Trading Signals: NBIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 8, 2016

Trading Signals: NBIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Neurocrine Biosciences Inc)
NBIX latest price $33.8000 (-6.06%) ($33.6800 - $36.1500) on Tue. Mar. 8, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.31% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $33.8000(-6.06%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NBIX declines -2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NBIX declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NBIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(57%)    XBI(55%)    ARKG(43%)    IWO(42%)    XLV(40%)
Factors Impacting NBIX price   NBIX will decline at least -2.155% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-15%)    TLT(-8%)    UUP(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-2%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.155% (StdDev 4.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -5.8%

Resistance Level   $36.36
5 Day Moving Average   $36.03(-6.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.62(-7.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.36(-7.04%)
To recent high   -40.3%
To recent low   5%
Market Cap   $3.15b

Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc. operates as a product based bio-pharmaceutical company. It discovers, develops and intends to commercialize drugs for the treatment of neurological and endocrine related diseases and disorders. The company product includes INGREZZA. Neurocrine Biosciences was founded by Kevin C. Gorman and Wylie W. Vale on January 1992 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

$. NBIX price fluctuates within 4.37% (three month std-dev: 4.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 1.4%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.34%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 1.84%(83%) Average negative next three day return: -2.7%(17%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 5.67%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.34%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160408

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_8_2016	47.14	36.36	36.62	36.03	35.87	35.05	33.8(-6.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-24	-170	-21	-31	1.12	33%	-0.34	-12.8	4.31%	0	-1.6	38	0
2	Mar_7_2016	47.3	36.36	36.88	36.76	36.69	35.55	35.98(1.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-220	-19	-19	1.76	35%	-0.25	-26.8	4.29%	0	-0.2	48	0
3	Mar_4_2016	47.42	36.33	37.03	36.92	37.15	36.7	35.35(-2.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-20	-70	-23	-12	1.51	38%	-0.29	-41.2	4.3%	0	-0.6	50	0
4	Mar_3_2016	47.56	36.42	37.27	37.46	37.56	37.82	36.36(-5.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	4	60	0	16	1.51	38%	-0.19	-46.6	4.35%	0	-0	56	0
5	Mar_2_2016	47.65	36.42	37.3	37.64	37.58	37.61	38.65(3.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	0	9	33	1.23	39%	-0.15	-52.5	4.3%	0	1.1	69	0

6	Mar_1_2016	47.72	36.56	37.22	37.32	37.41	37.3	37.48(1.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	13	-10	2	45	1.75	39%	-0.19	-73.3	4.28%	0	0.5	72	0
7	Feb_29_2016	47.81	36.79	37.17	37.02	37.22	37.56	36.78(-3.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	14	80	-0	55	1.15	38%	-0.21	-73.3	4.29%	0	-0	68	0
8	Feb_26_2016	47.91	37.05	37.12	37.17	37.04	37.52	38.02(1.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	22	80	8	63	0.77	38%	-0.1	-76	4.3%	0	0.4	56	0
9	Feb_25_2016	47.96	37.24	36.86	37.08	37.13	36.87	37.28(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-40	7	56	0.64	38%	-0.04	-80.9	4.32%	0	0	51	0
10	Feb_24_2016	47.98	37.55	36.52	36.91	37.01	36.56	37.05(3.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-4	-80	-14	25	0.84	38%	-0.06	-80	4.33%	0	-0.2	43	0

11	Feb_23_2016	48.01	38	36.07	37.12	37.29	37.39	35.96(-4.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-2	30	-5	9	0.75	38%	-0.15	-67	4.31%	0	-0.5	41	0
12	Feb_22_2016	48.08	38.59	35.76	37.33	37.49	37.47	37.52(-0.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	3	10	9	-17	0.94	38%	-0.15	-56.8	4.29%	0	-0.2	36	0
13	Feb_19_2016	48.15	39.17	35.59	37.04	37.21	37.19	37.58(3.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-9	10	4	-48	0.73	36%	-0.08	-49.4	4.29%	0	-0.3	38	0
14	Feb_18_2016	48.19	39.72	35.49	36.6	36.85	37.52	36.42(-4.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-6	150	16	-70	0.87	36%	-0.06	-42.8	4.3%	0	-0.6	35	0
15	Feb_17_2016	48.22	40.35	35.75	36.05	36.02	37.23	38.14(3.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	3	230	34	-89	1.03	38%	0.04	-40.7	4.32%	0	-0.4	34	0

16	Feb_16_2016	48.2	40.73	35.79	34.86	35.15	36.17	37.01(2.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	230	36	-133	1.28	38%	0.21	-44.6	4.34%	0	-0.6	27	0
17	Feb_12_2016	48.1	41.25	36.3	33.96	34.02	34.82	36.04(1.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-36	170	11	-177	1.85	38%	-0.23	-47.4	4.29%	0	-0.9	22	0
18	Feb_11_2016	48.21	41.84	36.89	33.95	33.61	34.13	35.37(4.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-49	80	2	-202	2.34	38%	-0.25	-47.9	4.28%	0	-1.1	18	0
19	Feb_10_2016	48.33	42.2	37.56	34.29	34.13	33.23	33.7(4.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-71	-200	-20	-225	2.15	35%	-0.31	-54.1	4.23%	0	-1.5	16	0
20	Feb_9_2016	48.48	42.85	38.61	35.44	35.04	33.08	32.19(-0.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-100	-430	-54	-237	1.21	32%	-0.39	-57.5	4.17%	0	-2	9	0

21	Feb_8_2016	48.67	43.53	40.07	36.86	36.75	35.02	32.51(-9.67%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-100	-340	-62	-214	2.17	32%	-0.47	-64.7	4.17%	0	-2.3	24	0
22	Feb_5_2016	48.9	44.28	41.69	38.93	38.54	36.99	35.99(-2.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-79	-310	-46	-177	2.33	35%	-0.39	-74.5	4.01%	0	-2	26	0
23	Feb_4_2016	49.09	44.9	43.12	40.25	40.08	38.47	37.07(-6.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-68	-290	-42	-147	2.28	35%	-0.37	-84.7	4%	0	-2.1	27	0
24	Feb_3_2016	49.27	45.57	44.36	41.3	41.23	40.09	39.46(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-58	-200	-41	-110	1.72	37%	-0.28	-94.4	3.95%	0	-1.8	50	0
25	Feb_2_2016	49.41	46.22	45.39	42.27	42.45	41.69	39.26(-8.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-47	-110	-35	-81	1.5	41%		-89.2	3.95%	0	-2.1	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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