDev 2.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $54.21(-0.09%)
10 Day Moving Average   $52.7(2.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $51.27(5.64%)
To recent high   -0.9%
To recent low   29.6%
Market Cap   $5.048b

Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc. operates as a product based bio-pharmaceutical company. It discovers, develops and intends to commercialize drugs for the treatment of neurological and endocrine related diseases and disorders. The company product includes INGREZZA. Neurocrine Biosciences was founded by Kevin C. Gorman and Wylie W. Vale on January 1992 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

$. NBIX price fluctuates within 3.92% (three month std-dev: 2.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 1.37%(45%) Average negative next day return: -0.62%(55%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 1.15%(64%) Average negative next three day return: -0.97%(36%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 1.86%(45%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.34%(55%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161022

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_22_2016	48.17	51.27	52.7	54.21	54.34	54.29	54.16(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	31	0	4	112	0.58	69%	0.23	59.9	2.13%	0	1.4	67	INF
2	Sep_21_2016	48.06	51.03	52.34	53.92	54.1	54.47	54.22(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	45	60	19	123	0.66	65%	0.21	63	2.13%	0	1.7	72	INF
3	Sep_20_2016	47.96	50.87	52	53.38	53.55	54.4	54.63(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	64	120	43	125	0.98	65%	0.17	69	2.18%	0	2.1	69	INF
4	Sep_19_2016	47.88	50.69	51.59	52.51	52.65	53.73	54.06(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	63	150	47	110	1.31	65%	0.17	71.6	2.18%	0	2.2	67	INF
5	Sep_16_2016	47.8	50.41	51.12	51.94	51.68	52.7	54(2.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	63	120	53	93	1.15	61%	0.17	69.1	2.26%	0	2.6	66	INF

6	Sep_15_2016	47.72	50.1	50.71	50.98	50.83	51.57	52.7(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	44	90	36	66	0.66	60%	0.13	56.6	2.24%	0	2.1	65	INF
7	Sep_14_2016	47.66	49.85	50.28	50.54	50.24	50.65	51.53(2.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	23	40	17	41	0.68	59%	0.08	50.6	2.23%	0	1.4	59	INF
8	Sep_13_2016	47.62	49.68	50.04	50.41	50.07	50.09	50.27(-1.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	7	-20	2	21	0.59	54%	0.04	46.3	2.21%	0	0.5	45	INF
9	Sep_12_2016	47.6	49.6	49.95	50.53	50.19	49.82	51.2(4.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	3	-70	-0	13	0.82	54%	0.06	50	2.24%	0	1.4	47	INF
10	Sep_9_2016	47.57	49.46	49.77	50.17	50.28	50.06	49.19(-2.59%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-11	-20	-15	1	0.93	48%	0	36.6	2.22%	0	-0.2	55	INF

11	Sep_8_2016	47.57	49.42	49.76	50.36	50.29	50.56	50.5(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	30	12	22	0.85	50%	0.06	32.9	2.25%	0	0.9	62	INF
12	Sep_7_2016	47.54	49.27	49.65	49.95	50.02	50.51	50.9(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	70	23	23	0.84	50%	0.11	11.2	2.26%	0	1.4	65	INF
13	Sep_6_2016	47.49	49.16	49.67	49.61	49.56	50.03	50.84(2.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	22	60	20	27	0.79	53%	0.11	-3.1	2.27%	0	1.5	61	INF
14	Sep_2_2016	47.44	49.04	49.71	49.3	49.31	49.53	49.44(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	30	10	28	0.41	51%	0.06	-23.4	2.32%	0	0.4	54	INF
15	Sep_1_2016	47.41	49.06	49.64	49.32	49.24	49.53	50.12(3.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	10	-30	4	27	0.57	51%	0.08	-23.9	2.33%	0	1	59	INF

16	Aug_31_2016	47.37	49.05	49.44	49.08	49.26	49.09	48.46(-1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-5	-10	-11	14	0.57	54%	0.06	-30.5	2.29%	0	-0.5	54	INF
17	Aug_30_2016	47.34	49.14	49.39	49.28	49.34	49.39	49.17(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-5	10	-13	20	0.52	54%	0.13	-27	2.47%	0	0	61	INF
18	Aug_29_2016	47.28	49.19	49.31	49.75	49.73	49.44	49.31(-0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-40	-11	31	0.44	54%	0.08	-11.4	2.48%	0	0.1	52	INF
19	Aug_26_2016	47.24	49.29	49.26	50.19	50.25	49.3	49.54(1.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	0	-130	-14	44	0.56	54%	0.08	4.8	2.49%	0	0.2	55	INF
20	Aug_25_2016	47.2	49.32	49.15	50	50.43	50.02	48.94(-1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-5	-30	-17	31	1.07	51%	0.04	3.2	2.49%	0	-0.3	46	INF

21	Aug_24_2016	47.18	49.38	49.08	49.81	50.16	51.2	49.44(-4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	24	170	21	33	1.12	51%	0.15	2.7	2.55%	0	0	47	INF
22	Aug_23_2016	47.11	49.44	48.89	49.47	49.38	50.85	51.5(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.6	48	200	56	25	0.77	54%	0.19	2.3	2.51%	0	1.6	53	INF
23	Aug_22_2016	47.02	49.33	48.6	48.81	48.47	49.12	51.53(6.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.3	27	70	38	-7	1.15	54%	0.21	-3.7	2.51%	0	1.8	53	INF
24	Aug_19_2016	46.92	49.23	48.27	48.25	48.06	47.92	48.57(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	-30	1	-52	0.55	50%	0.19	-7.2	2.41%	0	-0.6	30	INF
25	Aug_18_2016	46.83	49.28	48.39	48.21	48.2	47.82	48.01(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	-60	-9	-59	0.33	53%		5	2.43%	0	-1.2	38	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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