Trading Signals: MTP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ MTP: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Nov. 17, 2016

Trading Signals: MTP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 5, 2016 - Tue. Jan. 14, 2020)

(Midatech Pharma plc)
MTP latest price $148.0000 (-1.33%) ($146.0000 - $157.4950) on Thu. Nov. 17, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.66% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $148.0000(-1.33%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MTP advances 1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MTP advances 4.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MTP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IPO(7%)    PEJ(7%)    TAN(7%)    XOP(7%)    DIA(6%)
Factors Impacting MTP price   MTP will decline at least -2.33% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLP(-3%)    UUP(-2%)    UNG(-2%)    TBT(-2%)    XLU(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.33% (StdDev 4.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $150.08(-1.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $144.26(2.59%)
20 Day Moving Average   $142.52(3.85%)
To recent high   -32.7%
To recent low   9.2%
Market Cap   $1.562b

$. MTP price fluctuates within 4.17% (three month std-dev: 4.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 7.66%(67%) Average negative next day return: -2.7%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 2.56%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -2.7%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 6.69%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.62%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161217

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_17_2016	156.85	142.52	144.26	150.08	150.91	150.02	148(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	5	-20	-11	52	0	44%	0	48.2	4.66%	0	0.9	57	0
2	Nov_16_2016	156.85	142.17	143.09	148.23	149.37	152.44	150(-6.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	43	170	36	62	0	48%	0.02	41.5	4.66%	0	1.3	61	0
3	Nov_15_2016	156.82	141.56	141.99	145.34	146.19	151.79	160.45(9.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.7	94	290	101	71	0	51%	0.1	27.5	4.75%	0	3.4	62	0
4	Nov_14_2016	156.67	140.52	139.91	140.39	141.68	146.31	146.95(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	75	260	87	38	0	47%	-0.11	-2.3	4.61%	0	1.8	49	0
5	Nov_11_2016	156.84	140.16	138.81	139.49	138.24	140.59	145(4.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	40	90	50	11	0	49%	-0.18	-33.7	4.61%	0	1.4	49	0

6	Nov_10_2016	157.13	139.71	138.18	137.73	137.23	137.06	138.76(2.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	9	-20	17	-16	0	51%	-0.22	-85.9	4.62%	0	-0.3	42	0
7	Nov_9_2016	157.47	139.77	137.97	137.18	136.78	135.89	135.54(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-25	-50	-20	-39	0	51%	-0.27	-121	4.64%	0	-1.3	45	0
8	Nov_8_2016	157.89	140.06	138.62	137.99	136.95	137.41	135.7(-4.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-17	0	-13	-29	0	51%	-0.27	-130.9	4.65%	0	-1.3	49	0
9	Nov_7_2016	158.32	140.61	139.61	139.24	137.96	137.66	142.43(4.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	9	-40	15	-9	0	53%	-0.22	-88.7	4.61%	0	0.4	51	0
10	Nov_4_2016	158.67	141.33	139.78	138.06	138.21	136.5	136.21(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-80	-27	-28	0	53%	-0.26	-70.2	4.59%	0	-0.8	46	0

11	Nov_3_2016	159.08	142.57	140.7	138.72	139.06	138.26	136(-2.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-30	-22	-15	0	56%	-0.28	-57	4.6%	0	-0.8	53	0
12	Nov_2_2016	159.53	143.83	141.31	138.82	139.62	139.93	139.63(-1.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	30	4	-3	0	56%	-0.26	-52.4	4.67%	0	-0.5	51	0
13	Nov_1_2016	159.95	144.72	141.24	139.33	138.84	139.86	141.95(3.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-1	40	0	-4	0	56%	-0.27	-48.6	4.68%	0	-0.3	52	0
14	Oct_31_2016	160.38	145.29	141.22	140.14	139.34	139.31	136.51(-2.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	6	-20	8	-1	0	56%	-0.27	-49.7	4.65%	0	-1	39	0
15	Oct_28_2016	160.82	146.26	141.69	141.84	139.73	137.82	139.5(2.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-140	-25	-21	0	56%	-0.29	-48.4	4.66%	0	-0.8	32	0

16	Oct_27_2016	161.28	147.17	141.42	143.04	140.48	139.37	136.51(-3.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-38	-110	-37	-41	0	56%	-0.31	-43.2	4.66%	0	-1.2	26	0
17	Oct_26_2016	161.78	148.28	141.84	144.04	142.02	141.65	142.19(-2.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-4	-60	7	-37	0	54%	-0.3	-44.2	4.63%	0	-0.7	29	0
18	Oct_25_2016	162.26	148.9	141.7	143.3	141.31	141.6	146(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-19	-30	-5	-60	0	54%	-0.29	-48.5	4.64%	0	-0.3	37	0
19	Oct_24_2016	162.74	149.7	141.69	142.47	141.13	142.39	145(-0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-2	30	18	-61	0	54%	-0.31	-57.6	4.64%	0	-0.5	42	0
20	Oct_21_2016	163.24	150.58	142.88	141.57	141.09	141.01	145.5(2.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	-10	25	-61	0	54%	-0.29	-67.7	4.64%	0	-0.6	40	0

21	Oct_20_2016	163.71	151.09	144.36	139.67	140.07	139.87	141.5(2.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-27	-0	-9	-81	0	54%	-0.32	-79.8	4.63%	0	-1	35	0
22	Oct_19_2016	164.23	152.14	146.32	139.37	139.53	141.16	138.5(-2.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-12	90	9	-73	0	54%	-0.31	-92.7	4.62%	0	-1.5	30	0
23	Oct_18_2016	164.74	153.33	148.3	139.82	139.43	140.26	141.84(0.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	4	30	26	-62	0	56%	-0.14	-94.5	4.63%	0	-1.1	39	0
24	Oct_17_2016	164.97	155.23	149.54	140.85	138.89	137.9	140.5(3.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-45	-90	-31	-86	0	56%	-0.31	-91.1	4.68%	0	-1.3	31	0
25	Oct_14_2016	165.48	157.1	151.15	144.55	140.89	138.6	136(-2.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-70	-190	-64	-89	0	56%		-89	4.68%	0	-1.9	25	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.