Trading Signals: NBIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 14, 2016

Trading Signals: NBIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Neurocrine Biosciences Inc)
NBIX latest price $51.5300 (2.51%) ($50.5700 - $51.6600) on Wed. Sep. 14, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.23% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $51.5300(2.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NBIX advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NBIX advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from value to growth for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NBIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(55%)    XBI(52%)    ARKG(42%)    IWO(41%)    XLV(39%)
Factors Impacting NBIX price   NBIX will decline at least -1.115% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-7%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.115% (StdDev 2.23%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $50.54(1.96%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.28(2.49%)
20 Day Moving Average   $49.85(3.37%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   23.3%
Market Cap   $4.803b

Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc. operates as a product based bio-pharmaceutical company. It discovers, develops and intends to commercialize drugs for the treatment of neurological and endocrine related diseases and disorders. The company product includes INGREZZA. Neurocrine Biosciences was founded by Kevin C. Gorman and Wylie W. Vale on January 1992 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

$. NBIX price fluctuates within 2.33% (three month std-dev: 2.23%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 29 Average positive next day return: 1.13%(38%) Average negative next day return: -1.55%(62%) Sample size 29 Average positive next three day return: 1.45%(31%) Average negative next three day return: -1.49%(69%) Sample size 29 Average positive next weekly return: 2.18%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.85%(62%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161014

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_14_2016	47.66	49.85	50.28	50.54	50.24	50.65	51.53(2.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	23	40	17	41	0.68	59%	0.08	50.6	2.23%	0	1.4	59	0
2	Sep_13_2016	47.62	49.68	50.04	50.41	50.07	50.09	50.27(-1.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	7	-20	2	21	0.59	54%	0.04	46.3	2.21%	0	0.5	45	0
3	Sep_12_2016	47.6	49.6	49.95	50.53	50.19	49.82	51.2(4.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	3	-70	-0	13	0.82	54%	0.06	50	2.24%	0	1.4	47	0
4	Sep_9_2016	47.57	49.46	49.77	50.17	50.28	50.06	49.19(-2.59%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-11	-20	-15	1	0.93	48%	0	36.6	2.22%	0	-0.2	55	0
5	Sep_8_2016	47.57	49.42	49.76	50.36	50.29	50.56	50.5(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	30	12	22	0.85	50%	0.06	32.9	2.25%	0	0.9	62	0

6	Sep_7_2016	47.54	49.27	49.65	49.95	50.02	50.51	50.9(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	23	70	23	23	0.84	50%	0.11	11.2	2.26%	0	1.4	65	0
7	Sep_6_2016	47.49	49.16	49.67	49.61	49.56	50.03	50.84(2.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	22	60	20	27	0.79	53%	0.11	-3.1	2.27%	0	1.5	61	0
8	Sep_2_2016	47.44	49.04	49.71	49.3	49.31	49.53	49.44(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	30	10	28	0.41	51%	0.06	-23.4	2.32%	0	0.4	54	0
9	Sep_1_2016	47.41	49.06	49.64	49.32	49.24	49.53	50.12(3.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	10	-30	4	27	0.57	51%	0.08	-23.9	2.33%	0	1	59	0
10	Aug_31_2016	47.37	49.05	49.44	49.08	49.26	49.09	48.46(-1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-5	-10	-11	14	0.57	54%	0.06	-30.5	2.29%	0	-0.5	54	0

11	Aug_30_2016	47.34	49.14	49.39	49.28	49.34	49.39	49.17(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-5	10	-13	20	0.52	54%	0.13	-27	2.47%	0	0	61	0
12	Aug_29_2016	47.28	49.19	49.31	49.75	49.73	49.44	49.31(-0.46%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-40	-11	31	0.44	54%	0.08	-11.4	2.48%	0	0.1	52	0
13	Aug_26_2016	47.24	49.29	49.26	50.19	50.25	49.3	49.54(1.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	0	-130	-14	44	0.56	54%	0.08	4.8	2.49%	0	0.2	55	0
14	Aug_25_2016	47.2	49.32	49.15	50	50.43	50.02	48.94(-1.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-5	-30	-17	31	1.07	51%	0.04	3.2	2.49%	0	-0.3	46	0
15	Aug_24_2016	47.18	49.38	49.08	49.81	50.16	51.2	49.44(-4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	24	170	21	33	1.12	51%	0.15	2.7	2.55%	0	0	47	0

16	Aug_23_2016	47.11	49.44	48.89	49.47	49.38	50.85	51.5(-0.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.6	48	200	56	25	0.77	54%	0.19	2.3	2.51%	0	1.6	53	0
17	Aug_22_2016	47.02	49.33	48.6	48.81	48.47	49.12	51.53(6.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.3	27	70	38	-7	1.15	54%	0.21	-3.7	2.51%	0	1.8	53	0
18	Aug_19_2016	46.92	49.23	48.27	48.25	48.06	47.92	48.57(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	-30	1	-52	0.55	50%	0.19	-7.2	2.41%	0	-0.6	30	0
19	Aug_18_2016	46.83	49.28	48.39	48.21	48.2	47.82	48.01(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	-60	-9	-59	0.33	53%	0.24	5	2.43%	0	-1.2	38	0
20	Aug_17_2016	46.72	49.34	48.58	48.25	48.28	48.2	47.72(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-10	-6	-56	0.54	50%	0.21	18.8	2.51%	0	-1.5	37	0

21	Aug_16_2016	46.62	49.41	48.84	48.18	48.25	48.57	48.22(-1.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-12	50	3	-56	0.51	53%	0.28	26.2	2.58%	0	-1.1	35	0
22	Aug_15_2016	46.49	49.38	49.05	48.32	48.14	48.35	48.73(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-6	20	8	-47	0.41	53%	0.06	23.8	2.63%	0	-0.6	46	0
23	Aug_12_2016	46.46	49.3	49.31	48.3	48.18	48.35	48.38(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-18	-40	-8	-48	0.45	53%	0.28	15.2	2.64%	0	-0.7	44	0
24	Aug_11_2016	46.33	49.22	49.5	48.62	48.43	47.93	48.2(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-80	-22	-43	0.52	50%	0.28	13	2.64%	0	-0.7	45	0
25	Aug_10_2016	46.2	49.14	49.71	48.99	49.02	48.43	47.38(-3.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-27	-80	-25	-31	0.71	50%		13.6	2.7%	0	-1.1	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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