Trading Signals: NBIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 5, 2015

Trading Signals: NBIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Neurocrine Biosciences Inc)
NBIX latest price $53.5900 (-0.83%) ($53.0400 - $54.3300) on Thu. Nov. 5, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.66% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $53.5900(-0.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NBIX advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NBIX advances 5.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NBIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(59%)    XBI(56%)    ARKG(43%)    IWO(43%)    XLV(42%)
Factors Impacting NBIX price   NBIX will decline at least -2.33% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-17%)    TLT(-9%)    SHY(-6%)    UUP(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.33% (StdDev 4.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $52.46(2.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $50.85(5.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.96(9.46%)
To recent high   -2.4%
To recent low   51.6%
Market Cap   $4.995b

Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc. operates as a product based bio-pharmaceutical company. It discovers, develops and intends to commercialize drugs for the treatment of neurological and endocrine related diseases and disorders. The company product includes INGREZZA. Neurocrine Biosciences was founded by Kevin C. Gorman and Wylie W. Vale on January 1992 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

$. NBIX price fluctuates within 5.9% (three month std-dev: 4.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 4.36%(50%) Average negative next day return: -12.49%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 5.25%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -12.3%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 7.15%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -13.91%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151205

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_5_2015	47.13	48.96	50.85	52.46	52.67	53.61	53.59(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	140	20	75	0.74	63%	0.21	96.6	4.66%	0	1.6	65	INF
2	Nov_4_2015	47.03	48.46	50.23	51.74	51.4	53.09	54.04(1.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	33	210	23	63	0.76	63%	0.26	82.3	4.7%	0	1.7	64	INF
3	Nov_3_2015	46.91	47.72	49.51	51.22	50.71	51.74	53.17(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	42	110	33	67	0.98	63%	0.21	74.7	4.73%	0	1.6	71	INF
4	Nov_2_2015	46.81	47.07	48.86	50.33	49.98	49.72	52.42(6.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	-60	15	50	0.95	63%	0.21	77	4.77%	0	1.6	65	INF
5	Oct_30_2015	46.71	46.57	48.47	49.17	49.21	49.68	49.09(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	7	70	-2	35	1.21	61%	0.09	83.9	4.74%	0	0.8	60	INF

6	Oct_29_2015	46.67	46.32	48.35	48.95	48.88	50.25	49.97(-2.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	29	190	23	47	0.95	61%	0.13	84.5	4.77%	0	1.1	61	INF
7	Oct_28_2015	46.61	45.87	48.18	48.45	48.39	48.74	51.43(5.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	50	25	53	1.14	61%	0.17	70.1	4.8%	0	1.7	71	INF
8	Oct_27_2015	46.53	45.29	47.5	47.56	47.77	47.5	48.76(4.61%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	10	-30	-1	44	0.79	60%	0.09	47.3	4.79%	0	1	77	INF
9	Oct_26_2015	46.49	44.67	47.2	47.18	47.62	48.03	46.61(-2.9%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	10	90	-5	53	1.24	60%	0.02	25.4	4.79%	0	0.5	70	INF
10	Oct_23_2015	46.48	44.14	47.14	47.66	47.74	48.04	48(1.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	26	50	9	76	1.68	60%	0.04	11.7	4.82%	0	1	63	INF

11	Oct_22_2015	46.46	43.77	46.95	47.64	47.65	47.2	47.47(1.09%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	15	-70	-6	76	0.98	60%	0.04	-4.2	4.86%	0	0.9	58	INF
12	Oct_21_2015	46.44	43.66	46.59	47.86	47.91	47.44	46.96(0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	21	-70	-2	91	0.87	60%	0.02	-12.8	4.91%	0	0.8	64	INF
13	Oct_20_2015	46.43	43.64	45.85	47.39	47.74	48.1	46.88(-4.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	23	70	2	85	1.18	60%	0.02	-23.4	4.96%	0	0.8	66	INF
14	Oct_19_2015	46.42	43.68	45.21	47.17	47.18	48.39	48.98(2.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	180	19	102	0.84	60%	0.11	-29.1	4.97%	0	1.3	75	INF
15	Oct_16_2015	46.37	43.67	44.56	46.53	46.69	47.38	47.93(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	45	110	21	116	1.14	60%	0.09	-32.6	5.01%	0	0.9	75	INF

16	Oct_15_2015	46.33	43.94	44.13	46.17	46.13	45.97	48.56(8.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	39	-30	12	118	1.42	60%	0.09	-31.1	5.06%	0	0.9	62	INF
17	Oct_14_2015	46.29	44.17	43.35	45.18	45.6	46	44.61(-2.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	30	90	10	91	1.21	57%	-0.06	-33.1	4.95%	0	0.1	49	INF
18	Oct_13_2015	46.32	44.6	42.88	44.04	45.29	46.28	45.75(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	39	240	32	61	2.22	57%	-0.02	-34.1	4.99%	0	0.2	48	INF
19	Oct_12_2015	46.33	44.93	41.92	42.89	43.49	45.19	45.82(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	320	23	6	1.33	57%	-0.04	-36.2	5.05%	0	0.1	46	INF
20	Oct_9_2015	46.35	45.25	40.89	42.27	42.15	44.3	46.1(5.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	12	350	29	-38	2.32	57%	0	-34.6	5.1%	0	0.1	45	INF

21	Oct_8_2015	46.35	45.6	40.29	41.86	42	41.79	43.6(12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	-20	26	-80	7.68	55%	-0.15	-31.7	5.09%	0	-0.3	37	INF
22	Oct_7_2015	46.42	46.08	40.43	41.33	41.45	40	38.93(-2.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-54	-240	-26	-136	1.41	50%	-0.39	-31.5	4.79%	0	-1.1	28	INF
23	Oct_6_2015	46.6	46.68	41.22	41.51	41.6	42.22	40(-6.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-30	110	6	-136	1.67	50%	-0.34	-29.8	4.83%	0	-1	31	INF
24	Oct_5_2015	46.76	47.24	42.02	40.67	40.96	42.9	42.72(-3.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	350	48	-142	1.01	53%	-0.23	-30.9	4.79%	0	-0.7	35	INF
25	Oct_2_2015	46.87	47.55	42.68	39.19	39	40.99	44.07(7.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-16	340	35	-170	1.33	53%		-36.5	4.83%	0	-0.6	37	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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