Trading Signals: MTP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Mar. 5, 2019

Trading Signals: MTP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 5, 2016 - Tue. Jan. 14, 2020)

(Midatech Pharma plc)
MTP latest price $30.5050 (17.35%) ($24.1000 - $35.5000) on Tue. Mar. 5, 2019.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   43.08% (three month average)
RSI   91
Latest Price   $30.5050(17.35%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MTP advances 3.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MTP advances 154.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Value stock sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MTP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
ONLN(9%)    PCY(9%)    BWX(8%)    CEMB(8%)    EMHY(8%)
Factors Impacting MTP price   MTP will decline at least -21.54% in a week (0% probabilities).
UUP(-12%)    XHB(-11%)    URA(-10%)    FIVG(-10%)    SMH(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -21.54% (StdDev 43.08%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 22%

5 Day Moving Average   $29.95(1.85%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.57(48.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $13.38(127.99%)
To recent high   -22.8%
To recent low   464.4%
Market Cap   $322m

$. MTP price fluctuates within 82.59% (three month std-dev: 43.08%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -12.35%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -23.65%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -16.88%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20190405

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_5_2019	13.39	13.38	20.57	29.95	27.74	26.51	30.51(17.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	54	-530	0	215	0.14	79%	0.22	111.1	43.08%	0	1.6	91	0.9
2	Mar_4_2019	13.36	12.1	18.15	28.95	30.58	25.84	26(-0.97%)	UT	HoldLong	50	-0.3	76	-920	5	290	0.04	79%	-0.22	122.5	43.41%	0	1.3	91	1.2
3	Mar_1_2019	13.39	11.06	16.15	24.95	29.47	28.96	26.25(-4.55%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	66	420	5	248	0.06	78%	-0.15	97.1	43.09%	0	1.5	91	1.8
4	Feb_28_2019	13.41	9.98	14.06	20.9	24.15	35.32	27.5(-30.38%)	TP	CloseLong	-10	0.7	69	3700	22	209	0.2	77%	-0.07	71.1	42.74%	0	1.9	91	0.8
5	Feb_27_2019	13.42	8.82	11.77	16.66	18.08	29.97	39.5(54.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2.8	85	4860	57	170	0.99	76%	0.83	47	42.58%	0	3.7	96	0.9

6	Feb_26_2019	13.31	6.98	8.08	10.01	9.61	12.98	25.52(325.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	3.6	49	2330	40	75	0.95	72%	-0.22	20.2	42.14%	0	4.3	95	1
7	Feb_25_2019	13.34	5.91	5.89	6.16	6.28	6.18	6(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	8	-50	1	29	0.01	32%	-1.91	-120.5	7.5%	0	0.3	44	1.2
8	Feb_22_2019	13.6	5.92	5.84	6.13	6.3	6.25	6(-4.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	7	30	3	19	0	32%	-1.81	-134.5	7.5%	0	0.3	44	1.6
9	Feb_21_2019	13.85	6.02	5.8	6.06	6.19	6.37	6.26(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	8	270	8	9	0	30%	-1.7	-68.8	7.55%	0	0.4	53	1.3
10	Feb_20_2019	14.09	6.12	5.75	5.91	6.01	6.35	6.26(-0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	8	450	11	-2	0.01	33%	-1.81	-54	7.62%	0	0.2	55	1.6

11	Feb_19_2019	14.35	6.21	5.71	5.74	5.8	6.02	6.29(7.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	300	10	-17	0.02	33%	-2.78	-50.3	7.78%	0	0.1	54	1
12	Feb_15_2019	14.76	6.27	5.69	5.59	5.61	5.68	5.84(3.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	100	4	-31	0	32%	-2.19	-60.3	7.67%	0	-0.4	39	1.5
13	Feb_14_2019	15.09	6.36	5.71	5.52	5.56	5.57	5.64(1.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-9	30	1	-40	0	32%	-2.14	-68.3	7.67%	0	-0.7	27	1
14	Feb_13_2019	15.42	6.45	5.76	5.51	5.54	5.54	5.54(2.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-19	20	-3	-65	0	32%	-2.22	-77.2	7.66%	0	-0.9	11	1.3
15	Feb_12_2019	15.77	6.57	5.8	5.57	5.6	5.55	5.41(-1.82%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-26	-50	-5	-87	0	32%	-2.23	-76.6	7.65%	0	-1.1	7	1.5

16	Feb_11_2019	16.13	6.71	5.87	5.67	5.67	5.54	5.51(0.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-32	-160	-7	-105	0.01	32%	-2.06	-74.9	7.66%	0	-1.1	7	1.3
17	Feb_8_2019	16.47	6.9	5.94	5.8	5.75	5.64	5.49(-1.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-34	-160	-8	-111	0.01	31%	-1.96	-62	7.71%	0	-1.2	28	1.3
18	Feb_7_2019	16.8	7.12	6.02	5.94	5.92	5.81	5.6(-4.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-32	-140	-5	-114	0.01	31%	-1.87	-49.2	7.75%	0	-1.2	27	1.1
19	Feb_6_2019	17.12	7.34	6.27	6.04	6.02	5.85	5.86(-0.39%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-27	-210	-2	-100	0.01	31%	-1.83	-44	7.76%	0	-1.1	34	1.7
20	Feb_5_2019	17.44	7.48	6.51	6.06	6.09	6.03	5.88(-5.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-26	-50	-3	-94	0.02	31%	-1.75	-42.3	7.78%	0	-1.2	30	1.8

21	Feb_4_2019	17.75	7.61	6.75	6.1	6.14	6.18	6.19(-0.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-22	70	1	-89	0.01	31%	-1.77	-40.2	7.77%	0	-1.1	30	1.9
22	Feb_1_2019	18.07	7.71	6.89	6.09	6.11	6.14	6.19(2.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-27	40	-2	-103	0.01	34%	-1.74	-38.8	7.94%	0	-1.2	24	1.4
23	Jan_31_2019	18.39	7.82	7.04	6.13	6.11	6.1	6.06(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-41	-50	-15	-118	0.01	34%	-1.66	-36.2	8.27%	0	-1.5	21	1.4
24	Jan_30_2019	18.7	7.99	7.19	6.55	6.16	6.08	6(-0.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-45	-270	-20	-119	0.01	34%	-1.73	-19	8.27%	0	-1.7	20	1.1
25	Jan_29_2019	19.03	8.09	7.4	7.04	6.76	6.22	6.05(-1.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-39	-680	-18	-102	0.02	34%		-7.7	8.26%	0	-1.8	36	0.5
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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