Trading Signals: MTP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 1, 2017

Trading Signals: MTP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 5, 2016 - Tue. Jan. 14, 2020)

(Midatech Pharma plc)
MTP latest price $160.9950 (2.22%) ($156.1950 - $163.4950) on Wed. Feb. 1, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.88% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $160.9950(2.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MTP advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MTP advances 4.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MTP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
GLD(10%)    GDX(7%)    IPO(7%)    SIL(7%)    FXI(4%)
Factors Impacting MTP price   MTP will decline at least -1.94% in a week (0% probabilities).
BNDX(-7%)    PCY(-6%)    SPLV(-5%)    XLV(-4%)    XLRE(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.94% (StdDev 3.88%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $156.16(3.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $154.57(4.16%)
20 Day Moving Average   $149.83(7.45%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   29.3%
Market Cap   $1.699b

$. MTP price fluctuates within 4.92% (three month std-dev: 3.88%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 42 Average positive next day return: 3.41%(48%) Average negative next day return: -1.47%(52%) Sample size 42 Average positive next three day return: 8.27%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -2.53%(57%) Sample size 42 Average positive next weekly return: 6.73%(48%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.88%(52%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20170301

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_1_2017	147.07	149.83	154.57	156.16	156.64	157.74	161(2.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	55	60	43	90	0	67%	0.1	80.1	3.88%	0	1.5	71	INF
2	Jan_31_2017	146.92	148.67	153.88	154.06	154.46	156.29	157.5(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	36	90	24	72	0	67%	-0.24	81.1	3.9%	0	1.2	52	INF
3	Jan_30_2017	147.28	147.41	152.67	152.76	153.21	155.54	155.31(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	47	120	38	72	0	67%	-0.25	82.5	3.91%	0	1.1	57	INF
4	Jan_27_2017	147.65	146.23	150.6	153	153	152.62	156.5(3.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	34	-20	27	56	0	67%	-0.27	83	3.91%	0	1.4	55	INF
5	Jan_26_2017	148.05	145.12	149	153	152.53	150.88	150.5(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-38	-80	-55	15	0	66%	-0.33	81.3	3.92%	0	0.7	53	INF

6	Jan_25_2017	148.54	144.14	147.56	152.7	155.57	153.37	150.5(-0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-6	-40	-16	25	0	66%	-0.32	75	3.94%	0	0.8	56	INF
7	Jan_24_2017	149.01	143.15	147.85	153.6	155.94	154.19	151(-3.51%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-22	-30	-41	37	0	66%	0.01	74.2	3.94%	0	0.9	59	INF
8	Jan_23_2017	148.99	141.87	147.19	152.4	155.85	157.76	156.5(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	48	150	38	76	0	66%	-0.33	64.1	3.91%	0	1.7	65	INF
9	Jan_20_2017	149.48	140.52	146.3	147.7	153.1	157.69	155(2.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	103	320	106	93	0	66%	-0.4	44.6	3.92%	0	1.7	65	INF
10	Jan_19_2017	150.08	139.14	145.48	144.74	146.87	153.95	150.51(-2.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	95	380	97	87	0	66%	-0.37	29.1	3.91%	0	1.4	60	INF

11	Jan_18_2017	150.64	138.16	144.6	141.64	144.74	148.5	155(6.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	123	250	132	95	0	66%	-0.42	16	3.91%	0	1.9	65	INF
12	Jan_17_2017	151.28	137.08	142.84	141.54	142.02	139.8	145(9.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-17	-100	-35	38	0	63%	-0.92	15.6	3.81%	0	1	62	INF
13	Jan_13_2017	152.69	136.54	141.58	141.44	144.5	140.99	133(-5.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-38	-110	-63	39	0	59%	-0.37	12.4	3.64%	0	-0.4	60	INF
14	Jan_12_2017	153.26	136.8	141.59	144.64	145.31	144.24	140.21(3.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-36	-40	-69	63	0	63%	-0.42	20	3.59%	0	0.4	59	INF
15	Jan_11_2017	153.9	136.75	141.09	146.2	146.56	148	135.01(-12.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.4	42	80	16	119	0	55%	-0.47	24.4	3.59%	0	-0.2	58	INF

16	Jan_10_2017	154.62	136.76	140.77	147.6	146.78	146.37	154.5(6.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	81	-40	56	156	0	65%	-0.28	26.8	3.35%	0	2.2	69	INF
17	Jan_9_2017	155.06	135.83	138.25	144.3	144.13	145.13	144.5(-3.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	17	50	-12	104	0	61%	-0.4	14.5	3.24%	0	1.3	58	INF
18	Jan_5_2017	155.68	135.55	136.3	141.7	143.18	147.19	149(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	121	230	120	125	0	61%	-0.08	4.1	3.21%	0	2.2	62	INF
19	Jan_4_2017	155.8	135.22	134.3	138.1	138.85	143.13	148(4.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	94	230	99	79	0	61%	-0.12	-13.3	3.23%	0	2.3	57	INF
20	Jan_3_2017	155.98	134.84	132.19	135.38	136.16	139.17	142(2.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	93	170	108	46	0	58%	-0.02	-34.8	3.19%	0	1.4	50	INF

21	Dec_30_2016	156.01	134.67	131.02	132.98	133.59	134.57	138(4.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	31	70	42	-4	0	58%	-0.09	-55.8	3.17%	0	0.6	53	INF
22	Dec_29_2016	156.15	134.86	130.59	131.38	132.36	133.15	131.5(0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	4	60	16	-32	0	54%	-0.08	-67.2	3.1%	0	-0.6	42	INF
23	Dec_28_2016	156.28	135.3	130.89	129.98	132.31	132.61	131(-2.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	19	70	39	-41	0	49%	-0.04	-73.7	3.12%	0	-0.8	39	INF
24	Dec_27_2016	156.34	135.96	131.52	129.78	130.06	131.56	134.4(3.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-14	90	3	-66	0	49%	0.11	-74.1	3.17%	0	-0.3	37	INF
25	Dec_23_2016	156.17	136.65	131.96	128.5	129.69	132.01	130(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	34	150	64	-55	0	51%		-71.5	3.19%	0	-1	36	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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