Trading Signals: NBIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 11, 2016

Trading Signals: NBIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Neurocrine Biosciences Inc)
NBIX latest price $43.7800 (-3.93%) ($43.3600 - $45.8000) on Mon. Apr. 11, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.49% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $43.7800(-3.93%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NBIX advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NBIX advances 11.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Growth stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NBIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(56%)    XBI(54%)    ARKG(43%)    IWO(42%)    XLV(40%)
Factors Impacting NBIX price   NBIX will decline at least -2.245% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-8%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-2%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.245% (StdDev 4.49%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $44.81(-2.3%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.42(3.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.02(12.2%)
To recent high   -13.1%
To recent low   36%
Market Cap   $4.08b

Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc. operates as a product based bio-pharmaceutical company. It discovers, develops and intends to commercialize drugs for the treatment of neurological and endocrine related diseases and disorders. The company product includes INGREZZA. Neurocrine Biosciences was founded by Kevin C. Gorman and Wylie W. Vale on January 1992 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

$. NBIX price fluctuates within 10.81% (three month std-dev: 4.49%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -5.06%(100%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 1.14%(25%) Average negative next three day return: -11.7%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 1.68%(25%) Average negative next weekly return: -9.92%(75%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160511

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_11_2016	43.91	39.02	42.42	44.81	45.23	45.07	43.78(-3.93%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	36	0	-3	154	0.96	48%	-0.25	68.7	4.49%	0	1.1	71	INF
2	Apr_8_2016	44.02	38.6	41.63	44.64	44.79	45.77	45.57(0.68%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	54	160	17	166	0.93	48%	-0.18	70.1	4.49%	0	1.7	77	INF
3	Apr_7_2016	44.1	37.98	40.62	43.84	44.13	45.4	45.26(-2.65%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	72	220	39	170	1.38	46%	-0.27	65	4.51%	0	1.9	79	INF
4	Apr_6_2016	44.22	37.38	39.63	42.69	42.73	43.8	46.49(8.22%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.1	70	180	41	157	1.38	45%	-0.18	54.5	4.53%	0	2.6	81	INF
5	Apr_5_2016	44.3	36.71	38.74	40.83	41.21	42.86	42.96(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	61	310	36	137	0.91	42%	-0.23	41.4	4.44%	0	2.1	78	INF

6	Apr_4_2016	44.4	36.33	38.01	39.67	39.88	41.65	42.93(3.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	71	330	53	123	1.88	40%	-0.2	33.5	4.44%	0	2.6	69	INF
7	Apr_1_2016	44.49	35.91	37.19	38.16	38.19	39.56	41.54(5.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	51	250	40	85	1.2	40%	-0.25	14.9	4.51%	0	2.8	68	INF
8	Mar_31_2016	44.6	35.62	36.4	36.92	36.84	38.11	39.55(6.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	37	230	30	57	2.11	38%	-0.29	-5.5	4.49%	0	2.5	69	INF
9	Mar_30_2016	44.73	35.62	35.83	36.12	35.97	36.82	37.15(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	150	12	36	1.1	35%	-0.36	-16.5	4.4%	0	1.1	64	INF
10	Mar_29_2016	44.89	35.53	35.52	36.36	35.81	35.56	37.17(4.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	15	-90	6	41	1.1	38%	-0.36	-7.3	4.4%	0	1.1	64	INF

11	Mar_28_2016	45.05	35.49	35.52	36.11	36.07	35.12	35.41(0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-1	-190	-11	28	0.99	35%	-0.62	-14.8	4.44%	0	-0.1	48	INF
12	Mar_24_2016	45.33	35.61	35.35	36.04	36.21	36.06	35.33(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	3	-10	-6	30	1.21	35%	-0.42	-14	4.44%	0	-0.2	51	INF
13	Mar_23_2016	45.52	35.7	35.2	35.73	35.99	37.03	35.54(-7.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	19	220	17	23	1.21	35%	-0.39	-16.8	4.48%	0	-0.1	47	INF
14	Mar_22_2016	45.7	35.77	35.02	35.44	35.14	36.36	38.35(6.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	26	220	33	6	1.11	37%	-0.33	-25.3	4.4%	0	1.6	46	INF
15	Mar_21_2016	45.85	35.64	34.54	34.58	34.38	34.95	35.9(2.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	2	100	14	-34	1.04	34%	-0.3	-44.8	4.3%	0	0.2	44	INF

16	Mar_18_2016	45.99	35.71	34.51	34.54	34.14	33.92	35.06(3.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-13	-80	-2	-45	1.82	34%	-0.33	-40.5	4.28%	0	-0.4	44	INF
17	Mar_17_2016	46.14	35.83	34.53	34.61	34.42	33.81	33.81(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-140	-8	-56	1.41	33%	-0.41	-33.7	4.25%	0	-1.3	35	INF
18	Mar_16_2016	46.33	35.97	34.78	34.58	34.7	34.37	34.06(-0.03%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-60	-6	-60	0.8	35%	-0.32	-27.1	4.28%	0	-1.2	39	INF
19	Mar_15_2016	46.48	36.17	35.21	34.5	34.67	34.37	34.07(-4.51%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-12	90	2	-53	1.11	35%	-0.28	-12.5	4.34%	0	-1.4	41	INF
20	Mar_14_2016	46.61	36.33	35.54	34.44	34.44	35.03	35.68(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-6	120	8	-47	0.7	36%	-0.28	0	4.34%	0	-0.5	50	INF

21	Mar_11_2016	46.74	36.35	35.64	34.5	34.31	34.31	35.44(5.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-10	-20	4	-51	0.86	36%	-0.26	1.5	4.34%	0	-0.6	44	INF
22	Mar_10_2016	46.86	36.36	35.87	34.49	34.45	33.85	33.63(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-27	-130	-16	-59	0.88	33%	-0.3	-4.1	4.28%	0	-1.9	36	INF
23	Mar_9_2016	47	36.4	36.25	35.03	34.93	34.31	33.67(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-34	-130	-28	-50	1.12	33%	-0.3	-11.5	4.3%	0	-1.9	43	INF
24	Mar_8_2016	47.14	36.36	36.62	36.03	35.87	35.05	33.8(-6.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-24	-170	-21	-31	1.12	33%	-0.34	-12.8	4.31%	0	-1.6	38	INF
25	Mar_7_2016	47.3	36.33	36.88	36.76	36.69	35.55	35.98(1.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-220	-19	-19	1.76	35%		-26.8	4.29%	0	-0.2	48	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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