Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ MSTR: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Dec. 18, 2023

Trading Signals: MSTR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Mon. Feb. 1, 2016 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(MicroStrategy Incorporated)
MSTR latest price $571.8200 (0.41%) ($571.8200 - $571.8200) on Mon. Dec. 18, 2023.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.54% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $571.8200(0.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   MSTR advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   MSTR advances 4.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Growth stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support MSTR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
BLOK(92%)    EMHY(63%)    GDX(60%)    GDXJ(60%)    BWX(56%)
Factors Impacting MSTR price   MSTR will decline at least -1.77% in a week (0% probabilities).
BNDX(-30%)    EDOC(-78%)    KWEB(-31%)    MCHI(-26%)    TBT(-19%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.77% (StdDev 3.54%)
Hourly BBV -0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $572.98(-0.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $573.55(-0.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $545.09(4.9%)
To recent high   -4.4%
To recent low   83.5%
Market Cap   $5.299b

$. MSTR price fluctuates within 6.29% (three month std-dev: 3.54%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 1.42%(56%) Average negative next day return: -2.39%(44%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 2.84%(48%) Average negative next three day return: -4%(52%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 3.68%(46%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.32%(54%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20240118

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_18_2023	409.9	545.09	573.55	572.98	577.38	570.65	571.82(0.41%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-22	-60	-48	56	0.76	75%	0.34	60.9	3.54%	-0	0.8	68	0.8
2	Dec_15_2023	408.5	540.98	572.73	569.79	573.83	576.42	569.47(-2.01%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-50	50	-85	57	0.68	75%	0.35	53.5	3.55%	-0.6	0.8	70	0.8
3	Dec_14_2023	407.06	537.06	569.01	575.56	570.42	584.11	581.14(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	156	140	152	168	0.86	75%	0.35	57.1	3.54%	1.2	1.2	64	1.6
4	Dec_13_2023	405.65	533.2	561.22	573.62	574.21	571.24	584.85(4.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	227	-30	236	199	0.9	75%	0.37	62.3	3.54%	2.9	1.5	67	1.4
5	Dec_12_2023	404.16	527.69	553.71	570.41	570.86	556.74	557.63(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-244	-170	-318	-20	0.67	74%	0.32	60.8	3.52%	-0.6	0.8	66	1.6

6	Dec_11_2023	402.86	524.99	549.09	574.17	573.65	577.18	555.84(-7.1%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-103	40	-156	55	1.28	74%	0.3	72.2	3.52%	-1.4	0.9	61	1.4
7	Dec_8_2023	401.66	522.54	543.49	575.47	578.8	584.98	598.35(4.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	297	90	311	255	0.87	79%	0.4	83.8	3.42%	1.6	2.2	74	1.2
8	Dec_7_2023	400.06	516.96	535.16	561.29	569.75	570.12	571.44(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	94	50	76	148	0.54	78%	0.29	89.8	3.39%	-1.1	1.9	70	1
9	Dec_6_2023	398.89	511.99	528.65	546.54	558.75	572.62	568.79(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	209	240	219	179	0.91	78%	0.31	88.4	3.38%	-0.2	2	63	1.2
10	Dec_5_2023	397.66	507.1	520.99	534.31	540.98	569.39	576.45(2.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	472	410	533	289	1.36	78%	0.32	92.8	3.37%	1	2.7	71	1.3

11	Dec_4_2023	396.38	501.08	513.61	520.54	523.77	544.88	562.32(6.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	537	300	617	298	1.68	78%	0.27	99.5	3.37%	1.3	2.8	60	1.4
12	Dec_1_2023	395.32	495.52	505.74	507.23	510.09	512.58	527.43(5.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	194	50	223	108	1.29	77%	0.16	106.8	3.32%	1.5	1.7	54	1.3
13	Nov_30_2023	394.68	491.84	501.83	505.72	502.17	502.67	497.73(-1.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-106	-10	-129	-36	0.67	75%	0.22	112.7	3.28%	-1.1	0.3	53	1.4
14	Nov_29_2023	393.82	488.55	502.7	507.86	507.71	507.61	507.62(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	85	-0	91	67	0.63	78%	0.24	94.3	3.29%	0.5	0.8	59	1.3
15	Nov_28_2023	392.87	484.54	499.63	505.11	507.96	501.67	507.6(2.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-43	-70	-58	1	0.83	78%	0.26	80.6	3.53%	-0.3	0.8	59	1.5

16	Nov_27_2023	391.86	480.34	499.23	505.28	504.53	507.81	495.75(-4.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-82	40	-108	-3	1.05	78%	0.3	81.5	3.53%	-0.4	0.5	61	1.3
17	Nov_24_2023	390.7	476.07	500.5	503.53	506.67	514.26	519.88(2.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	240	120	266	163	0.9	82%	0.41	80.2	3.47%	0	1.3	68	1.4
18	Nov_22_2023	389.12	470.87	497.63	497.43	498.45	501.25	508.46(2.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	79	50	76	88	0.67	83%	0.31	84.4	3.51%	0.8	1.1	67	1.2
19	Nov_21_2023	387.92	466.99	494.3	497.02	493.23	499.08	493.86(-2.87%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	40	60	25	85	0.75	83%	0.3	101	3.51%	-0.3	0.8	71	1.3
20	Nov_20_2023	386.75	463.55	492.51	493.23	496.54	495.65	508.43(4.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	177	10	183	160	1.06	83%	0.44	101	3.48%	1.6	1.2	75	1.4

21	Nov_17_2023	385.07	457.16	487.73	492.59	489.19	487.39	487(-0.49%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.1	-133	-50	-186	27	0.68	73%	0.39	96.8	3.53%	-0.7	0.7	74	1.5
22	Nov_16_2023	383.59	450.58	484.71	497	493.75	497.44	489.38(-3.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	70	30	44	146	1.14	73%	0.43	94.5	3.63%	-0.2	0.8	77	1.5
23	Nov_15_2023	381.94	443.54	481.33	497.69	499.07	490.99	506.45(6.65%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	80	-110	50	169	1.34	73%	0.48	89.5	3.61%	1.3	1.2	77	1.6
24	Nov_14_2023	380.11	434.81	473.51	491.23	495.5	490.06	474.87(-6.01%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.3	-170	-50	-241	44	1.52	71%	0.45	83.2	3.55%	-1.8	0.7	64	1.5
25	Nov_13_2023	378.42	428.05	468.77	491.03	495.6	507.16	505.24(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	180	190	168	216	0.82	76%		79.2	3.46%	-0.6	1.4	76	1.4
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.