Trading Signals: MTP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 5, 2016

Trading Signals: MTP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 5, 2016 - Tue. Jan. 14, 2020)

(Midatech Pharma plc)
MTP latest price $158.5000 (3%) ($158.5000 - $158.5000) on Wed. Oct. 5, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.56% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $158.5000(3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MTP advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MTP declines -5.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MTP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IPO(7%)    PEJ(7%)    TAN(7%)    DIA(6%)    ICLN(6%)
Factors Impacting MTP price   MTP will decline at least -2.28% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLP(-3%)    UUP(-3%)    UNG(-2%)    TBT(-2%)    XLU(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.28% (StdDev 4.56%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $145.03(-8.5%)
Resistance Level   $170.74
5 Day Moving Average   $156.98(0.97%)
10 Day Moving Average   $158.29(0.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $170.74(-7.17%)
To recent high   -28%
To recent low   17.4%
Market Cap   $1.672b

$. MTP price fluctuates within 9.04% (three month std-dev: 4.56%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.54%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -18.99%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -19.44%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161105

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_5_2016	168.76	170.74	158.29	156.98	156.54	156.19	158.5(3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	1	-20	22	-63	0	59%	-0.44	-71.5	4.56%	0	-0.8	33	INF
2	Oct_4_2016	169.5	172.52	158.55	156.18	155.35	155.14	153.89(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-50	-30	-30	-111	0	59%	-0.46	-74.8	4.55%	0	-1.2	26	INF
3	Oct_3_2016	170.28	174.86	161.15	158.01	156.22	156.88	156.04(-1.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-24	-0	1	-98	0	59%	-0.49	-78.5	4.58%	0	-1.2	30	INF
4	Sep_30_2016	171.12	177.54	163.29	159.5	157.66	156.88	158(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-29	-130	-4	-102	0	57%	-0.47	-68.9	4.58%	0	-1.2	32	INF
5	Sep_29_2016	171.92	179.76	164.8	159	158.5	155.56	158.5(2.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-81	-140	-61	-139	0	57%	-0.49	-65.7	4.62%	0	-1.2	31	INF

6	Sep_28_2016	172.76	182.54	167.46	159.8	160.53	159.75	154.5(-5.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-62	-20	-38	-134	0	57%	-0.46	-62.7	4.61%	0	-1.6	27	INF
7	Sep_27_2016	173.55	185.3	171.45	161.2	162.92	161.44	163(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-46	-30	-20	-123	0	55%	-0.42	-57.4	4.56%	0	-1.3	31	INF
8	Sep_26_2016	174.29	188.11	174.25	164.9	164.61	161.31	163.5(5.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-80	-150	-64	-128	0	55%	-0.46	-43.4	4.78%	0	-1.4	29	INF
9	Sep_23_2016	175.1	189.4	176.89	167.9	168.47	164.41	155.5(-4.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-93	-160	-79	-136	0	51%	-0.47	-36.5	4.78%	0	-1.9	19	INF
10	Sep_22_2016	175.93	191.8	180.8	171.46	173.78	167.91	162.5(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-92	-200	-79	-130	0	51%	-0.34	-24.9	4.75%	0	-1.9	29	INF

11	Sep_21_2016	176.53	193.95	184.32	176.25	176.86	172.52	161.51(-11.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-129	-160	-125	-142	0	51%	-0.38	-6.8	4.76%	0	-2.3	25	INF
12	Sep_20_2016	177.2	195.81	187.85	183.05	182.33	179.64	181.5(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-62	-120	-49	-100	0	55%	-0.26	24.7	4.56%	0	-1.2	35	INF
13	Sep_19_2016	177.67	195.93	189.8	185.1	186.47	181.21	178.51(3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-74	-180	-62	-110	0	55%	-0.28	43	4.55%	0	-1.5	29	INF
14	Sep_16_2016	178.17	196.11	192.98	187.4	188.65	185.01	173.31(-7.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-106	-120	-106	-106	0	55%	-0.36	61.6	4.54%	0	-2	49	INF
15	Sep_15_2016	178.82	195.81	196.06	191.44	192.03	191.74	186.43(-4.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-23	-0	-12	-55	0	59%	-0.32	84.2	4.46%	0	-0.9	47	INF

16	Sep_14_2016	179.39	194.93	198.85	193.55	192.16	192.29	195.5(1.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-15	-20	-7	-39	0	61%	-0.69	84	4.42%	0	0	49	INF
17	Sep_12_2016	180.64	192.89	200.15	193.45	193.13	192.32	191.76(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-30	-5	-32	0	61%	-0.28	68.6	4.39%	0	-0.1	52	INF
18	Sep_9_2016	181.15	191.09	202.89	195.38	193.67	192.03	190(-1.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	-90	-50	-19	0	61%	-0.18	68.7	4.4%	0	-0.1	58	INF
19	Sep_8_2016	181.48	189.35	202.82	199.58	196.38	193.94	193.5(-1.78%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-40	-140	-53	1	0	61%	-0.1	72.5	4.39%	0	0.2	60	INF
20	Sep_7_2016	181.67	187.06	203.67	201.38	201.28	195.31	197(1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-37	-210	-59	31	0	61%	-0.07	69.3	4.4%	0	0.4	67	INF

21	Sep_6_2016	181.79	184.27	204.37	204.98	202.94	198.82	195(-3.18%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-93	-170	-138	42	0	61%	-0.18	69.7	4.4%	0	0.4	65	INF
22	Sep_2_2016	182.12	181.48	204.58	207.78	208.22	207.26	201.41(-4.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	26	-30	-12	141	0	61%	-0.05	66.9	4.35%	0	0.7	71	INF
23	Sep_1_2016	182.21	178.41	202.76	211.5	209.17	207.06	211(4.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	45	-100	-4	191	0	63%	-0.1	70.9	4.32%	0	1.1	74	INF
24	Aug_31_2016	182.4	174.92	199.59	206.5	207.76	209.19	202.5(-5.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	40	70	-11	194	0	63%	-0.24	68.3	4.3%	0	1	73	INF
25	Aug_30_2016	182.83	172.02	195.77	206.1	205.95	211.27	215(2.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	132	180	89	260	0	67%		70	4.23%	0	1.5	79	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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