Trading Signals: MTP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: MTP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 5, 2016 - Tue. Jan. 14, 2020)

(Midatech Pharma plc)
MTP latest price $145.5000 (2.83%) ($138.5500 - $146.0000) on Fri. Oct. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.64% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $145.5000(2.83%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MTP advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MTP declines -5.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Rotation from value to growth for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MTP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IPO(7%)    PEJ(7%)    TAN(7%)    XOP(7%)    DIA(6%)
Factors Impacting MTP price   MTP will decline at least -2.32% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLP(-3%)    UUP(-2%)    UNG(-2%)    TBT(-2%)    XLU(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.32% (StdDev 4.64%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $131.4(-9.69%)
Resistance Level   $150.58
5 Day Moving Average   $141.57(2.78%)
10 Day Moving Average   $142.88(1.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $150.58(-3.37%)
To recent high   -33.9%
To recent low   7.8%
Market Cap   $1.535b

$. MTP price fluctuates within 6.13% (three month std-dev: 4.64%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 4.82%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.31%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 6.18%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.51%(50%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 8.3%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.85%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161121

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_21_2016	163.24	150.58	142.88	141.57	141.09	141.01	145.5(2.83%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	-10	25	-61	0	54%	-0.29	-67.7	4.64%	0	-0.6	40	INF
2	Oct_20_2016	163.71	151.09	144.36	139.67	140.07	139.87	141.5(2.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-27	-0	-9	-81	0	54%	-0.32	-79.8	4.63%	0	-1	35	INF
3	Oct_19_2016	164.23	152.14	146.32	139.37	139.53	141.16	138.5(-2.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-12	90	9	-73	0	54%	-0.31	-92.7	4.62%	0	-1.5	30	INF
4	Oct_18_2016	164.74	153.33	148.3	139.82	139.43	140.26	141.84(0.95%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	4	30	26	-62	0	56%	-0.14	-94.5	4.63%	0	-1.1	39	INF
5	Oct_17_2016	164.97	155.23	149.54	140.85	138.89	137.9	140.5(3.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-45	-90	-31	-86	0	56%	-0.31	-91.1	4.68%	0	-1.3	31	INF

6	Oct_14_2016	165.48	157.1	151.15	144.55	140.89	138.6	136(-2.86%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-70	-190	-64	-89	0	56%	-0.35	-89	4.68%	0	-1.9	25	INF
7	Oct_13_2016	166.06	159.01	153.48	149.85	146.36	139.88	140(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-81	-380	-84	-73	0	56%	-0.37	-82.8	4.66%	0	-1.7	39	INF
8	Oct_12_2016	166.67	161.31	155.45	154.34	152	143.18	140.77(-4.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-133	-450	-149	-83	0	56%	-0.36	-70.3	4.67%	0	-1.6	35	INF
9	Oct_11_2016	167.28	163.99	157.01	157.88	157.65	152.84	147(-7.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-96	-220	-109	-56	0	56%	-0.33	-68.1	4.65%	0	-1.4	39	INF
10	Oct_10_2016	167.84	166.19	158.68	159.26	160.64	160.81	159(-2.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-12	30	-8	-23	0	59%	-0.15	-65.4	4.56%	0	-0.6	33	INF

11	Oct_7_2016	168.09	167.66	159.07	158.67	159.33	162.46	162.5(0.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	21	150	35	-20	0	59%	-0.18	-69.6	4.55%	0	-0.4	38	INF
12	Oct_6_2016	168.4	169.11	158.37	157.77	157.8	160.46	162.42(2.47%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.3	36	120	57	-29	0	59%	-0.21	-69.5	4.56%	0	-0.5	43	INF
13	Oct_5_2016	168.76	170.74	158.29	156.98	156.54	156.19	158.5(3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	1	-20	22	-63	0	59%	-0.44	-71.5	4.56%	0	-0.8	33	INF
14	Oct_4_2016	169.5	172.52	158.55	156.18	155.35	155.14	153.89(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-50	-30	-30	-111	0	59%	-0.46	-74.8	4.55%	0	-1.2	26	INF
15	Oct_3_2016	170.28	174.86	161.15	158.01	156.22	156.88	156.04(-1.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-24	-0	1	-98	0	59%	-0.49	-78.5	4.58%	0	-1.2	30	INF

16	Sep_30_2016	171.12	177.54	163.29	159.5	157.66	156.88	158(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-29	-130	-4	-102	0	57%	-0.47	-68.9	4.58%	0	-1.2	32	INF
17	Sep_29_2016	171.92	179.76	164.8	159	158.5	155.56	158.5(2.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-81	-140	-61	-139	0	57%	-0.49	-65.7	4.62%	0	-1.2	31	INF
18	Sep_28_2016	172.76	182.54	167.46	159.8	160.53	159.75	154.5(-5.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-62	-20	-38	-134	0	57%	-0.46	-62.7	4.61%	0	-1.6	27	INF
19	Sep_27_2016	173.55	185.3	171.45	161.2	162.92	161.44	163(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-46	-30	-20	-123	0	55%	-0.42	-57.4	4.56%	0	-1.3	31	INF
20	Sep_26_2016	174.29	188.11	174.25	164.9	164.61	161.31	163.5(5.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-80	-150	-64	-128	0	55%	-0.46	-43.4	4.78%	0	-1.4	29	INF

21	Sep_23_2016	175.1	189.4	176.89	167.9	168.47	164.41	155.5(-4.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-93	-160	-79	-136	0	51%	-0.47	-36.5	4.78%	0	-1.9	19	INF
22	Sep_22_2016	175.93	191.8	180.8	171.46	173.78	167.91	162.5(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-92	-200	-79	-130	0	51%	-0.34	-24.9	4.75%	0	-1.9	29	INF
23	Sep_21_2016	176.53	193.95	184.32	176.25	176.86	172.52	161.51(-11.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-129	-160	-125	-142	0	51%	-0.38	-6.8	4.76%	0	-2.3	25	INF
24	Sep_20_2016	177.2	195.81	187.85	183.05	182.33	179.64	181.5(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-62	-120	-49	-100	0	55%	-0.26	24.7	4.56%	0	-1.2	35	INF
25	Sep_19_2016	177.67	195.93	189.8	185.1	186.47	181.21	178.51(3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-74	-180	-62	-110	0	55%		43	4.55%	0	-1.5	29	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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