Trading Signals: MTP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 21, 2016

Trading Signals: MTP Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 5, 2016 - Tue. Jan. 14, 2020)

(Midatech Pharma plc)
MTP latest price $161.5050 (-11.01%) ($157.5000 - $186.4950) on Wed. Sep. 21, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.76% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $161.5050(-11.01%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MTP declines -3.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MTP declines -7.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MTP advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IPO(7%)    GDXJ(4%)    USO(4%)    TBT(3%)    UUP(3%)
Factors Impacting MTP price   MTP will decline at least -2.38% in a week (0% probabilities).
UNG(-5%)    LQD(-5%)    EWP(-5%)    EWG(-5%)    VWO(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.38% (StdDev 4.76%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -5%

Resistance Level   $193.95
5 Day Moving Average   $176.25(-8.37%)
10 Day Moving Average   $184.32(-12.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $193.95(-16.73%)
To recent high   -26.6%
To recent low   19.6%
Market Cap   $1.704b

$. MTP price fluctuates within 7.33% (three month std-dev: 4.76%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -5.92%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 11.11%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 4.95%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20161021

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_21_2016	176.53	193.95	184.32	176.25	176.86	172.52	161.51(-11.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-129	-160	-125	-142	0	51%	-0.38	-6.8	4.76%	0	-2.3	25	INF
2	Sep_20_2016	177.2	195.81	187.85	183.05	182.33	179.64	181.5(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-62	-120	-49	-100	0	55%	-0.26	24.7	4.56%	0	-1.2	35	INF
3	Sep_19_2016	177.67	195.93	189.8	185.1	186.47	181.21	178.51(3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-74	-180	-62	-110	0	55%	-0.28	43	4.55%	0	-1.5	29	INF
4	Sep_16_2016	178.17	196.11	192.98	187.4	188.65	185.01	173.31(-7.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-106	-120	-106	-106	0	55%	-0.36	61.6	4.54%	0	-2	49	INF
5	Sep_15_2016	178.82	195.81	196.06	191.44	192.03	191.74	186.43(-4.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-23	-0	-12	-55	0	59%	-0.32	84.2	4.46%	0	-0.9	47	INF

6	Sep_14_2016	179.39	194.93	198.85	193.55	192.16	192.29	195.5(1.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-15	-20	-7	-39	0	61%	-0.69	84	4.42%	0	0	49	INF
7	Sep_12_2016	180.64	192.89	200.15	193.45	193.13	192.32	191.76(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-12	-30	-5	-32	0	61%	-0.28	68.6	4.39%	0	-0.1	52	INF
8	Sep_9_2016	181.15	191.09	202.89	195.38	193.67	192.03	190(-1.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	-90	-50	-19	0	61%	-0.18	68.7	4.4%	0	-0.1	58	INF
9	Sep_8_2016	181.48	189.35	202.82	199.58	196.38	193.94	193.5(-1.78%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-40	-140	-53	1	0	61%	-0.1	72.5	4.39%	0	0.2	60	INF
10	Sep_7_2016	181.67	187.06	203.67	201.38	201.28	195.31	197(1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-37	-210	-59	31	0	61%	-0.07	69.3	4.4%	0	0.4	67	INF

11	Sep_6_2016	181.79	184.27	204.37	204.98	202.94	198.82	195(-3.18%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.4	-93	-170	-138	42	0	61%	-0.18	69.7	4.4%	0	0.4	65	INF
12	Sep_2_2016	182.12	181.48	204.58	207.78	208.22	207.26	201.41(-4.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	26	-30	-12	141	0	61%	-0.05	66.9	4.35%	0	0.7	71	INF
13	Sep_1_2016	182.21	178.41	202.76	211.5	209.17	207.06	211(4.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	45	-100	-4	191	0	63%	-0.1	70.9	4.32%	0	1.1	74	INF
14	Aug_31_2016	182.4	174.92	199.59	206.5	207.76	209.19	202.5(-5.81%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	40	70	-11	194	0	63%	-0.24	68.3	4.3%	0	1	73	INF
15	Aug_30_2016	182.83	172.02	195.77	206.1	205.95	211.27	215(2.87%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	132	180	89	260	0	67%	-0.13	70	4.23%	0	1.5	79	INF

16	Aug_29_2016	183.07	167.97	190.79	203.73	202.45	206.34	209(-5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	131	120	81	280	0	67%	-0.13	71.5	4.25%	0	1.5	80	INF
17	Aug_26_2016	183.3	164.39	185.05	200.93	201.38	200.62	220(18.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	127	-20	72	292	0	70%	-0.05	72.1	4.21%	0	2.2	85	INF
18	Aug_25_2016	183.39	160.13	178.08	193.03	197.38	198.56	186(-7.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	61	110	-14	285	0	63%	-0.3	69.9	3.56%	0	1.1	78	INF
19	Aug_24_2016	183.95	157.55	174.74	191.43	193.67	202.15	200.5(-1.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	235	340	184	388	0	69%	-0.19	68	3.45%	0	1.9	83	INF
20	Aug_23_2016	184.3	154.22	169.01	183.53	185.3	196.21	203.17(4.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	306	440	280	384	0	72%	-0.19	61.7	3.44%	0	2.4	80	INF

21	Aug_22_2016	184.66	150.66	162.32	175.82	174.45	185.19	195(8.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.2	259	410	239	319	0	71%	-0.12	58.3	3.59%	0	2.7	82	INF
22	Aug_19_2016	184.89	147.76	156.23	166.82	167.43	174.4	180.5(1.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	239	300	231	263	0	64%	-0.11	50.7	3.5%	0	2.5	74	INF
23	Aug_18_2016	185.1	145.71	151.86	161.02	160.68	163.71	178(10.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	114	130	94	172	0	54%	-0.07	47.5	3.51%	0	3	74	INF
24	Aug_17_2016	185.23	143.78	147.98	155.64	157.44	160.45	161(-2.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	90	170	75	134	0	49%	-0.21	45.1	3.68%	0	2.2	71	INF
25	Aug_16_2016	185.62	142.76	146.24	152.15	154.46	157.64	164.6(9.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	112	190	104	134	0	49%		37.5	3.68%	0	3.2	71	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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