Trading Signals: MTP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 16, 2016

Trading Signals: MTP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 5, 2016 - Tue. Jan. 14, 2020)

(Midatech Pharma plc)
MTP latest price $150.0000 (-6.51%) ($150.0000 - $152.5000) on Wed. Nov. 16, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.66% (three month average)
RSI   61
Latest Price   $150.0000(-6.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MTP advances 2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MTP advances 3.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from value to growth for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MTP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IPO(7%)    PEJ(7%)    TAN(7%)    XOP(7%)    DIA(6%)
Factors Impacting MTP price   MTP will decline at least -2.33% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLP(-3%)    UUP(-2%)    UNG(-2%)    TBT(-2%)    XLU(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.33% (StdDev 4.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $148.23(1.19%)
10 Day Moving Average   $143.09(4.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $142.17(5.51%)
To recent high   -31.8%
To recent low   10.7%
Market Cap   $1.583b

$. MTP price fluctuates within 4.12% (three month std-dev: 4.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 18 Average positive next day return: 1.29%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.36%(50%) Sample size 18 Average positive next three day return: 4.32%(72%) Average negative next three day return: -3.2%(28%) Sample size 18 Average positive next weekly return: 5.2%(61%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.32%(39%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161216

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_16_2016	156.85	142.17	143.09	148.23	149.37	152.44	150(-6.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	43	170	36	62	0	48%	0.02	41.5	4.66%	0	1.3	61	INF
2	Nov_15_2016	156.82	141.56	141.99	145.34	146.19	151.79	160.45(9.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.7	94	290	101	71	0	51%	0.1	27.5	4.75%	0	3.4	62	INF
3	Nov_14_2016	156.67	140.52	139.91	140.39	141.68	146.31	146.95(1.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	75	260	87	38	0	47%	-0.11	-2.3	4.61%	0	1.8	49	INF
4	Nov_11_2016	156.84	140.16	138.81	139.49	138.24	140.59	145(4.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	40	90	50	11	0	49%	-0.18	-33.7	4.61%	0	1.4	49	INF
5	Nov_10_2016	157.13	139.71	138.18	137.73	137.23	137.06	138.76(2.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	9	-20	17	-16	0	51%	-0.22	-85.9	4.62%	0	-0.3	42	INF

6	Nov_9_2016	157.47	139.77	137.97	137.18	136.78	135.89	135.54(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-25	-50	-20	-39	0	51%	-0.27	-121	4.64%	0	-1.3	45	INF
7	Nov_8_2016	157.89	140.06	138.62	137.99	136.95	137.41	135.7(-4.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-17	0	-13	-29	0	51%	-0.27	-130.9	4.65%	0	-1.3	49	INF
8	Nov_7_2016	158.32	140.61	139.61	139.24	137.96	137.66	142.43(4.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	9	-40	15	-9	0	53%	-0.22	-88.7	4.61%	0	0.4	51	INF
9	Nov_4_2016	158.67	141.33	139.78	138.06	138.21	136.5	136.21(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-80	-27	-28	0	53%	-0.26	-70.2	4.59%	0	-0.8	46	INF
10	Nov_3_2016	159.08	142.57	140.7	138.72	139.06	138.26	136(-2.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	-30	-22	-15	0	56%	-0.28	-57	4.6%	0	-0.8	53	INF

11	Nov_2_2016	159.53	143.83	141.31	138.82	139.62	139.93	139.63(-1.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	30	4	-3	0	56%	-0.26	-52.4	4.67%	0	-0.5	51	INF
12	Nov_1_2016	159.95	144.72	141.24	139.33	138.84	139.86	141.95(3.99%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-1	40	0	-4	0	56%	-0.27	-48.6	4.68%	0	-0.3	52	INF
13	Oct_31_2016	160.38	145.29	141.22	140.14	139.34	139.31	136.51(-2.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	6	-20	8	-1	0	56%	-0.27	-49.7	4.65%	0	-1	39	INF
14	Oct_28_2016	160.82	146.26	141.69	141.84	139.73	137.82	139.5(2.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-24	-140	-25	-21	0	56%	-0.29	-48.4	4.66%	0	-0.8	32	INF
15	Oct_27_2016	161.28	147.17	141.42	143.04	140.48	139.37	136.51(-3.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-38	-110	-37	-41	0	56%	-0.31	-43.2	4.66%	0	-1.2	26	INF

16	Oct_26_2016	161.78	148.28	141.84	144.04	142.02	141.65	142.19(-2.61%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-4	-60	7	-37	0	54%	-0.3	-44.2	4.63%	0	-0.7	29	INF
17	Oct_25_2016	162.26	148.9	141.7	143.3	141.31	141.6	146(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-19	-30	-5	-60	0	54%	-0.29	-48.5	4.64%	0	-0.3	37	INF
18	Oct_24_2016	162.74	149.7	141.69	142.47	141.13	142.39	145(-0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-2	30	18	-61	0	54%	-0.31	-57.6	4.64%	0	-0.5	42	INF
19	Oct_21_2016	163.24	150.58	142.88	141.57	141.09	141.01	145.5(2.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	-10	25	-61	0	54%	-0.29	-67.7	4.64%	0	-0.6	40	INF
20	Oct_20_2016	163.71	151.09	144.36	139.67	140.07	139.87	141.5(2.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-27	-0	-9	-81	0	54%	-0.32	-79.8	4.63%	0	-1	35	INF

21	Oct_19_2016	164.23	152.14	146.32	139.37	139.53	141.16	138.5(-2.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-12	90	9	-73	0	54%	-0.31	-92.7	4.62%	0	-1.5	30	INF
22	Oct_18_2016	164.74	153.33	148.3	139.82	139.43	140.26	141.84(0.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	4	30	26	-62	0	56%	-0.14	-94.5	4.63%	0	-1.1	39	INF
23	Oct_17_2016	164.97	155.23	149.54	140.85	138.89	137.9	140.5(3.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-45	-90	-31	-86	0	56%	-0.31	-91.1	4.68%	0	-1.3	31	INF
24	Oct_14_2016	165.48	157.1	151.15	144.55	140.89	138.6	136(-2.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-70	-190	-64	-89	0	56%	-0.35	-89	4.68%	0	-1.9	25	INF
25	Oct_13_2016	166.06	159.01	153.48	149.85	146.36	139.88	140(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-81	-380	-84	-73	0	56%		-82.8	4.66%	0	-1.7	39	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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