Trading Signals: NBIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 25, 2016

Trading Signals: NBIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Neurocrine Biosciences Inc)
NBIX latest price $49.7700 (0.53%) ($49.1200 - $50.1700) on Mon. Jul. 25, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.86% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $49.7700(0.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NBIX advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NBIX advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NBIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(55%)    XBI(52%)    ARKG(42%)    IWO(41%)    XLV(39%)
Factors Impacting NBIX price   NBIX will decline at least -1.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-14%)    UUP(-7%)    TLT(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    IPO(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.43% (StdDev 2.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.88(1.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.93(3.84%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.07(5.74%)
To recent high   -4.2%
To recent low   19.1%
Market Cap   $4.639b

Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc. operates as a product based bio-pharmaceutical company. It discovers, develops and intends to commercialize drugs for the treatment of neurological and endocrine related diseases and disorders. The company product includes INGREZZA. Neurocrine Biosciences was founded by Kevin C. Gorman and Wylie W. Vale on January 1992 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

$. NBIX price fluctuates within 4.21% (three month std-dev: 2.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 32 Average positive next day return: 0.78%(34%) Average negative next day return: -1.01%(66%) Sample size 32 Average positive next three day return: 1.28%(44%) Average negative next three day return: -1.67%(56%) Sample size 32 Average positive next weekly return: 1.7%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.65%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160825

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_25_2016	44.38	47.07	47.93	48.88	49.06	49.49	49.77(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	70	19	36	0.91	53%	0.34	69.4	2.86%	0	1.4	72	0
2	Jul_22_2016	44.23	46.75	47.79	48.32	48.41	49.26	49.51(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	30	130	27	39	0.59	53%	0.29	58.6	2.86%	0	1.4	73	0
3	Jul_21_2016	44.1	46.49	47.67	47.69	47.75	48.64	49.08(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	37	130	36	40	1.27	56%	0.25	47.6	2.86%	0	1.3	71	0
4	Jul_20_2016	43.99	46.18	47.54	47.09	46.99	47.56	48.81(3.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	25	80	23	31	0.7	56%	0.27	29.4	2.92%	0	1.3	70	0
5	Jul_19_2016	43.87	45.88	47.42	46.63	46.57	46.87	47.23(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	9	40	3	27	0.88	54%	0.23	14.6	2.9%	0	0.7	72	0

6	Jul_18_2016	43.77	45.73	47.3	46.86	46.69	46.42	46.97(1.34%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	6	-50	-8	46	0.63	54%	0.21	12.8	2.9%	0	0.6	78	0
7	Jul_15_2016	43.68	45.59	47.16	47.2	47.18	46.28	46.35(0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-4	-130	-25	58	0.63	54%	0.23	8.3	2.9%	0	0.4	66	0
8	Jul_14_2016	43.58	45.58	47.1	47.64	47.84	46.97	46.1(-0.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-3	-110	-29	74	0.52	54%	0.21	6.5	2.9%	0	0.3	57	0
9	Jul_13_2016	43.49	45.6	47.05	48.03	48.26	48.08	46.49(-3.95%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	14	-10	-16	103	0.94	54%	0.25	0	2.9%	0	0.4	65	0
10	Jul_12_2016	43.38	45.58	46.83	48.29	48.4	48.7	48.4(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	46	50	17	133	0.65	56%	0.25	-7	2.88%	0	1.4	73	0

11	Jul_11_2016	43.27	45.47	46.2	47.78	47.92	48.44	48.64(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	47	80	24	114	0.91	56%	0.25	-26.7	2.89%	0	1.6	64	0
12	Jul_8_2016	43.16	45.42	45.66	47.11	47.09	48.09	48.58(1.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	45	150	28	95	0.86	56%	0.28	-39.5	2.94%	0	1.6	64	0
13	Jul_7_2016	43.04	45.45	45.23	46.48	46.38	47.39	48.05(0.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	47	150	37	77	0.72	56%	0.23	-47.5	2.93%	0	1.3	54	0
14	Jul_6_2016	42.94	45.59	44.69	45.95	45.69	46.09	47.79(4.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	32	40	28	44	1.05	60%	0.26	-42.1	2.95%	0	0.9	52	0
15	Jul_5_2016	42.83	45.72	44.16	45.17	45.33	45.37	45.84(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	20	19	6	0.63	58%	0.23	-44	3.08%	0	0	47	0

16	Jul_1_2016	42.73	46	43.98	44.36	44.73	45.3	45.29(-0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	3	110	13	-26	0.96	60%	0.26	-38.7	3.08%	0	-0.2	44	0
17	Jun_30_2016	42.62	46.2	43.86	43.96	44.05	45.29	45.45(0.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	8	200	25	-45	1.12	63%	0.28	-35.9	3.21%	0	-0.2	39	0
18	Jun_29_2016	42.5	46.44	43.9	43.79	43.45	44.17	45.39(3.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	9	90	32	-60	1.05	65%	0.31	-31.3	3.21%	0	-0.3	35	0
19	Jun_28_2016	42.37	46.64	43.97	43.25	43.1	42.81	43.88(5%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-22	-60	5	-102	1.12	64%	0.28	-34.7	3.23%	0	-0.9	25	0
20	Jun_27_2016	42.25	46.94	44.2	43.02	43.02	42.73	41.79(-3.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-49	-50	-20	-136	1.33	62%	0.14	-34.8	3.18%	0	-1.6	19	0

21	Jun_24_2016	42.19	47.19	44.7	43.53	43.25	43.39	43.28(-2.94%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-39	0	-5	-139	8.93	64%	0.14	-35.7	3.17%	0	-1.3	20	0
22	Jun_23_2016	42.13	47.35	45.19	43.72	43.66	43.3	44.59(4.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-39	-60	-5	-141	1.22	59%	0.12	-37.5	3.15%	0	-1	35	0
23	Jun_22_2016	42.08	47.47	45.68	44.05	44.02	43.11	42.73(0.05%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-61	-150	-32	-146	1.09	60%	0.1	-34.2	3.25%	0	-1.7	25	0
24	Jun_21_2016	42.04	47.79	46.58	44.82	44.83	44.02	42.71(-3.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-52	-130	-30	-119	1.55	60%	0	-20.3	3.35%	0	-1.9	31	0
25	Jun_20_2016	42.04	48.09	47.43	45.56	45.62	44.94	44.32(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-40	-100	-21	-98	1.37	62%		-9.8	3.32%	0	-1.6	34	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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