Trading Signals: NBIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 8, 2015

Trading Signals: NBIX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Aug. 10, 2015 - Fri. Oct. 27, 2023)

(Neurocrine Biosciences Inc)
NBIX latest price $43.6000 (12%) ($40.2400 - $47.2500) on Thu. Oct. 8, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.09% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $43.6000(12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   NBIX advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   NBIX declines -7.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support NBIX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(59%)    XBI(56%)    ARKG(43%)    IWO(43%)    XLV(42%)
Factors Impacting NBIX price   NBIX will decline at least -2.545% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-18%)    TLT(-9%)    SHY(-6%)    UUP(-4%)    IGOV(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.545% (StdDev 5.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -5.7%

Resistance Level   $45.6
5 Day Moving Average   $41.86(4.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.29(8.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.6(-4.39%)
To recent high   -20.6%
To recent low   23.4%
Market Cap   $4.064b

Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc. operates as a product based bio-pharmaceutical company. It discovers, develops and intends to commercialize drugs for the treatment of neurological and endocrine related diseases and disorders. The company product includes INGREZZA. Neurocrine Biosciences was founded by Kevin C. Gorman and Wylie W. Vale on January 1992 and is headquartered in San Diego, CA.

$. NBIX price fluctuates within 14.32% (three month std-dev: 5.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20151108

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_8_2015	46.35	45.6	40.29	41.86	42	41.79	43.6(12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	-20	26	-80	7.68	55%	-0.15	-31.7	5.09%	0	-0.3	37	INF
2	Oct_7_2015	46.42	46.08	40.43	41.33	41.45	40	38.93(-2.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-54	-240	-26	-136	1.41	50%	-0.39	-31.5	4.79%	0	-1.1	28	INF
3	Oct_6_2015	46.6	46.68	41.22	41.51	41.6	42.22	40(-6.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-30	110	6	-136	1.67	50%	-0.34	-29.8	4.83%	0	-1	31	INF
4	Oct_5_2015	46.76	47.24	42.02	40.67	40.96	42.9	42.72(-3.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	350	48	-142	1.01	53%	-0.23	-30.9	4.79%	0	-0.7	35	INF
5	Oct_2_2015	46.87	47.55	42.68	39.19	39	40.99	44.07(7.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-16	340	35	-170	1.33	53%	-0.15	-36.5	4.83%	0	-0.6	37	INF

6	Oct_1_2015	46.94	47.77	43.63	38.53	37.77	39.03	40.95(2.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-45	170	4	-193	1.2	49%	-0.34	-38.7	4.73%	0	-1.1	29	INF
7	Sep_30_2015	47.1	48.24	44.95	39.55	38.74	37.01	39.79(11.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-64	-370	-23	-187	1.93	49%	-0.44	-32.2	4.76%	0	-1.4	27	INF
8	Sep_29_2015	47.31	48.66	46.38	41.05	40.79	36.52	35.8(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-119	-750	-92	-200	1.68	42%	-0.69	-23	4.41%	0	-2.3	24	INF
9	Sep_28_2015	47.64	49.28	48.21	43.6	43.84	40.48	35.34(-13.3%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.7	-115	-520	-99	-161	2.38	42%	-0.75	-8.2	4.47%	0	-2.9	22	INF
10	Sep_25_2015	48	49.94	50.11	46.56	46.77	45.06	40.76(-11.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-82	-240	-73	-110	1.45	50%	-0.46	15.6	3.95%	0	-2.5	37	INF

11	Sep_24_2015	48.22	50.29	51.52	49.39	49.04	47.2	46.06(-2.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-54	-280	-56	-47	0.88	60%	-0.12	47.4	3.47%	0	-1.4	49	INF
12	Sep_23_2015	48.28	50.24	52.32	51.17	51.1	48.47	47.28(-2.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-49	-360	-63	-6	0.9	60%	-0.08	57.5	3.49%	0	-0.9	47	INF
13	Sep_22_2015	48.32	49.99	52.72	52.57	52.65	50.87	48.54(-3.27%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-40	-230	-64	31	1.47	60%	0.02	53.8	3.51%	0	-0.4	59	INF
14	Sep_21_2015	48.31	49.68	53.02	53.54	54.15	53.72	50.18(-8.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	8	-20	-18	84	1.22	60%	0.15	48.2	3.51%	0	0.1	65	INF
15	Sep_18_2015	48.24	49.38	52.93	54.14	54.27	54.44	54.9(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	30	2	126	1.29	71%	0.48	48.5	3.13%	0	1.2	79	INF

16	Sep_17_2015	48.01	48.85	52.28	53.98	54.07	54.58	54.93(1.18%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	44	70	13	136	0.91	71%	0.54	46.4	3.19%	0	1.4	79	INF
17	Sep_16_2015	47.75	48.41	51.74	53.7	53.87	54.1	54.29(1.63%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	57	40	24	157	1.72	71%	0.53	48.4	3.25%	0	1.4	82	INF
18	Sep_15_2015	47.5	48.02	51.03	52.95	53.08	53.56	53.42(0.49%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	48	70	11	160	0.63	71%	0.51	47.9	3.3%	0	1.4	86	INF
19	Sep_14_2015	47.26	47.72	50.34	52.42	52.43	53.65	53.16(-1.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	71	160	35	180	0.78	71%	0.51	49.3	3.37%	0	1.5	85	INF
20	Sep_11_2015	47.02	47.33	49.69	51.5	51.48	52.61	54.09(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	79	150	46	178	0.87	71%	0.66	0	3.41%	0	2	74	INF

21	Sep_10_2015	46.71	46.93	48.88	50.3	50.13	51.21	53.56(6.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	59	140	27	153	1.83	71%	0.67	0	3.48%	0	2.2	70	INF
22	Sep_9_2015	46.4	46.52	47.91	49.52	49.49	50.35	50.5(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	59	120	33	137	0.74	67%	0.43	0	3.36%	0	1.6	58	INF
23	Sep_8_2015	46.2	46.26	47	48.83	48.91	49.04	50.81(4.65%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	43	20	25	98	0.76	67%	0.5	0	3.43%	0	1.9	58	INF
24	Sep_4_2015	45.97	46	46.04	47.94	48	48.63	48.55(0.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	16	100	5	49	0.68	63%	0.28	0	3.39%	0	1.2	50	INF
25	Sep_3_2015	45.84	46	45.55	47.56	47.7	48.78	48.09(-3.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	170	30	12	0.72	63%		0	3.48%	0	22.7	55	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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